Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe023524cecbdb8e42763fdeab10dc3f6b9ab57a26b1138f2f03f061e899024e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,122
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdd10…7544backed No | 44c | 689.53$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.05 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…872bbacked Yes | 39c | 389.09$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.7 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab18…467dbacked Yes | 21c | 381.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.46 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | +14.2wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8eee…d015backed Yes | 79c | 373.97$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 4c | 300$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8746…f522backed Yes | 59c | 267.09$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 49c | 217$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.66 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 26c | 205.08$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.08 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 11c | 202.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 42c | 184.98$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.16 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 30c | 157.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.12 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 36c | 151.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 36c | 139.77$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 37c | 132.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked Yes | 38c | 128.35$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed No | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.58 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 42c | 100.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.77 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 45c | 100.46$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 11c | 91.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2,118 | 59.1%1,251 W · 867 L | +107.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d2…0ecfbacked Yes | 15c | 88.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 205 | 46.8%96 W · 109 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 58c | 86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 29c | 76.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 60c | 76.1$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…4ea8backed Yes | 52c | 75.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.21 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 31c | 75.02$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.47 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…0a0ebacked No | 61c | 75$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 399 | 68.9%275 W · 124 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1735…0319backed No | 26c | 72.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 1,480 | 15.6%231 W · 1,249 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea5…ee06backed Yes | 38c | 72.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 270 | 29.3%79 W · 191 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 55c | 65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.68 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb139…29a1backed Yes | 78c | 64.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 38c | 64.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 39c | 61.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 18c | 58.68$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.39 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 61c | 57.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5675…f6a6backed No | 50c | 54.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1b…7eb7backed Yes | 34c | 50.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf49…2486backed Yes | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…9e92backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 581 | 52%302 W · 279 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…cc0dbacked Yes | 61c | 49.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3007…8f81backed Yes | 41c | 48.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…d9d1backed Yes | 40c | 45.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 62c | 44.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…c1c8backed Yes | 38c | 43.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 28c | 42.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…b301backed Yes | 43c | 41.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 43c | 41.35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 41c | 41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.31 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 59c | 40.88$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x627b…285bbacked No | 25c | 40.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 49c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 47c | 37.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 62c | 36.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…7479backed Yes | 61c | 36.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 532 | 58.6%312 W · 220 L | +45.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 30c | 35.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dc…33c9backed Yes | 42c | 33.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 769 | 36.3%279 W · 490 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 64c | 32.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 62c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 48c | 32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf06b…f629backed Yes | 38c | 30.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 999 | 49.5%495 W · 504 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked No | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 50 | 82%41 W · 9 L | +8.3wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd615…ae32backed Yes | 55c | 28.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 339 | 62.8%213 W · 126 L | +40.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 78c | 27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 61c | 25.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 25.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 58c | 25.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd84…0fe5backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 515 | 68%350 W · 165 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 22.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.77 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 67c | 20.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0a…8ea3backed No | 62c | 20.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 61c | 20.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…abffbacked Yes | 63c | 17.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 306 | 65%199 W · 107 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…dd79backed No | 58c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…4614backed Yes | 76c | 15.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd4…5cfcbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 572 | 64.5%369 W · 203 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b42…9fc4backed Yes | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd242…ba4ebacked Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 80c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.82 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 14?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on June 14?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 14?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.