TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Marina Bassols Ribera vs Karolina Pliskova

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marina Bassols Riberaof Marina Bassols Ribera, Karolina Pliskova
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,778
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,778 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Marina Bassols Ribera79c5,467$4,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.694,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Karolina Pliskova22c5,312$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.641,19348.9%583 W · 610 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Marina Bassols Ribera73c2,486$1,802 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.1411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Marina Bassols Ribera16c2,235$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,869.818,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Karolina Pliskova22c1,807$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.911,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Karolina Pliskova77c1,294$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00094068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ae…c975backed Marina Bassols Ribera26c1,170$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$869.7321537.2%80 W · 135 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Karolina Pliskova18c1,113$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,84148.5%892 W · 949 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Karolina Pliskova21c999.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21044018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Marina Bassols Ribera23c999.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.9985634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67ff…3214backed Karolina Pliskova13c986.5$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6138422.4%86 W · 298 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Marina Bassols Ribera50c859.61$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.245,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Marina Bassols Ribera25c808.45$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.4523429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Marina Bassols Ribera79c749.73$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.671,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Karolina Pliskova72c721.53$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.358,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Marina Bassols Ribera23c659.83$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.072,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Karolina Pliskova10c564.39$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.446,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Marina Bassols Ribera64c464.54$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.742,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Karolina Pliskova65c456.76$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.764,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ea…ce0bbacked Karolina Pliskova77c432.91$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.342755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc314…6a46backed Karolina Pliskova5c420.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9218410.9%20 W · 164 L-10.2wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Karolina Pliskova37c407.63$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.652,14554.2%1,162 W · 983 L-1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked Marina Bassols Ribera36c389.19$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.1930235.1%106 W · 196 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Karolina Pliskova75c337$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.727,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f6…2e01backed Karolina Pliskova75c332.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.748648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Karolina Pliskova77c320.51$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.791,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Karolina Pliskova45c299.72$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3467838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc171…a301backed Karolina Pliskova76c290$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.42454.2%13 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick69cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Karolina Pliskova37c275.1$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.6215854.4%86 W · 72 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Karolina Pliskova75c269.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.191,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1740…529ebacked Karolina Pliskova59c253.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1507062.9%44 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Karolina Pliskova27c233.55$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2492145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Marina Bassols Ribera74c231.91$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.6232240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Karolina Pliskova77c217$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.091,82241%747 W · 1,075 L-30.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Marina Bassols Ribera22c213.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.445,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Karolina Pliskova74c205$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Karolina Pliskova70c202.98$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.014,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Karolina Pliskova77c200$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15489850.1%450 W · 448 L-20.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Marina Bassols Ribera71c198.33$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.1630131.9%96 W · 205 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf92f…1a35backed Karolina Pliskova31c192.61$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5916018.1%29 W · 131 L-9.4wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Marina Bassols Ribera23c179.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.5928828.5%82 W · 206 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Marina Bassols Ribera46c162.68$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.86,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Karolina Pliskova61c144.24$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.334,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Karolina Pliskova77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb07e…0df5backed Karolina Pliskova43c119$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1784640%338 W · 508 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Marina Bassols Ribera51c118.03$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.031,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Karolina Pliskova77c116.88$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9084968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Karolina Pliskova43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504637%17 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdf…41dfbacked Marina Bassols Ribera26c113.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.043554.3%19 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Karolina Pliskova28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,41745.2%640 W · 777 L+41.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d18…6f62backed Karolina Pliskova74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7456062.5%350 W · 210 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Karolina Pliskova75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7552750.3%265 W · 262 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Karolina Pliskova75c100$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Karolina Pliskova33c99.66$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.76,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x574e…0436backed Karolina Pliskova51c88.24$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4523754.4%129 W · 108 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Marina Bassols Ribera27c80.37$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9597141.4%402 W · 569 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebde…1de0backed Karolina Pliskova33c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7889134.3%306 W · 585 L-40.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Marina Bassols Ribera22c78.61$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.327,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Karolina Pliskova37c75$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.752,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Marina Bassols Ribera65c71.12$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.891,07673.8%794 W · 282 L+41.1wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Karolina Pliskova76c64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.643,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed Karolina Pliskova77c64$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.286266.1%41 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Karolina Pliskova63c62.91$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.381,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a14…9fe4backed Marina Bassols Ribera50c56$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2840935.7%146 W · 263 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked Karolina Pliskova73c55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2655243.3%239 W · 313 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Karolina Pliskova75c53.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Karolina Pliskova74c50$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Marina Bassols Ribera68c48.38$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.381,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Marina Bassols Ribera24c42$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.922,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Karolina Pliskova37c40$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.842350.8%215 W · 208 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1a…e943backed Marina Bassols Ribera25c40$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3021524.7%53 W · 162 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9355…038dbacked Karolina Pliskova35c39$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.77945.6%36 W · 43 L-10.4wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-25.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6794…0a8bbacked Karolina Pliskova33c30.85$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1813016.9%22 W · 108 L-9.7wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf56b…ac88backed Karolina Pliskova42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.611438.6%44 W · 70 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Marina Bassols Ribera54c28.94$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2283047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdda1…7b5ebacked Karolina Pliskova77c25.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202857.1%16 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Marina Bassols Ribera73c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.8895846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86d0…904ebacked Karolina Pliskova49c20.69$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2423634.7%82 W · 154 L-37.4wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-45.1%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xc435…e961backed Karolina Pliskova63c20.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Karolina Pliskova75c17.96$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4775262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Marina Bassols Ribera69c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.651,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.