Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3c2d0bb41ff1ffda2184712967a04d11ac4d0cb04e90b64606ad6094daa9951
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $105,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $103,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x318f…8a7cbacked Yes | 0c | 21,812$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 2c | 20,831$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.53 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 39c | 2,846$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116.75 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f4…d132backed Yes | 56c | 1,451$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 5c | 1,344$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 8c | 1,332$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.49 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,221$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 52c | 1,210$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.58 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 26c | 1,081$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.73 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0597…5265backed Yes | 49c | 1,031$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 44c | 739.34$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.5 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed Yes | 7c | 708$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 50c | 627.06$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.66 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 54c | 603.71$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.25 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 51c | 558.95$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.38 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 68c | 551.47$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.56 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked Yes | 32c | 549.92$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.41 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 45c | 518.22$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.88 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 50c | 501.72$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.66 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…43f4backed Yes | 15c | 458.12$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 173 | 58.4%101 W · 72 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 47c | 454.41$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.87 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb49…41a2backed No | 54c | 449.98$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -38%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 61c | 439.75$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 80c | 409.34$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.42 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb5…e19cbacked Yes | 57c | 406.84$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.23 | 106 | 17.9%19 W · 87 L | -10.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…7dc3backed Yes | 30c | 399.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…2ee3backed No | 40c | 383.08$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.68 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed Yes | 62c | 320.28$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba1…2769backed Yes | 4c | 294.24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 28c | 292.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed No | 52c | 273$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.55 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 54c | 271.05$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.13 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked Yes | 43c | 258.51$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 80c | 257.95$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 34c | 250.06$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.31 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2269…3622backed No | 53c | 242.12$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.12 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 51c | 242.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.51 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0849…d655backed Yes | 38c | 233.75$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.86 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 29c | 230.31$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.3 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aab…ead7backed Yes | 45c | 224.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | -8.3wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4426…f755backed Yes | 33c | 221.6$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 52c | 219.9$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.77 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 60c | 214.96$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f46…06f0backed Yes | 66c | 213.34$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.93 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b4…73cdbacked No | 51c | 209.19$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.29 | 631 | 43.1%272 W · 359 L | -14.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 50c | 200.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.11 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…e17fbacked Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 165 | 30.9%51 W · 114 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 39c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 59c | 197.08$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.6 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 36c | 187.8$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.11 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 11c | 175.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 268 | 34%91 W · 177 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 41c | 168.43$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.76 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 43c | 167.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 51c | 161.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.42 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4002…4ebabacked No | 64c | 155.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…8faabacked Yes | 75c | 151.53$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.27 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed No | 54c | 145.52$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.61 | 236 | 33.5%79 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe18c…dfa5backed Yes | 44c | 144.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.07 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 58c | 139.92$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccf…95e1backed No | 54c | 139.68$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…5022backed Yes | 56c | 133.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…4d6bbacked No | 40c | 131.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 168 | 63.1%106 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf387…5414backed Yes | 36c | 129.9$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.87 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2944…031abacked No | 56c | 129$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f7…bfd3backed Yes | 50c | 123.31$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 194 | 26.3%51 W · 143 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb5…5969backed Yes | 15c | 122.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 66c | 120.04$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked Yes | 10c | 117.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed Yes | 46c | 116.03$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 39c | 115.42$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…a5adbacked Yes | 60c | 113$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…6c41backed No | 54c | 111$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.33 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…05a5backed Yes | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 84 | 26.2%22 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe38…f8f3backed Yes | 78c | 108.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x804d…cf86backed Yes | 19c | 101.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…4b19backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…a743backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x185a…3137backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 61c | 99.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…0ed9backed Yes | 69c | 99.98$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.49 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bd…8b8cbacked Yes | 50c | 99.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 18.4%9 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 40c | 99.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…8f66backed No | 50c | 94.41$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 49c | 88.92$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.69 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 52c | 88.7$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 1,026 | 64%657 W · 369 L | +49.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 49c | 86.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.35 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3182…4ff7backed No | 68c | 85$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 141 | 68.1%96 W · 45 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…2623backed Yes | 48c | 82.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…bd24backed No | 54c | 80.81$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe863…1be9backed Yes | 44c | 80.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3e…f2b1backed Yes | 50c | 80.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 44c | 79.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca85…fe6cbacked Yes | 30c | 75.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 222 | 36.5%81 W · 141 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4e…7dbbbacked Yes | 56c | 74.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 386 | 55.7%215 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…80aabacked No | 32c | 71.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 44cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or below on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.