Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x681518875b966a13c2dc10020eb48bcd27ab8c474e49f7552124c16431c8d844
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,422
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf325…f8e0backed Yes | 74c | 1,811$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.49 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed No | 6c | 1,599$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…a5adbacked No | 1c | 1,269$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,200$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.77 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.89 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 65c | 1,048$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.21 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 46c | 796.38$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.19 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 57c | 790.55$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.18 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…2e48backed Yes | 66c | 749.66$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.18 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed No | 22c | 633.79$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.51 | 535 | 25.2%135 W · 400 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 46c | 600.2$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.7 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…7dc3backed Yes | 24c | 547.67$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f1…710bbacked Yes | 75c | 509.35$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.9 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 37c | 495.29$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed No | 13c | 494.4$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.42 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 7c | 476.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f46…06f0backed Yes | 37c | 452.14$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.37 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 62c | 441.67$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.8 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 62c | 433.53$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.99 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 23c | 388.42$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.85 | 349 | 18.9%66 W · 283 L | +18.7wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 46c | 374.42$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.08 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 58c | 343.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.51 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 39c | 337.14$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.9 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed Yes | 52c | 299.72$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.6 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 32c | 284$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.99 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11d…a1cfbacked No | 49c | 274.52$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 33c | 262.25$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.54 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 37c | 257.95$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.74 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 10c | 254.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 51c | 250$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13e0…7465backed Yes | 42c | 237.23$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 352 | 33%116 W · 236 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf83…8508backed Yes | 25c | 236.23$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.22 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…6cd3backed Yes | 43c | 234.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.34 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.17per pick | 30cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 73c | 228.37$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.47 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 29c | 227$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.19 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 49c | 219.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.53 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 30c | 207.73$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.39 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed Yes | 32c | 203.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.88 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 55c | 195.13$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.7 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 16c | 190.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…3257backed Yes | 28c | 175.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.68 | 200 | 25%50 W · 150 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc4…1fd8backed Yes | 57c | 173.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.95 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…29b4backed No | 24c | 161.01$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 963 | 13.7%132 W · 831 L | +33.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 23c | 159.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.49 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8e…b38fbacked No | 7c | 157.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 185 | 30.3%56 W · 129 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 59c | 156.46$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 49c | 151$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.75 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…704cbacked Yes | 27c | 150$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 321 | 32.7%105 W · 216 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2946…8eb4backed Yes | 34c | 149.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.09 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 51c | 148.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 33c | 139.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3458…b5a7backed No | 73c | 137.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked Yes | 46c | 133.33$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.51 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 79c | 128.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f3…8faabacked Yes | 60c | 128.11$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.56 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…75b8backed No | 79c | 128$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.48 | 60 | 70%42 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…5e59backed Yes | 54c | 126.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…71adbacked Yes | 33c | 124.78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.28 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c2…349abacked Yes | 28c | 122.79$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +261.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf069…b7fabacked No | 31c | 122.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 28c | 119.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.76 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1c…7f60backed Yes | 44c | 116$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.36 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…a5adbacked Yes | 32c | 109.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7531…35debacked Yes | 28c | 108.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.06 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…541ebacked No | 42c | 107.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ce…f2a5backed Yes | 27c | 107.51$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f30…6866backed Yes | 35c | 103.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.82 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 25c | 101.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.26 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…b8f8backed Yes | 29c | 101.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.53 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad3…7715backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f8debacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 287 | 42.5%122 W · 165 L | +24.3wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e9…f1ccbacked Yes | 67c | 97.66$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…1a16backed Yes | 68c | 95.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 90$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4864…9438backed No | 45c | 89.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…9d9fbacked No | 11c | 89.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…0f16backed No | 61c | 82.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.12 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28fe…1640backed Yes | 56c | 81.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +7.3wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 52c | 80.97$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.7 | 284 | 56%159 W · 125 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…c151backed Yes | 25c | 80.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87de…c545backed No | 73c | 74.33$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…8969backed Yes | 28c | 71.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 33c | 71.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7a…4d23backed Yes | 25c | 70$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 987 | 38.1%376 W · 611 L | +80.8wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 54c | 69.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a17…d13ebacked Yes | 46c | 65.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed Yes | 68c | 65.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x845c…a1b2backed No | 51c | 64.75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x070d…6ff7backed Yes | 31c | 62.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 27c | 62.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.21 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1f…be44backed Yes | 31c | 61.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebed…7d9cbacked Yes | 35c | 61$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.63 | 134 | 30.6%41 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac0…0f1cbacked Yes | 35c | 60.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x704d…aceebacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.2 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 26c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.4 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a7…f77fbacked Yes | 32c | 59.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.58 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or below on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C or higher on April 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.