Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. Cal State Fullerton Titans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8365844b9d40adbafc6733fa3e103f8ce60fcad2c787013f2f955a309f6d9a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsof Hawaii Rainbow Warriors, Cal State Fullerton Titans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,774
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $105,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,774 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 42c | 12,089$5,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,097.09 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 57c | 10,580$6,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,549.5 | 216 | 36.1%78 W · 138 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 34c | 7,330$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.69 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 71c | 5,979$4,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.52 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 70c | 4,994$3,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.61 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 70c | 4,367$3,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.29 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 39c | 3,705$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.38 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 47c | 3,178$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.33 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…ed44backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 72c | 2,372$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.17 | 464 | 46.8%217 W · 247 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 52c | 2,121$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.22 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 37c | 1,993$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.26 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 44c | 1,938$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.07 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 32c | 1,620$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.31 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 39c | 1,473$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.62 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 60c | 894.19$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.01 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 55c | 764.74$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.58 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 76c | 589.79$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.2 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 562.02$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.6 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 35c | 538.3$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.79 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 72c | 505.22$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 52c | 360.06$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 60c | 349.63$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.34 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 34c | 305.65$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.66 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0b…bfc2backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 65c | 303.64$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 39c | 297.51$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 42c | 216.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.78 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 71c | 185$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 57c | 170.55$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 139 | 56.8%79 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 63c | 169.01$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda51…ef7fbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 11c | 166.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 30c | 165.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.81 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 58c | 158.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 26c | 154.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.87 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 23c | 108.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…0d72backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 45c | 107.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 39c | 99.17$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 25c | 86.49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 43c | 83.3$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.82 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +19.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 21c | 81.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fd…d641backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 58c | 68.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 36c | 63.24$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 267 | 40.8%109 W · 158 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…49d2backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 75c | 58.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.72 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 36c | 57.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 71c | 56.65$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 37c | 53.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…c767backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 60c | 52.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.03 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c1…7fbebacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 59c | 42.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 152 | 40.1%61 W · 91 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 63c | 40.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 36c | 36.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 53c | 35.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.99 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 36c | 34.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 58c | 34.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…c172backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 58c | 34.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 42c | 34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…32aebacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 59c | 33.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 34c | 32.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 38c | 31.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 56c | 29.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…4116backed Cal State Fullerton Titans | 48c | 28.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f0…2711backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 63c | 27.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 61c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc3…ad03backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 48c | 24.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -42%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae7…e2cdbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 49c | 23.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fc…314dbacked Cal State Fullerton Titans | 66c | 20.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x955d…1ec5backed Hawaii Rainbow Warriors | 61c | 19.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.