Fifa International · resolved market
Netherlands to win the second half?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe921aa473db668645620b502589e44e205ce690f5fe2f100704db9329c77f75e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 76c | 8,984$6,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,864.45 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked No | 25c | 6,508$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,853.32 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 24c | 5,646$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,303.47 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 72c | 4,940$3,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,580.38 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…d10fbacked No | 2c | 2,526$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,475.77 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +506.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 69c | 2,229$1,549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,549.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked No | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x901d…507abacked Yes | 74c | 1,769$1,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.31 | 55 | 65.5%36 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 39c | 1,556$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$603.63 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed No | 27c | 1,320$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.58 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked No | 27c | 1,317$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.08 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8f17…b55dbacked No | 26c | 1,254$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.95 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +9.0wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 71c | 1,235$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.6 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked No | 25c | 1,135$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.16 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 28c | 928.51$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.53 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked No | 24c | 875$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 23c | 810.43$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.03 | 195 | 45.6%89 W · 106 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 77c | 798$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.15 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 23c | 793.43$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.94 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…ee54backed Yes | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 23c | 688$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.34 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099e…b3c1backed Yes | 75c | 671.67$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5619…d1f6backed Yes | 76c | 600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -7.6wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 23c | 597.58$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.14 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc6…6163backed Yes | 77c | 556.2$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.27 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 22c | 543$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.01 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 23c | 543$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.11 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 75c | 539$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.8 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e15…a0eebacked Yes | 75c | 533.33$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | 0%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 22c | 489.64$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.92 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f7…ef2cbacked Yes | 74c | 486.49$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed Yes | 76c | 445.36$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.97 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6082…3323backed Yes | 74c | 339.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 49c | 278.13$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.26 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c9…ff5ebacked Yes | 73c | 229.33$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked No | 30c | 169.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.1 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes | 71c | 167.13$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 53c | 148.89$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.27 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64f…ad00backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 129 | 58.9%76 W · 53 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 24c | 132.74$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.92 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565f…e7dfbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 169 | 43.8%74 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c31…0289backed Yes | 72c | 97.22$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 29c | 96.37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 27c | 94.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…c54fbacked Yes | 70c | 86.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 76c | 83.21$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 23c | 70.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 178 | 56.2%100 W · 78 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae3d…1c31backed Yes | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…ed52backed No | 26c | 65.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e4…07b1backed Yes | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f35…09a6backed Yes | 76c | 64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 60cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 24c | 50.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…400abacked Yes | 48c | 41.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed No | 29c | 41.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 363 | 50.1%182 W · 181 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 27c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.2 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e89…2e8ebacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4346…f897backed Yes | 73c | 27.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 180 | 56.1%101 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…bad3backed Yes | 73c | 26.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ece…28e6backed Yes | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc7…6895backed Yes | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 84 | 73.8%62 W · 22 L | +7.6wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Netherlands to win the second half?this page
- Tunisia to win the second half?No won
- Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Second half draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.