Lol · resolved market

LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Aeterna Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaab41e2918e40c5a8a255cd714be3e559e6c8b47aa783c1217d4f26758b4905

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Aeterna Esportsof GMBLERS ESPORTS, Aeterna Esports
Resolved: Jul 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $19,279
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $20,902

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,279 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x65c1…2988backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	74c	1,229$908 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$907.55	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	76c	1,017$773 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$773.22	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Aeterna Esports	71c	691.59$490 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$202.03	1,543	54.8%845 W · 698 L	+75.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked Aeterna Esports	31c	651.57$199 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$452.28	277	45.1%125 W · 152 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aeterna Esports	26c	630.42$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$465.7	1,826	39.9%728 W · 1,098 L	-61.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2802…347dbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	9c	600$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	219	40.6%89 W · 130 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d9a…d10fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	9c	600$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	228	38.6%88 W · 140 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	10c	499.99$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	634	26%165 W · 469 L	-90.0wins	-0.14per pick	40cpaid	-54%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Aeterna Esports	25c	451.85$114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$337.53	1,671	57.9%968 W · 703 L	+70.6wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	9c	450$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.5	409	16.1%66 W · 343 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Aeterna Esports	25c	430.14$110 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320.48	2,156	53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L	+57.4wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7bcc…b4fabacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	4c	427.79$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	235	49.4%116 W · 119 L	+7.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Aeterna Esports	17c	365.65$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$304.6	556	28.6%159 W · 397 L	-31.8wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Aeterna Esports	26c	360$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$266.64	438	37.9%166 W · 272 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	70c	303.98$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.79	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	9c	300$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	580	42.4%246 W · 334 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfbd2…2b8fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	78c	264.3$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.71	428	51.2%219 W · 209 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6918…782bbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	65c	256.5$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.72	1,501	54.5%818 W · 683 L	+34.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Aeterna Esports	63c	224.17$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.68	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xad46…e6a6backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	5c	207.35$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.37	43	2.3%1 W · 42 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-61.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Aeterna Esports	30c	200$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140	389	31.9%124 W · 265 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe846…252bbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	203	36.9%75 W · 128 L	-8.5wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0e03…040fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	70c	200$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	80	47.5%38 W · 42 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	45c	197.13$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.71	777	41.7%324 W · 453 L	-27.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	75c	196$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$146.3	399	51.1%204 W · 195 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Aeterna Esports	57c	187$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.62	1,638	46.7%765 W · 873 L	-26.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Aeterna Esports	44c	177$78 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$99.36	1,057	46.1%487 W · 570 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	76c	156$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.68	944	44.4%419 W · 525 L	-31.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	72c	139.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.01	244	46.3%113 W · 131 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1df3…9ac3backed Aeterna Esports	40c	134.25$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.56	420	55%231 W · 189 L	+22.9wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Aeterna Esports	29c	114.04$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.96	1,058	23.5%249 W · 809 L	-75.8wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Aeterna Esports	28c	107.33$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.25	86	41.9%36 W · 50 L	-7.5wins	-0.09per pick	51cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	72c	104.59$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.01	220	43.6%96 W · 124 L	-7.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Aeterna Esports	26c	98$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.52	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	75c	94.36$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.09	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	44c	88.63$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.43	1,055	39.6%418 W · 637 L	-74.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	70c	85.88$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.01	231	46.8%108 W · 123 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	76c	85$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.54	1,924	35.9%691 W · 1,233 L	-97.7wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ec7…4b43backed Aeterna Esports	71c	75.61$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.95	113	49.6%56 W · 57 L	-3.9wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Aeterna Esports	26c	72$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.13	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	76c	66$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	2,311	39.4%910 W · 1,401 L	-83.4wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	70c	64.59$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.21	273	48%131 W · 142 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e87…e4e7backed Aeterna Esports	64c	57.21$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.85	69	66.7%46 W · 23 L	+11.0wins	+0.16per pick	51cpaid	+48.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	60c	56.28$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.77	1,310	49.2%644 W · 666 L	-23.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c80…e19bbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	73c	54.8$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	+3.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Aeterna Esports	50c	52.27$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.08	1,357	31.2%423 W · 934 L	-129.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Aeterna Esports	26c	51$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.74	222	39.6%88 W · 134 L	-21.7wins	-0.10per pick	49cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Aeterna Esports	25c	43.5$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	218	36.7%80 W · 138 L	-13.9wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf429…cbdcbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	56c	35.39$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	38	55.3%21 W · 17 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	73c	34.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	205	52.7%108 W · 97 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed1…18a8backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	65c	29$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.85	19	52.6%10 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	76c	25$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	1,728	29.5%509 W · 1,219 L	-123.2wins	-0.07per pick	37cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	48c	24.27$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.67	395	7.1%28 W · 367 L	-122.2wins	-0.31per pick	38cpaid	-74.1%equal weight	18-0.29 edge/pick
0xf822…d71cbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	64c	23.25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.05per pick	60cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	79c	15.67$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.37	290	38.6%112 W · 178 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	73c	15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.95	238	42.9%102 W · 136 L	-21.1wins	-0.09per pick	52cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a9d…6c84backed GMBLERS ESPORTS	74c	14.53$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.72	344	38.7%133 W · 211 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7f8…1d2fbacked GMBLERS ESPORTS	72c	13.98$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.07	24	70.8%17 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	72cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Aeterna Esports (BO1) - LIT Regular Season

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market