Fifa International · resolved market
Will Czechia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xead4efb99b477adc5917ae586f36099890de2dade002e173e691b5744a9ae687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 11.2%13 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 33c | 315.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.08 | 181 | 39.8%72 W · 109 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed No | 70c | 300$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cfe…e4debacked Yes | 20c | 262$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 226 | 23.5%53 W · 173 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 5c | 219.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 17c | 174$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 35c | 166.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 154$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 61c | 145$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 438 | 35.8%157 W · 281 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…dddabacked Yes | 39c | 113.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 79c | 103$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 79c | 96$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 101 | 64.4%65 W · 36 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 75c | 92.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…6dfebacked Yes | 32c | 73.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.53 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…6b2bbacked Yes | 21c | 67.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…ae4ebacked Yes | 51c | 64.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 165 | 49.1%81 W · 84 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 38c | 63.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 78c | 61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaab…b2fcbacked Yes | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked Yes | 29c | 59.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Yes | 20c | 57.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 63c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…d874backed No | 45c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…8227backed Yes | 38c | 37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +88.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b93…40fbbacked Yes | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe49e…2672backed Yes | 38c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd3…a580backed Yes | 38c | 32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -73%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 62c | 29.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…0685backed Yes | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 80c | 22.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 68c | 19.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 65c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 228 | 34.6%79 W · 149 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Czechia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?this page
- Will Czechia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?Yes won
- Will Czechia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.