Fifa International · resolved market
Will Czechia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82087766e2abb664084dd36ee33a1f3c33e90a44384155705cf323347139789b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,827
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7dc9…525ebacked No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 116 | 11.2%13 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…d4b9backed Yes | 74c | 1,389$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.14 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed Yes | 64c | 401.23$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.36 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked No | 25c | 324.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.35 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf609…e68bbacked No | 42c | 321.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.42 | 206 | 52.9%109 W · 97 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 80c | 291.09$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.89 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45f5…6fffbacked Yes | 44c | 229.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.77 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7e…28ddbacked Yes | 43c | 226.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.02 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…b1aabacked No | 30c | 222.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 165 | 40.6%67 W · 98 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked No | 24c | 211.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.23 | 878 | 37.2%327 W · 551 L | -41.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 15c | 182.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 15c | 177.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.86 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed No | 26c | 162.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed Yes | 66c | 160.53$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 36c | 154.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 29c | 151.61$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed No | 35c | 148.24$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.32 | 350 | 33.7%118 W · 232 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 8c | 138.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 24c | 136.61$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 44c | 135$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.1 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed No | 78c | 127.64$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 39c | 114.4$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.06 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ac…40d9backed No | 26c | 103$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad58…7624backed No | 23c | 97.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed No | 54c | 93.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 184 | 60.9%112 W · 72 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Yes | 48c | 93.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 345 | 54.2%187 W · 158 L | +17.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ee…a587backed No | 53c | 92.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.06 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x426f…e76bbacked Yes | 42c | 89.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…51d5backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ef…dddabacked Yes | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605e…3aacbacked Yes | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d0…6070backed Yes | 68c | 70.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 41c | 69.03$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.73 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 26c | 61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed No | 60c | 59.95$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.97 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed No | 55c | 57$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 56c | 56.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 1,067 | 49.1%524 W · 543 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…bed6backed No | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 75c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 56c | 30.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.34 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 56c | 29.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0e…c02bbacked No | 56c | 29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 163 | 33.7%55 W · 108 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 75c | 23.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed No | 55c | 23.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 212 | 39.6%84 W · 128 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 56c | 19.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Czechia be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?this page
- Will Czechia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?No won
- Will Czechia be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.