South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb85c21a98d23adff1051a900fca55cafdc8cc0e2883479bb8e8dba587f1886d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 56c | 9,245$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,070.91 | 2,608 | 39.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L | -29.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 69c | 7,115$4,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,920.36 | 2,376 | 34.7%824 W · 1,552 L | -27.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3740…a935backed Yes | 80c | 3,000$2,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610.68 | 110 | 64.5%71 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked No | 23c | 1,571$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.01 | 524 | 43.3%227 W · 297 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 22c | 1,395$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.55 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,338$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.17 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…0595backed Yes | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 5c | 949.67$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 595 | 39.7%236 W · 359 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed No | 68c | 905.61$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.81 | 211 | 64.5%136 W · 75 L | +23.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 44c | 784.85$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.99 | 1,323 | 42.8%566 W · 757 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 745.73$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.09 | 5,831 | 45.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L | +99.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 46c | 706.31$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.93 | 1,511 | 46.1%697 W · 814 L | -15.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 34c | 635.76$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.16 | 262 | 35.9%94 W · 168 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.12 | 216 | 52.8%114 W · 102 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 49c | 457.76$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.72 | 286 | 34.6%99 W · 187 L | -16.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 38c | 383.81$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.9 | 389 | 39.6%154 W · 235 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 23c | 359.98$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.79 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 56c | 354.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.74 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 26c | 322.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.45 | 723 | 36.9%267 W · 456 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…86e1backed Yes | 22c | 272.73$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed No | 41c | 243.72$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.25 | 244 | 37.3%91 W · 153 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 6c | 229.49$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked No | 14c | 201.1$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.43 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed No | 20c | 195.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 13c | 170.08$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 934 | 45.1%421 W · 513 L | -28.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed No | 32c | 169.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 176 | 42%74 W · 102 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 35c | 158.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.81 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 25c | 148.92$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 2,015 | 51.4%1,036 W · 979 L | +44.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06b…3353backed Yes | 37c | 132.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.43 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…8b4dbacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Yes | 21c | 123.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.08 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 75c | 108.45$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.21 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 76c | 97.91$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.57 | 3,817 | 38.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L | -30.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 58c | 95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked No | 47c | 94.53$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +73%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes | 26c | 93.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 19c | 89.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 106 | 50.9%54 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed No | 26c | 82.06$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 57c | 78.47$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 343 | 41.1%141 W · 202 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 68.6%96 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed No | 40c | 58.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.47 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -5.8wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -81.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 23c | 54.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 24c | 50.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 466 | 46.4%216 W · 250 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 49c | 50.11$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 542 | 45.4%246 W · 296 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2de6…b08bbacked No | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 74c | 37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1,055 | 49.3%520 W · 535 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 43c | 35.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 930 | 46.3%431 W · 499 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked No | 53c | 34.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.65 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Yes | 42c | 34.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 64c | 34$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 71c | 30.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 657 | 61.3%403 W · 254 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 875 | 21.3%186 W · 689 L | -83.4wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…1988backed No | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5055…62fdbacked Yes | 78c | 28.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abb…d858backed Yes | 73c | 24.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 75c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 519 | 35.5%184 W · 335 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 57c | 20.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 271 | 65.7%178 W · 93 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 445 | 61.6%274 W · 171 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 63 | 74.6%47 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 16.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 3,449 | 51.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L | +22.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 77cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 13.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1,325 | 50%663 W · 662 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Yes | 80c | 13.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.68 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 80c | 12.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pumas de la UNAM vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-23?No won
- Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.