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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,784
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$204,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,784 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes51c36,133$18,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,544.651935.5%184 W · 335 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes50c27,721$13,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,868.5472336.9%267 W · 456 L+2.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b62…5cc8backed No51c20,000$10,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,8505269.2%36 W · 16 L+4.6wins+0.09per pick60cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes49c16,362$8,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,078.8219151.3%98 W · 93 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No48c9,144$4,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,715.685756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No50c9,072$4,524 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,548.072,01551.4%1,036 W · 979 L+44.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked No50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0004351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked No50c8,000$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0007656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4c9…617dbacked No49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0801963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+27.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No50c7,983$3,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,991.7521043.8%92 W · 118 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes1c7,005$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.454420.5%9 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-70.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6bf…8380backed No50c6,660$3,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,330.032544%11 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83d4…ad01backed Yes39c6,093$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No62c5,772$3,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.731,32342.8%566 W · 757 L-2.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No64c5,547$3,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,984.832,60839.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L-29.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes46c4,980$2,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,308.042,37634.7%824 W · 1,552 L-27.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes50c4,729$2,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,364.51553.3%8 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes51c3,500$1,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,78532242.5%137 W · 185 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Yes50c3,371$1,686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.5862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47035946.8%168 W · 191 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No49c3,000$1,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5302360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No49c2,678$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,356.161,51146.1%697 W · 814 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8aa…7b9bbacked No52c2,669$1,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-51.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No50c2,654$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.0820553.2%109 W · 96 L+12.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c2,630$1,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$918.848,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes29c2,224$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.7338939.6%154 W · 235 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No48c2,070$995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.021,30853.7%702 W · 606 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9c…b67dbacked No50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2829…12a0backed No48c1,995$957 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No50c1,954$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.191,70352%886 W · 817 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x022c…5ef0backed Yes50c1,938$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No48c1,899$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987.31,26153.6%676 W · 585 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes47c1,844$863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.5350546.7%236 W · 269 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes41c1,838$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.2554245.4%246 W · 296 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes50c1,770$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.4110154.5%55 W · 46 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes1c1,635$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3559539.7%236 W · 359 L+2.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No49c1,541$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.3232640.2%131 W · 195 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd93b…cd48backed No48c1,478$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$768.567345.2%33 W · 40 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb98…0f6bbacked Yes30c1,380$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes47c1,321$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$616.5752443.3%227 W · 297 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2185…b40cbacked Yes50c1,320$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.22161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes26c1,265$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.4414040%56 W · 84 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No79c1,212$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.095,83145.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L+99.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked No74c1,196$881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.5728634.6%99 W · 187 L-16.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No49c1,111$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.8781356.5%459 W · 354 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed No55c1,077$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.722965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes1c1,075$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1910710.3%11 W · 96 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes9c1,070$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.313135.1%46 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19b5…c0aebacked No48c1,065$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.63728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-36.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes2c1,037$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.845345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49035946.5%167 W · 192 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd202…1ef5backed Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010827.8%30 W · 78 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Yes10c970.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick23cpaid+59%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Yes50c950$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes47c899.12$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.2936745.8%168 W · 199 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No76c852.12$651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.7127339.2%107 W · 166 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Yes36c833.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.578030%24 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes31c811.1$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5126235.9%94 W · 168 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No49c761$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.119053.3%48 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No48c750$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39020549.3%101 W · 104 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes50c746$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5633…59bcbacked Yes50c746$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No49c733.02$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.223,44951.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L+22.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Yes50c622$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Yes36c606.47$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203246.9%15 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed No55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.24060%24 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Yes51c568$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.681154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No55c503$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.351,55945.1%703 W · 856 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes50c498.49$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.251,48937.4%557 W · 932 L+5.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed No64c481.07$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.072564%16 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Yes50c433$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No65c417.91$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.1824437.3%91 W · 153 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Yes51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20420%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2396…9485backed No51c399.17$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.595350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No77c389.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.053,81738.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Yes36c378.72$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1361735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No50c378.48$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.247048.6%34 W · 36 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x734e…edbdbacked No51c377.35$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.93363.6%21 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9661…36f6backed Yes43c338$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.562536%9 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No79c315.53$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3134341.1%141 W · 202 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes5c311.75$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.838625.6%22 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ea…1676backed No50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No67c298.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9921652.8%114 W · 102 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed No54c297.9$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.016561.5%40 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Yes50c272.34$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.171250%6 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+21.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No73c267.28$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.9417642%74 W · 102 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes7c253.85$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.464334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked No49c251.02$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.023151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x82fb…0b6ebacked Yes50c250$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259756.7%55 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes48c240.47$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.3711143.2%48 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes51c225$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.753240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x14a9…0f04backed Yes51c225$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50cc…a534backed No50c220$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101040%4 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0f3…883cbacked Yes46c219.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No50c218.01$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.652,65554.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L+27.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c4…f7b8backed Yes51c215.69$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x909c…95aabacked Yes50c215$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5247…ece7backed No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8af5…4bbabacked Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502528%7 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-47.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.