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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,956
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,446

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,956 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No36c22,627$8,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,414.932,37634.7%824 W · 1,552 L-27.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes23c7,840$1,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,793.291,32342.8%566 W · 757 L-2.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes59c6,077$3,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,575.558,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Yes19c3,377$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.398030%24 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2398…8894backed Yes27c2,963$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes65c2,196$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.762,60839.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L-29.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes5c1,821$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.934420.5%9 W · 35 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-70.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes39c1,648$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$644.0628634.6%99 W · 187 L-16.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No57c1,318$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.3438939.6%154 W · 235 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Yes28c1,214$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.792965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No47c1,170$555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$615.045,83145.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L+99.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes73c1,166$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.553,81738.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No27c1,122$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.0136745.8%168 W · 199 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No46c1,016$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.7254245.4%246 W · 296 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes76c1,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76011064.5%71 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No60c982.63$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.7626235.9%94 W · 168 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes26c961.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25014930.2%45 W · 104 L+8.2wins+0.06per pick25cpaid-5.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes2c948.94$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.455345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No73c750$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2052147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes3c550$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5310710.3%11 W · 96 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes25c537$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.9951935.5%184 W · 335 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No76c492.37$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8627339.2%107 W · 166 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes29c449$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.3450546.7%236 W · 269 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed No79c378.48$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.482564%16 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick69cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed No75c370.25$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.5623067%154 W · 76 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No42c317.68$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.8117642%74 W · 102 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7a5…38d8backed No76c303.63$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.87580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+30.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No25c291.99$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.759222.8%21 W · 71 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No50c289.52$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.1814040%56 W · 84 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes69c270.18$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.4622365%145 W · 78 L+22.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xed01…83a8backed Yes61c267.97$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.412839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-33.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5767…490ebacked No79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.161770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x461d…5599backed Yes40c223.77$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x425d…86e1backed Yes23c221.76$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes54c210.47$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.1474258.5%434 W · 308 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes21c207.63$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6652443.3%227 W · 297 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No55c203.27$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1693046.3%431 W · 499 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes29c200$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.056144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No64c198.79$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7934341.1%141 W · 202 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes28c183.27$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526561.5%40 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes24c160.18$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.445756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2a…39bdbacked No76c157.89$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.89666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick77cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes27c152$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0424045%108 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes31c142.3$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.231,27256.1%713 W · 559 L+72.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes25c140.95$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2472336.9%267 W · 456 L+2.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b13…37dbbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.587471.6%53 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes62c128$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7544561.6%274 W · 171 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f9…fa68backed No22c124.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.943218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes20c122.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3513135.1%46 W · 85 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x852e…e616backed Yes22c121.95$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes76c120.39$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.9427165.7%178 W · 93 L+13.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3bc…31fbbacked Yes80c118.42$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.741963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xceb5…f397backed No77c116.95$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.951668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed No26c110.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.831130.9%96 W · 215 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes24c106$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.842,65554.2%1,440 W · 1,215 L+27.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x638a…64e2backed Yes24c102.33$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.24616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick35cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No77c99.81$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.2267948.2%327 W · 352 L-18.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes49c91.48$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.3720552.7%108 W · 97 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No74c90$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.413351.1%68 W · 65 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No74c85.28$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.173,44951.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L+22.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Yes24c72.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.469551.6%49 W · 46 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No75c71.91$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.981,32550%663 W · 662 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Yes26c69.48$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8187521.3%186 W · 689 L-83.4wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-50.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Yes73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Yes73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bcd…c00fbacked Yes73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x652b…e9c9backed Yes73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc8e…944ebacked No76c65.79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7914068.6%96 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes66c63.95$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3916859.5%100 W · 68 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Yes56c59.23$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.0365761.3%403 W · 254 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes45c59.12$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8645046.2%208 W · 242 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2035…dc1cbacked Yes27c56.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.991816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes31c55.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.168625.6%22 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a85…3699backed No20c52.51$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.262962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes23c52.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.081,51146.1%697 W · 814 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e40…56c1backed No69c52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x962e…1d75backed Yes68c51.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.235872.4%42 W · 16 L+6.8wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes27c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed No75c44.6$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.1514851.4%76 W · 72 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No77c43.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9724437.3%91 W · 153 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-36%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes37c42.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.811143.2%48 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4941…b03cbacked No32c40$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.22373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick64cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed No76c39.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.473951.3%20 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes48c32.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4222349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No75c32$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.911,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Yes73c28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4410650.9%54 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x083e…81a1backed No75c26.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.653164.5%20 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick77cpaid-16.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Yes76c26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6634365.9%226 W · 117 L+11.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x239d…daebbacked No76c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-26.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked No75c25$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.183669.4%25 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No72c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.441,46656.8%833 W · 633 L+56.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed No76c20.82$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8915565.8%102 W · 53 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Yes72c20.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.046267.7%42 W · 20 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x70bb…10d3backed No73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fc…2a1fbacked Yes78c20$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.56374.6%47 W · 16 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8084…abe8backed No76c15.79$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.793482.4%28 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick77cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.