Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebe387504ddee2ade28f04049fc071154ec480cebe1b351a1b8cea34b4386127
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,932
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,932 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 38c | 824.2$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.66 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 59c | 596$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.51 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…56bbbacked No | 53c | 480.73$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.08 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 39c | 409.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.35 | 259 | 33.6%87 W · 172 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 8c | 299.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 63c | 283.57$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 45c | 278$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.1 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 50c | 176.15$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.43 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf875…814dbacked No | 62c | 161.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…1f0abacked Yes | 41c | 156.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.62 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed No | 54c | 153.07$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.13 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…87d3backed Yes | 43c | 152.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 303 | 32.3%98 W · 205 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 32c | 148.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 60c | 116.95$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.29 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 51c | 116$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.15 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 42c | 109.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 66c | 102$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Yes | 37c | 99.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.49 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 39c | 95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 72c | 93.81$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.49 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…8282backed No | 73c | 91.26$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 27c | 86.58$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.2 | 775 | 55.2%428 W · 347 L | -13.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed Yes | 33c | 83.11$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 65c | 74.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 41c | 73.04$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.04 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe930…8c7ebacked Yes | 49c | 71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 37cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 72c | 69.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed No | 58c | 67.82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.04 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 58c | 67.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked Yes | 64c | 67.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 59c | 67.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.35 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 35c | 66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.26 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 65$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 55c | 62.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.53 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 44c | 61.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 43c | 61.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 29c | 60.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd654…2efebacked Yes | 50c | 58.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.26 | 404 | 61.4%248 W · 156 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 55c | 56.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 63c | 54.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…ea54backed No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 284 | 41.2%117 W · 167 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89cc…9e01backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…3bd7backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…d600backed No | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 134 | 48.5%65 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebdb…5ac4backed Yes | 40c | 49.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 850 | 49.8%423 W · 427 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 66c | 48.35$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 38c | 48.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…d59abacked Yes | 29c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.78 | 1,298 | 41.7%541 W · 757 L | +53.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 66c | 45.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb2…d640backed Yes | 31c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 33c | 44.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 54c | 43.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 40c | 40.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 60c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 34c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…3667backed Yes | 39c | 38.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.61 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked No | 56c | 38$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed Yes | 30c | 34.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…a5fbbacked Yes | 38c | 31.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bc…7714backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 64cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 34c | 29.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1917…138bbacked Yes | 43c | 28.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 337 | 46.9%158 W · 179 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 57c | 26.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 55c | 25.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 2,124 | 57.4%1,220 W · 904 L | +69.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 61c | 25.64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 42c | 25.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed No | 66c | 24.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 1,280 | 51.2%655 W · 625 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 24.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 23.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 58c | 23.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6a…4614backed Yes | 67c | 23.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | -11.5wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a86…84ecbacked No | 72c | 22.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 465 | 49.9%232 W · 233 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 54c | 22.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4264…1706backed Yes | 74c | 21.18$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 408 | 71.8%293 W · 115 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 59c | 20.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 72c | 20.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…f2e4backed Yes | 54c | 20.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 141 | 61.7%87 W · 54 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ea…7367backed No | 71c | 19.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 1,896 | 61.5%1,166 W · 730 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 60c | 17.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4786…6e4fbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -78%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6199backed No | 67c | 15.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 622 | 75.2%468 W · 154 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.