Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc88fafd731d6218039c8e6a49019f28a578d81a2b0ca24af8701b0896741abab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,274
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdef8…4a8ebacked Yes | 0c | 6,832$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 73c | 586$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.26 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafde…3e1dbacked Yes | 6c | 421.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 1,331 | 20.8%277 W · 1,054 L | +33.9wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 19c | 419.27$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.84 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 25c | 357.44$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.45 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…9a10backed No | 67c | 343.18$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.53 | 868 | 47.7%414 W · 454 L | +40.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 23c | 310.01$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.25 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 28c | 258.55$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 695 | 20%139 W · 556 L | -44.4wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 73c | 253.03$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.29 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 28c | 229.8$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.01 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 74c | 179.51$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.03 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…66b4backed Yes | 36c | 177$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.72 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f19…e819backed Yes | 30c | 164.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 529 | 35.7%189 W · 340 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa05…9907backed No | 78c | 163.98$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed Yes | 24c | 158.14$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked Yes | 25c | 156.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 19c | 144.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed Yes | 26c | 143.77$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35fc…ac54backed Yes | 25c | 143.77$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.23 | 247 | 51.8%128 W · 119 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…89d9backed Yes | 29c | 140$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.6 | 293 | 45.1%132 W · 161 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 77c | 139.45$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 65c | 137.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 31c | 136.52$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed Yes | 24c | 127.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 66c | 126.09$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 33c | 103.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.83 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 71c | 102$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda56…4176backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 129 | 34.1%44 W · 85 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53c0…33a5backed Yes | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11d0…69c9backed Yes | 18c | 99.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4c…ea41backed Yes | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 710 | 31.5%224 W · 486 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…8282backed Yes | 34c | 97.65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…4d7bbacked Yes | 30c | 95.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 183 | 68.9%126 W · 57 L | +25.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 28c | 95$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 23c | 92.95$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.49 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1c…05cfbacked Yes | 20c | 85.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…902dbacked Yes | 23c | 85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e06…9754backed Yes | 31c | 84.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 136 | 30.1%41 W · 95 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 83.33$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 77c | 83$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 14c | 77.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 66c | 77.29$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed No | 69c | 75.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.12 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 67c | 74.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.73 | 1,901 | 55.6%1,057 W · 844 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8792…4174backed Yes | 56c | 74.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 64c | 72.85$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 74c | 67.06$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f89…8819backed No | 75c | 66.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 66$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 61c | 64.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 19c | 62.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 20c | 61.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 55c | 61$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1440…7712backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd50c…3360backed No | 71c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 281 | 42%118 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 29c | 54.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0528…99dabacked No | 73c | 54.79$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 63cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc756…0ec3backed Yes | 31c | 53.22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 132 | 66.7%88 W · 44 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 53.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 35c | 52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…6e99backed No | 60c | 51$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 167 | 24.6%41 W · 126 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 64c | 50.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 24c | 50.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…0d2fbacked Yes | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 528 | 28%148 W · 380 L | -57.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab9…8ba6backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 304 | 42.8%130 W · 174 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee88…3bd7backed Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37df…f8b9backed No | 67c | 45.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 77c | 45.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 25c | 45.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 68c | 45.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.45 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked Yes | 45c | 43.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 65c | 42.32$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 62c | 42.04$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12ea…a131backed No | 72c | 41.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 985 | 65.1%641 W · 344 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 71c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf0…2330backed Yes | 34c | 39.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +24.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 63c | 39$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…9420backed Yes | 27c | 37.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 130 | 35.4%46 W · 84 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…fc9bbacked Yes | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x156b…5808backed Yes | 36c | 36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 405 | 35.6%144 W · 261 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a1…3154backed No | 72c | 33.87$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 2,067 | 74.6%1,542 W · 525 L | +23.8wins | +0.01per pick | 73cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa33d…3ef2backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 456 | 75.2%343 W · 113 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…f434backed No | 64c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 475 | 69.5%330 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ad…9a0dbacked Yes | 40c | 30.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 234 | 63.7%149 W · 85 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7296…4568backed No | 67c | 29.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked No | 77c | 25.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 92 | 72.8%67 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 61c | 22.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.63 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…2aafbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 106 | 65.1%69 W · 37 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64f8…eec6backed No | 66c | 19.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 63c | 17.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 74c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb58…478abacked No | 63c | 15.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 64c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 72c | 14.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 24?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 24?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 24?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on June 24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.