TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF M25 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Men: Andrey Chepelev vs Stefan Horia Haita

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stefan Horia Haitaof Andrey Chepelev, Stefan Horia Haita
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$48,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,780 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2978…b511backed Andrey Chepelev38c10,585$4,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,040.0241131.9%131 W · 280 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3663…8950backed Andrey Chepelev38c7,617$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.6739043.6%170 W · 220 L+21.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Andrey Chepelev22c4,271$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.9811,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Stefan Horia Haita74c4,157$3,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.128,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Stefan Horia Haita63c2,628$1,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.956,41946.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Stefan Horia Haita62c2,240$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.248,39642.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L-162.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Stefan Horia Haita67c1,995$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.281,67250.1%837 W · 835 L+30.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Stefan Horia Haita67c1,791$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$591.034,41151.8%2,286 W · 2,125 L+137.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Andrey Chepelev35c999.99$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35024844%109 W · 139 L+11.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Stefan Horia Haita71c961.92$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.873,63154.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L+110.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Andrey Chepelev36c931.98$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.1612752.8%67 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc1a…bbb8backed Andrey Chepelev36c750.97$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.352722.2%6 W · 21 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Stefan Horia Haita52c592.4$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.252,75453.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L+71.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc196…2e6bbacked Stefan Horia Haita39c553.15$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.4212040%48 W · 72 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Stefan Horia Haita62c513.69$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.4780558.6%472 W · 333 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74f9…6024backed Stefan Horia Haita67c505$338 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6555753.7%299 W · 258 L+19.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Stefan Horia Haita43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2854,88238.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L-17.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Stefan Horia Haita66c498.64$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.641,07360.4%648 W · 425 L+24.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed Stefan Horia Haita57c456.61$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.6330147.5%143 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Stefan Horia Haita63c307.91$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.431,25238.8%486 W · 766 L-23.0wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Stefan Horia Haita67c297.31$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.3129953.5%160 W · 139 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb3…3861backed Andrey Chepelev55c290.18$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.57425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-53.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0828…a1a6backed Stefan Horia Haita40c286.79$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.1727048.1%130 W · 140 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Andrey Chepelev42c235.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9930042.3%127 W · 173 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf3b…9035backed Stefan Horia Haita67c228.54$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6630355.8%169 W · 134 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…359cbacked Stefan Horia Haita70c225.69$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.2349957.5%287 W · 212 L+29.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Andrey Chepelev39c219.21$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.491,06231.8%338 W · 724 L-27.2wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xecc5…5fdebacked Andrey Chepelev47c213.79$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022442.9%96 W · 128 L-8.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4b6…5858backed Andrey Chepelev20c199.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4022930.6%70 W · 159 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Stefan Horia Haita67c195.45$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4536548.2%176 W · 189 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Stefan Horia Haita77c188.53$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.4885741.7%357 W · 500 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d3e…986cbacked Stefan Horia Haita64c181.56$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.3663447.9%304 W · 330 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fd1…a282backed Stefan Horia Haita50c179.96$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.61346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e61…2f1bbacked Stefan Horia Haita67c179.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.129148.5%141 W · 150 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3679…492ebacked Andrey Chepelev36c178.78$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.3628454.2%154 W · 130 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Stefan Horia Haita59c168.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5321351.6%110 W · 103 L-7.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed Stefan Horia Haita52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7241958.7%246 W · 173 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe521…9caebacked Andrey Chepelev39c139.26$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.3144527.2%121 W · 324 L-1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Stefan Horia Haita52c130$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.424052.5%126 W · 114 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a55…a82abacked Stefan Horia Haita59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6931447.8%150 W · 164 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Stefan Horia Haita73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2722540.4%91 W · 134 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Andrey Chepelev37c99.37$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3848947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43ed…6232backed Andrey Chepelev41c95.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1516248.1%78 W · 84 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Stefan Horia Haita67c88.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0978757.1%449 W · 338 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b2…953bbacked Stefan Horia Haita64c80.88$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.125248.1%25 W · 27 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Stefan Horia Haita64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1394149.5%466 W · 475 L+17.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe24e…eecebacked Stefan Horia Haita65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9287054.6%475 W · 395 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd82…6a10backed Stefan Horia Haita65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9227357.9%158 W · 115 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66ac…5e75backed Stefan Horia Haita65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9293055.9%520 W · 410 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39c1…3174backed Stefan Horia Haita66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7638051.6%196 W · 184 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e69…553abacked Stefan Horia Haita66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7691255.9%510 W · 402 L+21.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a1…5551backed Stefan Horia Haita48c75$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3989435.9%321 W · 573 L-14.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b36ebacked Stefan Horia Haita59c73.25$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.750746.5%236 W · 271 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec17…0af9backed Andrey Chepelev42c69.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4612639.7%50 W · 76 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b3…e104backed Andrey Chepelev42c69.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4611837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d5…573bbacked Stefan Horia Haita53c67.92$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.928942.7%38 W · 51 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3db7…375cbacked Andrey Chepelev19c66.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6115632.1%50 W · 106 L+16.0wins+0.10per pick22cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x604e…2cb1backed Andrey Chepelev19c66.35$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6110425%26 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x940c…6f91backed Stefan Horia Haita52c65.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.998758.6%51 W · 36 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+70.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9028…8608backed Stefan Horia Haita77c60.56$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6442546.4%197 W · 228 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Andrey Chepelev39c59.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.111,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Andrey Chepelev32c58.2$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.623,20440.5%1,299 W · 1,905 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a49…737abacked Andrey Chepelev59c57.71$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420163.2%127 W · 74 L+0.9wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Stefan Horia Haita53c57.65$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.135851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68b6…99b4backed Stefan Horia Haita55c57.14$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5711853.4%63 W · 55 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Stefan Horia Haita67c55.46$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1225150.2%126 W · 125 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked Stefan Horia Haita64c54.47$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.452657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe055…3157backed Stefan Horia Haita56c53.57$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5710856.5%61 W · 47 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Andrey Chepelev20c52.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6410751.4%55 W · 52 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Andrey Chepelev32c52.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.923,41239.1%1,335 W · 2,077 L-11.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Stefan Horia Haita67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.56,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Andrey Chepelev30c49.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1533134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Andrey Chepelev60c48.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2944365.9%292 W · 151 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88a9…e618backed Stefan Horia Haita66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4591354.9%501 W · 412 L+16.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Stefan Horia Haita66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4547956.8%272 W · 207 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Andrey Chepelev32c38.54$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.332,14237.3%799 W · 1,343 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Stefan Horia Haita53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.741,00138.4%384 W · 617 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Stefan Horia Haita66c37.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.761,62454.4%883 W · 741 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x91ac…5ff3backed Andrey Chepelev27c37.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059941.1%246 W · 353 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c33…c397backed Andrey Chepelev30c36.48$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.831717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-68.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Stefan Horia Haita55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3655437.5%208 W · 346 L+0.7wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa54…12a1backed Andrey Chepelev62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb3e…b9c5backed Stefan Horia Haita59c30.22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.3934658.1%201 W · 145 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe134…f6dabacked Stefan Horia Haita64c29.79$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7323954.8%131 W · 108 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc02…ce2abacked Stefan Horia Haita75c28.59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2520772%149 W · 58 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick73cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c22…7b22backed Stefan Horia Haita72c27.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.766866.2%45 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Andrey Chepelev47c26.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2967745.6%309 W · 368 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe392…d868backed Stefan Horia Haita79c26.13$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.618459.8%110 W · 74 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea88…261abacked Stefan Horia Haita79c24.45$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.021566.7%10 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Stefan Horia Haita59c21.36$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7632659.2%193 W · 133 L-12.1wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4c0…70babacked Stefan Horia Haita53c19.14$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Stefan Horia Haita63c15.76$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.7574246.4%344 W · 398 L-28.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.