Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeec5654a4ebfab3e4aa3c7db28e5b09344d61a79c0d566abb1ce6ae94d1a9c89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,700
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,103
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,700 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 23c | 459.4$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.69 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 15c | 308.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.65 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 62c | 249.98$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.48 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef6…2adebacked Yes | 42c | 240$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 259 | 47.1%122 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 38c | 225.54$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.08 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 66c | 204.81$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.33 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 27c | 204.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.56 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 70c | 199.6$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.79 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 58c | 197.05$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.2 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked Yes | 37c | 186.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.41 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 185.9$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.11 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 42c | 174.81$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 50c | 168.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 46c | 167.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed Yes | 72c | 156.15$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.95 | 2,068 | 55.9%1,156 W · 912 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 51c | 155.56$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 75c | 128.77$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 48c | 120.59$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf114…6eccbacked Yes | 76c | 118.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.56 | 1,090 | 74.2%809 W · 281 L | +179.3wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 28c | 112.7$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.7 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…df91backed Yes | 27c | 112.66$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.87 | 945 | 52.5%496 W · 449 L | +27.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed Yes | 38c | 100.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…1a22backed Yes | 67c | 100.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 97 | 83.5%81 W · 16 L | +26.5wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 74+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xa081…e7a0backed No | 30c | 100.09$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 389 | 61.7%240 W · 149 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf36…ffb0backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | +14.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +28%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…d8fcbacked Yes | 37c | 97.07$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 25c | 97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…77dabacked Yes | 36c | 95.03$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.74 | 404 | 38.1%154 W · 250 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 41c | 94.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 39c | 94.51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 72c | 91.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 538 | 55%296 W · 242 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 29c | 88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 38c | 84.57$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 34c | 82.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.2 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 58c | 81.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.38 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…cdd8backed Yes | 54c | 77.19$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.21 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd988…6ce5backed Yes | 76c | 75.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…3ca8backed No | 68c | 74.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 235 | 38.3%90 W · 145 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…b52abacked Yes | 45c | 71.04$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 58c | 67.79$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 35c | 66.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 22c | 66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.48 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xede4…1c40backed No | 72c | 58.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 153 | 69.9%107 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 74cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed No | 59c | 58.12$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 40c | 56.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 45c | 54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc6…d496backed Yes | 64c | 53.52$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fa…4531backed Yes | 43c | 51.06$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.86 | 319 | 36.1%115 W · 204 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb4…4ea8backed Yes | 39c | 50.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 75 | 62.7%47 W · 28 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 348 | 53.4%186 W · 162 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108a…8159backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 587 | 32.9%193 W · 394 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b17…f3febacked Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ab…e521backed No | 57c | 44.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 659 | 65.4%431 W · 228 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf5…c9fdbacked No | 67c | 44.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 45c | 43.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.19 | 461 | 48.8%225 W · 236 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 70c | 42.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 68c | 40.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…4dfcbacked Yes | 54c | 40.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 37c | 38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed No | 68c | 36.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdb…b241backed No | 69c | 35.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ead…0b4dbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked Yes | 41c | 32.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 57c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…2861backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked Yes | 42c | 29.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94ae…d801backed Yes | 44c | 29.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.52 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 56c | 28.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1f…8c58backed No | 68c | 28.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 180 | 38.9%70 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 55c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 58c | 24.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f9…3e96backed No | 63c | 23.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…1d33backed No | 63c | 23.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 55c | 23.58$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 80c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 79c | 20.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,722 | 64%1,102 W · 620 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb710…49c3backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed No | 56c | 18.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 73c | 14.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 107 | 64.5%69 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.