TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ATX Open: Ashlyn Krueger vs Caty McNally

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kruegerof Krueger, McNally
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$120,881
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,378

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $120,881 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2eda…0282backed McNally0c51,874$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb84…08a9backed McNally54c8,631$4,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,650.179855.1%54 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Krueger64c6,000$3,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,155.872,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Krueger64c5,046$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,832.032,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed McNally43c3,958$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,702.971,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Krueger39c3,486$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,126.5576140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked McNally43c3,479$1,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.5597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Krueger69c3,033$2,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$945.3581349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed McNally31c2,926$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901.4230241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed McNally31c2,745$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.492,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Krueger43c2,342$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,341.7344754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed Krueger65c2,032$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.885064%32 W · 18 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked McNally30c2,022$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$598.5665647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Krueger67c1,664$1,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.576,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked McNally30c1,415$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.7199044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Krueger77c1,362$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.342,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Krueger40c1,200$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7201,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked McNally60c1,180$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.464,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed McNally44c1,085$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.2769249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Krueger52c962.9$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.84,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed McNally52c852.2$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.668,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed McNally36c664.17$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.3526131.4%82 W · 179 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Krueger71c628.43$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.742,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7baa…03b7backed Krueger67c617.03$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.6216358.9%96 W · 67 L+12.4wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed McNally34c564.68$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.9968026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Krueger74c563$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.381,20649%591 W · 615 L+11.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Krueger39c549.94$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4612147.1%57 W · 64 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked McNally37c540.54$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed McNally29c520.38$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15068139.1%266 W · 415 L-30.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Krueger37c452.57$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.124,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Krueger66c442.45$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.042,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b9f…e125backed McNally19c438.87$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.395644.6%25 W · 31 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Krueger70c426.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.81,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Krueger40c425.65$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.331,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31e5…e2a2backed McNally31c419.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.219762.9%124 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed McNally25c402.86$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6562534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Krueger70c395.15$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.232,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed McNally57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Krueger67c348.64$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.975748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked McNally31c340$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5573745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Krueger67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9924060.8%146 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa990…965cbacked McNally31c298.87$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.252133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed McNally39c287.94$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.273,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8612…6a0abacked Krueger72c278.48$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.488145.7%37 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Krueger71c265.6$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.486,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed McNally59c254.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Krueger40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011047.3%52 W · 58 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked McNally61c249.18$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15224852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Krueger41c245.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.9512951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed McNally60c245.78$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14835268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed McNally15c242.5$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.4926244.7%117 W · 145 L-15.6wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed McNally29c214.95$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.86,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd205…e7fbbacked McNally52c199.98$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.9931039.4%122 W · 188 L-10.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed McNally34c172.15$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.841,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed McNally32c151.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.593048.8%454 W · 476 L+21.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Krueger41c148.93$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.8776546.8%358 W · 407 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Krueger79c141.01$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.6129063.8%185 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed McNally60c133$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.81,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed McNally59c132.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.511,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Krueger47c121.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.084,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed McNally31c103.41$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.383,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x6cf0…4972backed McNally61c101.98$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.215048%24 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked McNally61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6177967.8%528 W · 251 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick69cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Krueger55c97.98$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.157,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed McNally60c93.32$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8926050.4%131 W · 129 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb9a7…b64dbacked McNally66c91.2$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010863.9%69 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Krueger53c83.66$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3227539.6%109 W · 166 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb906…2a75backed McNally59c81.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1440744%179 W · 228 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf337…609abacked McNally27c80.46$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.349016.7%15 W · 75 L-9.6wins-0.11per pick27cpaid-54.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Krueger41c72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4878452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked McNally70c71.43$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021758.1%126 W · 91 L+6.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed McNally32c67.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5757252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Krueger80c60$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121,90444.1%839 W · 1,065 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Krueger40c59$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.438133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Krueger41c56$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.041,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Krueger43c51.69$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2150731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Krueger71c50.91$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9453752.3%281 W · 256 L+2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked McNally39c50.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.61,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Krueger40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3051849.4%256 W · 262 L-1.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7353…a4f0backed Krueger40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3054050.4%272 W · 268 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked McNally60c49$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.44,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed McNally60c48.9$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.11,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Krueger62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.391,45645.1%656 W · 800 L+42.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed McNally58c43.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517354.3%94 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked McNally61c42.62$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2688446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed McNally60c41.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258248.8%40 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…37f6backed McNally61c40.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253265.6%21 W · 11 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+17.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bec…37d3backed Krueger75c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.214272.5%103 W · 39 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0e…bb40backed Krueger68c36.87$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.84930.6%15 W · 34 L-3.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd8d4…3691backed McNally59c33.9$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203243.8%14 W · 18 L-5.2wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-23.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf791…8ef9backed McNally61c32.87$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.052975.9%22 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Krueger54c32.4$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed McNally46c28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.925,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x112e…0d1fbacked McNally61c26.23$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1634965%227 W · 122 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked McNally62c25.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1684963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Krueger55c25.13$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.353,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198c…6a94backed Krueger40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1513563%85 W · 50 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Krueger40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1521847.2%103 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7d3…25f8backed Krueger40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9190…896dbacked McNally54c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.912466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.