Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-07-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf173aa6b05c31873d2f140090c75d692c987ebec2fa7f6c8ba64c4852d3f2085
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,375
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,375 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 6,029$3,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,807.76 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 48c | 4,238$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.28 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 59c | 3,654$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.96 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 18c | 2,113$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.88 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 52c | 1,652$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.24 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 50c | 1,395$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.47 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 7c | 1,127$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.21 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked No | 48c | 1,095$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.95 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Yes | 50c | 933$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.7 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 42c | 909.83$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.34 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 52c | 720.33$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.61 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 3c | 587.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2759…2b38backed No | 50c | 526.39$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…67c1backed No | 41c | 494.32$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.84 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 50c | 464.58$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.29 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 69c | 410$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.9 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed No | 50c | 405$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 389.73$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.1 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 48c | 360.77$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.61 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 53c | 313.64$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.41 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed No | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Yes | 59c | 261.74$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed No | 39c | 257.47$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.31 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 78c | 240.07$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 50c | 216$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Yes | 47c | 207.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 32c | 206.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 31c | 186.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.63 | 136 | 66.2%90 W · 46 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90fa…f353backed Yes | 46c | 182.2$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 179.16$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.39 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Yes | 58c | 177.05$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.69 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 45c | 177$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.66 | 270 | 39.3%106 W · 164 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 69c | 142.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.98 | 299 | 59.5%178 W · 121 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes | 59c | 141.63$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.94 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +9.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 53c | 118$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Yes | 70c | 97.62$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 46c | 82.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 1,114 | 35.8%399 W · 715 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…c33dbacked Yes | 46c | 74.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd09…8974backed Yes | 20c | 59.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -81%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 380 | 47.4%180 W · 200 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 37c | 52.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe54…c928backed No | 46c | 51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 68c | 50.56$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 296 | 54.1%160 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 52c | 46.15$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked No | 44c | 45.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 54c | 39.26$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 793 | 54.2%430 W · 363 L | +17.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 60c | 33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Yes | 58c | 32.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 51c | 31.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -11.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 46c | 29.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 43c | 27.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 158 | 28.5%45 W · 113 L | -18.5wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed Yes | 61c | 25.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 60c | 21.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 74c | 19.87$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 202 | 44.6%90 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shelbourne FC win on 2026-07-30?this page
- Will Nõmme Kalju FC vs. Shelbourne FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Nõmme Kalju FC win on 2026-07-30?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.