Fifa International · resolved market
Japan vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2de212ed54d94c6eeac0e26bbee3a9654c077c565565de851a6b2ce011253a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,413
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,413 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 11c | 3,063$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.26 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…9babbacked Yes | 46c | 1,332$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Yes | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed No | 57c | 1,012$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.91 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 54c | 729.38$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.51 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…f0d8backed No | 80c | 687.29$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.46 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 551.48$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.13 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 513.43$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…468dbacked Yes | 43c | 506.98$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 24c | 411.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 44.9%142 W · 174 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Yes | 21c | 403.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 444 | 35.4%157 W · 287 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…36dfbacked No | 80c | 398.84$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 145 | 56.6%82 W · 63 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e3…3792backed Yes | 27c | 365.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1e…7ee3backed No | 57c | 353.31$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.94 | 161 | 65.8%106 W · 55 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 44c | 281.82$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b5…c37abacked Yes | 44c | 227.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 173.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.14 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 43c | 165.71$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.61 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 153.64$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.41 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa31a…d023backed Yes | 43c | 148.3$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 70c | 108.11$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.85 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed No | 56c | 106$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.64 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 43c | 103$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Yes | 19c | 102.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed No | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 667 | 45%300 W · 367 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 21c | 90.19$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked No | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 135 | 48.1%65 W · 70 L | -9.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed No | 57c | 87.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc338…974ebacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 197 | 46.2%91 W · 106 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc96d…1a5bbacked No | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Yes | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef9…11b4backed No | 55c | 54.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 277 | 67.9%188 W · 89 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 177 | 37.9%67 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3fa…cdb2backed No | 57c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.64 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a4…a4d7backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…dda9backed No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Yes | 45c | 30.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -6.5wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked No | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 311 | 47.9%149 W · 162 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Japan vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 0.5Over won
- Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5Under won
- Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 2.5Under won
- Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5Under won
- Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5Under won
- Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Japan (-1.5)Iceland won
- Spread: Japan (-2.5)Iceland won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.