NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2ec6ecffdf2a825444eaac0196ad86c1ac5b039cfa7b5bb54afc31328e7d45f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Spurs, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $507,014
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $534,821
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $507,014 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Spurs | 4c | 72,792$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,173.6 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435c…8079backed Spurs | 12c | 36,540$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Spurs | 6c | 33,554$1,971 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.02 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 14c | 23,869$3,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.11 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Spurs | 1c | 18,444$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.92 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Spurs | 8c | 17,521$1,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.73 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cc…73e6backed Spurs | 11c | 9,706$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,105 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Spurs | 14c | 5,750$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…a89abacked Spurs | 13c | 5,599$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Spurs | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Spurs | 13c | 4,968$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.1 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Spurs | 5c | 4,460$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.95 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Spurs | 12c | 3,905$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.41 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Spurs | 2c | 3,400$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.3 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Spurs | 15c | 3,290$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 475 | 42.3%201 W · 274 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 8c | 3,076$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Spurs | 14c | 3,035$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.54 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Spurs | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Spurs | 1c | 2,700$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs | 13c | 2,333$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.39 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Spurs | 13c | 2,250$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.14 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Clippers | 73c | 2,249$1,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.11 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Spurs | 13c | 2,139$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.04 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Spurs | 1c | 2,025$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Spurs | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Spurs | 17c | 1,786$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa33…8dbcbacked Spurs | 15c | 1,210$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.53 | 294 | 50.3%148 W · 146 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d1…43a0backed Spurs | 18c | 1,117$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Spurs | 16c | 1,058$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.61 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Spurs | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Spurs | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Spurs | 8c | 926.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Spurs | 4c | 885$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.97 | 143 | 4.9%7 W · 136 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Clippers | 74c | 800$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed Clippers | 80c | 533.55$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Spurs | 12c | 482.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.96 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Spurs | 7c | 462.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…ae06backed Spurs | 19c | 461$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.32 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3af…3b4dbacked Spurs | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f03…b69abacked Spurs | 7c | 447.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Spurs | 15c | 444$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Spurs | 19c | 411.03$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Spurs | 14c | 385$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.16 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Spurs | 22c | 370.23$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.45 | 224 | 30.8%69 W · 155 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Spurs | 13c | 347.94$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.86 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6f…9c65backed Spurs | 17c | 323.53$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.18per pick | 28cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…8e31backed Spurs | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Spurs | 11c | 305.72$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Spurs | 9c | 305.26$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Spurs | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…fa4dbacked Spurs | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Spurs | 10c | 215$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Spurs | 14c | 213.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…276fbacked Spurs | 15c | 200.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Clippers | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dc…415ebacked Spurs | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 316 | 31.6%100 W · 216 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b62…7f5ebacked Spurs | 15c | 198.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Spurs | 11c | 157.59$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd87c…742fbacked Spurs | 15c | 153.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…df90backed Clippers | 80c | 150$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 514 | 51.9%267 W · 247 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1b…75d8backed Spurs | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…3917backed Spurs | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6a…3eedbacked Spurs | 19c | 131.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 277 | 35.4%98 W · 179 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc797…49cdbacked Spurs | 16c | 125.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Spurs | 19c | 121.05$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Spurs | 18c | 120.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 108 | 8.3%9 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c02…b4d4backed Spurs | 11c | 113.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 336 | 39%131 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Spurs | 13c | 108$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Spurs | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Spurs | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4366backed Spurs | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6072…fb46backed Spurs | 14c | 99.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Spurs | 13c | 99.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Spurs | 13c | 84.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7439…40d2backed Spurs | 15c | 78.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…8ad0backed Spurs | 15c | 68.72$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 115 | 41.7%48 W · 67 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…f2afbacked Spurs | 18c | 66.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb895…ffe4backed Spurs | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…f5efbacked Spurs | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.