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Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Lynxof Team Lynx, Spirit Academy
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,047
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,393

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,047 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe59f…0d08backed Spirit Academy23c10,987$2,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,579.7821856%122 W · 96 L+19.2wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Lynx67c10,600$7,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.980955.9%452 W · 357 L+21.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Spirit Academy39c3,562$1,389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.121,20242.8%514 W · 688 L+38.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked Spirit Academy35c3,037$1,062 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.7997042.2%409 W · 561 L-20.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Lynx69c2,569$1,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.962155.9%347 W · 274 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Spirit Academy34c2,132$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.0590741.2%374 W · 533 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9aff…b136backed Spirit Academy27c2,124$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.5933144.7%148 W · 183 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc83…08f4backed Spirit Academy51c1,946$992 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.646759.7%40 W · 27 L+7.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x91a2…e415backed Spirit Academy33c1,508$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.923135.5%11 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Team Lynx66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.3449854.8%273 W · 225 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed Spirit Academy32c1,319$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.5358548.5%284 W · 301 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+11%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…8c87backed Team Lynx60c1,181$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.521369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+46.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked Spirit Academy31c1,068$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.8519745.2%89 W · 108 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb14…49b2backed Spirit Academy41c952.88$387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.676341.3%26 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x50f9…4d40backed Team Lynx63c793.65$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.651758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9247…7789backed Spirit Academy30c730.24$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.0730%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Team Lynx61c705.82$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.6939246.2%181 W · 211 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6b8…149bbacked Spirit Academy30c661.77$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.2110746.7%50 W · 57 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Team Lynx68c656.04$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.0327351.6%141 W · 132 L+14.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9f4…c1e4backed Spirit Academy16c629.16$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2944438.7%172 W · 272 L-43.5wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Spirit Academy33c606.06$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20038951.9%202 W · 187 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…50f0backed Spirit Academy17c573.08$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+29.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd19e…d70ebacked Team Lynx61c563.93$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9321660.6%131 W · 85 L+11.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5bc…57cfbacked Team Lynx55c554.99$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.75475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+36.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x91b9…889fbacked Spirit Academy37c547.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010044%44 W · 56 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf346…1b8ebacked Team Lynx56c538.45$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.4522839.5%90 W · 138 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x242c…ddd2backed Spirit Academy28c536.36$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.221947%103 W · 116 L+16.8wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+10.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked Team Lynx62c528.18$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.1213548.1%65 W · 70 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca9…1799backed Spirit Academy33c508.06$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.037240.3%29 W · 43 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe694…0a08backed Team Lynx60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20018851.6%97 W · 91 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc70…8be9backed Spirit Academy22c499.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11026653.8%143 W · 123 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Team Lynx67c493.48$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8524334.6%84 W · 159 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51be…12c2backed Spirit Academy46c439.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020251.5%104 W · 98 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Lynx59c431.65$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.3670752.5%371 W · 336 L+48.9wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Team Lynx78c416.99$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.818936%32 W · 57 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Spirit Academy25c403.95$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.9957545.2%260 W · 315 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad26…6838backed Team Lynx61c369.1$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.723372.7%24 W · 9 L+8.2wins+0.25per pick48cpaid+49.7%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spirit Academy24c368.23$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.0544649.6%221 W · 225 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb5…819abacked Team Lynx71c366.38$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.198248.8%40 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x48f7…3aebbacked Team Lynx70c360$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10867648.4%327 W · 349 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Spirit Academy24c315.9$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4351548.9%252 W · 263 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Team Lynx70c302.38$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.141,15847.7%552 W · 606 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c81…5518backed Spirit Academy32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$966240.3%25 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x71e7…1082backed Spirit Academy44c294.06$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1302055%11 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf848…8c59backed Spirit Academy20c292.85$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.71428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-45.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Lynx60c280.86$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.7268847.4%326 W · 362 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Team Lynx71c280.28$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.281968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5439…c45bbacked Team Lynx68c273.53$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.532458.3%14 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x975d…cc7abacked Spirit Academy32c268.75$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.88944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+40%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Team Lynx67c251.37$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1119660.2%118 W · 78 L-0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabd9…dc3abacked Team Lynx61c245.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.8919835.9%71 W · 127 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf20b…e27dbacked Team Lynx59c243.9$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10012547.2%59 W · 66 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b6f…aab3backed Spirit Academy20c228.48$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4643260%259 W · 173 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9688…fd45backed Spirit Academy36c222$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9224939.4%98 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1028…f3fcbacked Team Lynx63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743743.2%16 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf072…d897backed Spirit Academy21c198.99$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4712948.1%62 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Team Lynx69c194.55$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3143546.7%203 W · 232 L-1.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Lynx59c193.64$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.851,72341.3%711 W · 1,012 L-43.4wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx63c187.46$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.831,48248.9%724 W · 758 L+32.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x230b…d318backed Team Lynx72c145$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.61369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+36.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Team Lynx70c144.68$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.5394146.3%436 W · 505 L-17.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Spirit Academy7c142.01$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.526844.1%30 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa965…7f73backed Team Lynx53c140$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.826355.1%145 W · 118 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe11f…0128backed Team Lynx79c140$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.44100%4 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0286…f61dbacked Spirit Academy11c138.92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.725549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Team Lynx68c130.94$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.289443.6%41 W · 53 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe302…a986backed Team Lynx78c126.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.832766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.6wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed Team Lynx75c121.17$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.3914146.1%65 W · 76 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6204…caa8backed Team Lynx68c110.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.294240.5%17 W · 25 L-6.4wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-37.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7d33…6715backed Spirit Academy23c109.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.615042.7%64 W · 86 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Team Lynx68c108.72$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.269758.8%57 W · 40 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Spirit Academy14c107.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.576040%24 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed Spirit Academy29c107.22$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.094946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f20…934fbacked Team Lynx66c102.38$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7813562.2%84 W · 51 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8118…783cbacked Team Lynx71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+97.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x31b9…150bbacked Spirit Academy36c100$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3659753.8%321 W · 276 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad8a…a98abacked Team Lynx61c99.95$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.9810258.8%60 W · 42 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Lynx62c98.12$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9165847.3%311 W · 347 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc222…f6ccbacked Spirit Academy35c95.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd2…0985backed Spirit Academy33c92.7$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.51225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7585…dcb3backed Spirit Academy34c84.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.691643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eae…97f6backed Team Lynx62c80.65$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.65742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick69cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77c9…f4dabacked Spirit Academy33c78.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Team Lynx60c78.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1911852.5%62 W · 56 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8b9…dfbebacked Spirit Academy45c77.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Lynx60c77.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.861,20759.3%716 W · 491 L+64.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…5f93backed Team Lynx62c75.75$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.79862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2906…555abacked Team Lynx80c75.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.113473.5%25 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x07df…9f0cbacked Spirit Academy33c72.91$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.886556.9%37 W · 28 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bed…5cd6backed Spirit Academy33c72.36$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.886450%32 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe598…e597backed Spirit Academy33c71.15$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.487757.1%44 W · 33 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Spirit Academy33c69.27$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7933452.7%176 W · 158 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Team Lynx67c68$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.4447858.6%280 W · 198 L+24.7wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Team Lynx72c64.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0344260.6%268 W · 174 L+45.4wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x19f0…0c9fbacked Spirit Academy32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed Spirit Academy45c62.09$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9425639.1%100 W · 156 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9d4…a3d5backed Spirit Academy37c60$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.223054.3%125 W · 105 L-1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Team Lynx65c59.65$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.626550.6%134 W · 131 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0db…d489backed Spirit Academy35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x215a…7275backed Team Lynx50c55.3$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.656547.7%31 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.