TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$159,830

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over49c88,888$43,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,332.871,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Under51c40,000$20,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,40011656.9%66 W · 50 L+8.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Under51c23,267$11,866 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,866.2884049.4%415 W · 425 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under60c17,424$10,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,498.418,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb727…2a9dbacked Under51c9,759$4,977 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,976.884645.7%21 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over41c7,366$3,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,338.1411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under51c6,200$3,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,16210748.6%52 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe55a…ecf7backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under52c6,000$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,119.991,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55075248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0405,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Over48c2,749$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.3587750.4%442 W · 435 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under51c2,300$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17345748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over43c2,235$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.1910,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over49c2,199$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.4864452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over50c2,121$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,070.632,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c1,951$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.246,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under51c1,761$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.74,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Over49c1,649$808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.1256253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd58d…c2d6backed Over50c1,614$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.1715149.7%75 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over49c1,365$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$696.151,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Over49c1,250$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.511849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Over49c1,151$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.973,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Over47c1,128$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.461,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba62…3e29backed Over50c1,010$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50522149.3%109 W · 112 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under56c1,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5601,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8efa…894cbacked Over49c999.98$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9945445.2%205 W · 249 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over58c924.6$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3904,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under51c924$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.241,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under61c709.28$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.222,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over49c671$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.712,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3069048.9%44 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over53c561.64$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.24,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under50c474.55$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.948,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1895,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Under51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15048851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over20c233$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.41,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc44e…284abacked Under35c226.59$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806132.8%20 W · 41 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02f0…9bb3backed Under32c220$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.28440.5%34 W · 50 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Over51c210$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.968053.2%362 W · 318 L+2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88fb…db3abacked Over48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.3373243.4%318 W · 414 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcc7…4d38backed Over48c199.08$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.5217346.2%80 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Under51c196.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0153655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Under51c176.46$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9946152.1%240 W · 221 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Under28c159$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1155448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under57c148.77$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.89,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Under51c147.05$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7546255.8%258 W · 204 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Under52c144$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.881,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5e8…2352backed Under70c142.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfaa7…977abacked Under51c135.9$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.31825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over68c112.74$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7782636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Over48c106.25$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2554651.3%280 W · 266 L+29.8wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c102.02$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9d…3373backed Over44c99.02$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.451947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Over46c93.91$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.7147549.7%236 W · 239 L+17.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c86$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.861,28449.5%635 W · 649 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Over49c84.55$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.1210351.5%53 W · 50 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb1…1002backed Under51c83.63$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.6521350.2%107 W · 106 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd770…209dbacked Under44c80.92$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6315248%73 W · 79 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3517…5862backed Under57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.68955.1%49 W · 40 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Over51c79.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.134255.3%189 W · 153 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Over49c79.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.551,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Over54c76.8$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.3329250.7%148 W · 144 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c70.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.678,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over51c70.36$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.361,27951.2%655 W · 624 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Under51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023357.5%134 W · 99 L+22.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9a81…9070backed Under51c58$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5827252.9%144 W · 128 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over54c56.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.152,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Over49c50.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8730554.4%166 W · 139 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Under24c46.36$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.0579955.9%447 W · 352 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Under52c45$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Under51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.478854.6%430 W · 358 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5d6…7192backed Under50c39.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15a7…5ed1backed Under67c35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4524263.6%154 W · 88 L+12.5wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Over44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.092839.3%11 W · 17 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf1…7cb7backed Under50c29.7$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.853342.4%14 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-26.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under54c28.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.42,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Under54c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.626857.1%153 W · 115 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bbf…7ce5backed Over48c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4812140.5%49 W · 72 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under61c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.681,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under51c23.66$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.071,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Over48c21.04$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9456435.1%198 W · 366 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1573…a727backed Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.