Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf599e7c45c2f53500c75d43f89ccc33042944e49c34596c8d63ce06410e39ba3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,794
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ff2…f140backed Yes | 12c | 1,456$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.28 | 1,250 | 25.4%317 W · 933 L | +57.9wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 31c | 1,373$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.28 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d8…03eabacked Yes | 8c | 789.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 116 | 12.1%14 W · 102 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…517ebacked Yes | 7c | 624.19$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1,643 | 27.8%456 W · 1,187 L | +117.6wins | +0.07per pick | 21cpaid | +33%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 2c | 528.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 13c | 408.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.84 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85df…fb48backed No | 74c | 399.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 542 | 34.9%189 W · 353 L | -30.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc0…82a1backed Yes | 5c | 371.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 21c | 337.21$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 31c | 323.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 74c | 308.32$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.09 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 80c | 291.37$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.55 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea5e…a678backed Yes | 16c | 282$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 1,218 | 42%512 W · 706 L | +31.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…1652backed Yes | 11c | 271.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.92 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 31c | 219.19$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.28 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 69c | 206.83$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.97 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf707…e8cebacked Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3887…9496backed No | 76c | 197.37$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.37 | 243 | 70%170 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 79c | 185.12$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2d…d45cbacked Yes | 28c | 180.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +276.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 31c | 172.08$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.59 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked No | 72c | 166.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 72c | 159.98$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 73c | 152.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.81 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…8374backed Yes | 9c | 151.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0996…598dbacked Yes | 19c | 142$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 487 | 43.7%213 W · 274 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc1…a3bbbacked Yes | 33c | 140.25$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 876 | 29.2%256 W · 620 L | -53.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e97…96cebacked Yes | 8c | 128.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 24c | 123.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0c…8b5ebacked No | 67c | 112.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 926 | 78.2%724 W · 202 L | +51.2wins | +0.06per pick | 73cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 76c | 112.12$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.22 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 11c | 109.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 74c | 105.32$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 30c | 104.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf216…4844backed Yes | 20c | 104.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.08 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 73c | 101.82$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.32 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 29c | 100.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 31c | 96.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 80c | 95.34$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759d…cc80backed No | 69c | 94.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 778 | 51.9%404 W · 374 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 20c | 89.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 64c | 86.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 999 | 61.8%617 W · 382 L | +19.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 24c | 83.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13de…fd91backed Yes | 22c | 80$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 755 | 46.1%348 W · 407 L | -32.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4a…39d3backed Yes | 21c | 77.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 29c | 77.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fef…e307backed Yes | 33c | 72.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 28c | 71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f9…8055backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 905 | 55.6%503 W · 402 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed No | 73c | 68.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd514…bbdfbacked Yes | 18c | 65.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 579 | 48.4%280 W · 299 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e7…8b59backed Yes | 16c | 65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 434 | 41.5%180 W · 254 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf745…bf49backed Yes | 27c | 61.54$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…b997backed Yes | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked Yes | 19c | 59.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 71c | 59.32$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ab…7e71backed Yes | 29c | 58.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…5af1backed Yes | 32c | 58.46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 707 | 41.7%295 W · 412 L | +19.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 72c | 58.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 2,090 | 56.7%1,186 W · 904 L | +60.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 77c | 55.73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 2,118 | 58.2%1,233 W · 885 L | +78.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…5ac9backed No | 72c | 55.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 214 | 72%154 W · 60 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc11c…714fbacked Yes | 20c | 55.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 71c | 55.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.27 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c8…f649backed Yes | 18c | 55.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 199 | 47.7%95 W · 104 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 69c | 53.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No | 73c | 53.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1f…4877backed Yes | 30c | 52.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 801 | 30.8%247 W · 554 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1293…e575backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…fc55backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…4ea7backed No | 73c | 48.49$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec3d…0a55backed Yes | 41c | 48.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 28c | 47.09$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 39c | 45.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8fc…0d3bbacked No | 71c | 40.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 648 | 59.1%383 W · 265 L | -21.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 29c | 39.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 27c | 38.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 76c | 38.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 2,065 | 56.3%1,163 W · 902 L | +56.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed No | 62c | 38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d14…c13abacked Yes | 28c | 37.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 112 | 22.3%25 W · 87 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…dd60backed No | 78c | 37.65$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 3,301 | 65%2,147 W · 1,154 L | -38.5wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd1…557ebacked Yes | 28c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 1,169 | 59.4%694 W · 475 L | +30.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked Yes | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed No | 72c | 33.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 333 | 50.2%167 W · 166 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 73c | 30.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4c…b17cbacked Yes | 41c | 29.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcb…bf61backed No | 70c | 28.37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 72c | 28.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 72c | 27.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 69c | 27.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3c65backed No | 74c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 444 | 65.3%290 W · 154 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe37a…dda4backed No | 74c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked No | 74c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 435 | 63.9%278 W · 157 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 77c | 22.98$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbc…bd73backed No | 72c | 21.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 918 | 61.5%565 W · 353 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 70c | 21.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 74c | 20.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 71c | 20.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 22?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on June 22?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 22?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.