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Tennis · resolved market

US Open, Qualification WTA: Julieta Pareja vs Iryna Shymanovich

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Julieta Parejaof Julieta Pareja, Iryna Shymanovich
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,097
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,164

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,097 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Julieta Pareja59c15,555$9,177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,377.5477046.9%361 W · 409 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Iryna Shymanovich33c13,033$4,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,356.019,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Julieta Pareja76c9,816$7,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,334.114,27745%1,925 W · 2,352 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Iryna Shymanovich36c4,367$1,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,555.679845.9%45 W · 53 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Iryna Shymanovich33c3,975$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,309.991,56424%376 W · 1,188 L-43.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Iryna Shymanovich30c3,165$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.8911,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Iryna Shymanovich35c2,985$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.388,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Julieta Pareja63c2,338$1,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$865.969242.4%39 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c4d…bb01backed Iryna Shymanovich32c1,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Iryna Shymanovich7c1,253$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.435,04141.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L-83.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Iryna Shymanovich34c1,102$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.9149352.5%259 W · 234 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Iryna Shymanovich20c1,047$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.7222441.5%93 W · 131 L-19.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Julieta Pareja68c929.98$629 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.311,07357.6%618 W · 455 L+4.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Iryna Shymanovich33c874.99$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.531,88944.8%846 W · 1,043 L+36.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c99…8b23backed Julieta Pareja70c717.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0918059.4%107 W · 73 L+0.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Julieta Pareja68c700$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2246527.7%18 W · 47 L-10.7wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-33.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Julieta Pareja67c693.85$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.623,35948.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L-49.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Julieta Pareja73c614.15$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.142,85947.1%1,348 W · 1,511 L+37.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Iryna Shymanovich30c499.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033734.4%116 W · 221 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Iryna Shymanovich31c435$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8511949.6%59 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5803…3f3fbacked Iryna Shymanovich18c416.64$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.991,05648.3%510 W · 546 L+43.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8e4…3b32backed Iryna Shymanovich38c398$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.2460946%280 W · 329 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Julieta Pareja63c397.21$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.211,20652.4%632 W · 574 L+27.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Julieta Pareja63c365.89$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.064,37652.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L+67.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1747…4afcbacked Julieta Pareja56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.1427651.8%143 W · 133 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Iryna Shymanovich26c308.93$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.391,78946.3%828 W · 961 L-6.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Iryna Shymanovich38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11430739.1%120 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Iryna Shymanovich31c299.98$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.991,92244%846 W · 1,076 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Iryna Shymanovich17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,02350%511 W · 512 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Iryna Shymanovich42c287.57$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.591,80047.2%849 W · 951 L-45.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf20…c784backed Iryna Shymanovich38c263.16$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003171%22 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick59cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Iryna Shymanovich5c226.79$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1164426.2%169 W · 475 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a9…68b6backed Iryna Shymanovich38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2118052.2%94 W · 86 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Julieta Pareja62c193.96$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.564,62667.8%3,135 W · 1,491 L+310.5wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Iryna Shymanovich14c179.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.42,07846.7%970 W · 1,108 L+18.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Iryna Shymanovich36c155$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.86,64946.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L-38.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3ae…d117backed Iryna Shymanovich30c150$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455735.1%20 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Iryna Shymanovich30c131.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405,35228.8%1,543 W · 3,809 L-21.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d1…73edbacked Julieta Pareja78c128.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.2210164.4%65 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Iryna Shymanovich30c124$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.757,20149.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L+114.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf98d…384ebacked Julieta Pareja74c124$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.747454.1%40 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Iryna Shymanovich16c118.31$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9379248.5%384 W · 408 L+1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bcd…c00fbacked Iryna Shymanovich17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018354.6%100 W · 83 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Iryna Shymanovich36c117.24$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.655,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Iryna Shymanovich30c112.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.832,54838.5%982 W · 1,566 L+96.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Iryna Shymanovich31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312,05347.8%982 W · 1,071 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5814…229abacked Iryna Shymanovich36c99.25$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.982540%10 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Iryna Shymanovich32c86.45$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.599,40644.3%4,171 W · 5,235 L-245.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Iryna Shymanovich37c80$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.64,04145.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L-28.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x136b…c35abacked Iryna Shymanovich26c74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.241323.1%3 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-61.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x470a…881ebacked Julieta Pareja61c72.63$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.333551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Julieta Pareja62c65.79$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2572045.3%326 W · 394 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc475…8eefbacked Iryna Shymanovich38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253548.6%17 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bd3…1c3cbacked Iryna Shymanovich31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205523.6%13 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-36.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Julieta Pareja77c64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.721,89459.3%1,124 W · 770 L+6.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa678…dd59backed Iryna Shymanovich32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016443.9%72 W · 92 L-10.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Iryna Shymanovich33c58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.341,99152.9%1,053 W · 938 L+31.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad90…1012backed Iryna Shymanovich37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205550.9%28 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf182…112bbacked Iryna Shymanovich34c52.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7530850%154 W · 154 L-15.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Julieta Pareja60c51$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Iryna Shymanovich31c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.560647.5%288 W · 318 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6aca…e738backed Julieta Pareja72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1414259.2%84 W · 58 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x125a…df71backed Julieta Pareja61c46.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.221,08549.9%541 W · 544 L+47.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd928…705fbacked Iryna Shymanovich30c46.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9730352.5%159 W · 144 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Julieta Pareja67c45.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.016,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f38…13c8backed Iryna Shymanovich35c38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.483040%12 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Julieta Pareja68c35.28$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2910162.4%63 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x042d…0b81backed Iryna Shymanovich31c34.25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6221666.7%144 W · 72 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Iryna Shymanovich32c32$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.242,55436.3%928 W · 1,626 L-23.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c9…f4dabacked Julieta Pareja58c31.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.037749.4%38 W · 39 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…331cbacked Julieta Pareja61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.738365.5%251 W · 132 L-0.8wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Iryna Shymanovich38c28.64$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.956,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57b6…9b2cbacked Julieta Pareja70c28.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5716655.4%92 W · 74 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Julieta Pareja76c22.02$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.2547865.3%312 W · 166 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb207…c751backed Julieta Pareja77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.615796.8%152 W · 5 L+40.3wins+0.26per pick71cpaid+34.6%equal weight75+0.22 edge/pick
0x3ede…3e71backed Julieta Pareja64c19.5$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.027054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x147c…2540backed Julieta Pareja64c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4831664.9%205 W · 111 L+11.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a4f…5ec9backed Julieta Pareja77c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.997361.6%45 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.