MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6685548dc027a29da402ab1910c9965fe4ce8240dca407d2f41e69347440f38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $487,722
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $493,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $487,722 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x343d…456ebacked Orioles | 38c | 402,914$152,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250,235.73 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Braves | 62c | 111,111$68,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,888.82 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Braves | 62c | 105,000$65,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,100 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Braves | 62c | 50,000$31,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,000 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Braves | 62c | 49,389$30,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,620.97 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Braves | 63c | 36,659$23,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,095.23 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Braves | 62c | 29,067$18,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,021.25 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Braves | 55c | 16,339$8,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,936.72 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Braves | 62c | 12,708$7,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,883.55 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbada…3fcbbacked Orioles | 50c | 10,002$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,001.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Braves | 62c | 8,366$5,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,156.48 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Orioles | 54c | 7,367$3,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,390.2 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Braves | 46c | 6,847$3,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,170.26 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Braves | 62c | 6,814$4,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,253.19 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 78c | 6,353$4,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.49 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7225…293abacked Orioles | 38c | 6,304$2,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,908.79 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Braves | 43c | 5,646$2,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,434.98 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Braves | 31c | 3,955$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.78 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Orioles | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Braves | 47c | 2,750$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Orioles | 41c | 2,688$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,588.41 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Orioles | 37c | 2,500$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,574.98 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Braves | 62c | 2,045$1,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267.9 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Braves | 63c | 2,010$1,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.35 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Braves | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Braves | 66c | 1,816$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.7 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63a…9223backed Orioles | 41c | 1,577$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.53 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Orioles | 79c | 1,266$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.82 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Orioles | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Orioles | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 37c | 999$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.37 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Braves | 44c | 960.96$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.17 | 161 | 32.3%52 W · 109 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Braves | 47c | 884.1$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.71 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Braves | 5c | 577.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.73 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Orioles | 38c | 563.16$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.16 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Braves | 46c | 555$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.39 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Braves | 16c | 520$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Orioles | 38c | 500$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Braves | 38c | 496.05$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.39 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Orioles | 72c | 435.63$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.63 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Braves | 58c | 399.99$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.75 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Orioles | 38c | 394.74$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.74 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Braves | 62c | 368.43$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.42 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Orioles | 59c | 310$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.56 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Orioles | 38c | 300$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.68 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 37c | 299.92$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.66 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Orioles | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Orioles | 38c | 266.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.1 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Orioles | 38c | 264$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db6…08d3backed Orioles | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Orioles | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Orioles | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Orioles | 40c | 251.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.64 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Braves | 29c | 239.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.32 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3de2…de5fbacked Orioles | 38c | 218.42$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.42 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Orioles | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Braves | 63c | 190.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 52c | 176.96$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.71 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…a5d0backed Orioles | 37c | 175.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x877c…bb47backed Orioles | 38c | 163.16$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Braves | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf838…a8b6backed Orioles | 37c | 151.34$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Braves | 46c | 144.57$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Orioles | 28c | 142.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.17 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f86…98f4backed Orioles | 37c | 140.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Orioles | 45c | 140.12$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.94 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8d22…302abacked Orioles | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 38c | 124.03$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.9 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b40…45ecbacked Braves | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…7f85backed Braves | 62c | 109.68$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3670…a31dbacked Braves | 62c | 108.06$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Braves | 26c | 102.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…f686backed Braves | 62c | 101.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x412a…802cbacked Braves | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.2wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Orioles | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84dc…9c02backed Braves | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 179 | 54.7%98 W · 81 L | +10.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Braves | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…b03fbacked Orioles | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 150 | 80%120 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Braves | 66c | 98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.46 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…1958backed Braves | 62c | 96.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Braves | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e9…3166backed Orioles | 77c | 90.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Braves | 55c | 90.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fac…4eebbacked Braves | 62c | 88.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Braves | 61c | 87.44$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…b36cbacked Braves | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Orioles | 62c | 79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.91 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 44c | 77.28$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Braves | 62c | 75.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…9743backed Orioles | 38c | 66.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.12 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 42c | 64.8$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…4fd2backed Orioles | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbc…5d23backed Orioles | 79c | 54.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Orioles | 37c | 53.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked Orioles | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Orioles | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d03…4366backed Orioles | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked Braves | 63c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.