TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,880
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$33,903

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,880 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Over50c7,753$3,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,901.434,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Under51c6,137$3,130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,007.1136246.1%167 W · 195 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over39c6,021$2,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,354.7510,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Over49c5,359$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,625.9192554.1%500 W · 425 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under48c3,322$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,722.748,59452.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L+508.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under62c2,751$1,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.934,08757.6%2,354 W · 1,733 L+66.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed Under51c2,360$1,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,156.411744.4%52 W · 65 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under72c1,735$1,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.988,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Under58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.1411743.6%51 W · 66 L-13.1wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-18%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Over49c1,662$814 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.3873650.7%373 W · 363 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Under61c1,431$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.112,17239.9%866 W · 1,306 L+1.6wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over40c1,133$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.7511,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Under52c1,051$546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.487850.5%443 W · 435 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over48c1,008$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.841,63549.3%806 W · 829 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3925751.8%133 W · 124 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf636…5465backed Under52c860.54$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4179956.6%56 W · 43 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Under47c851.06$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.0638453.6%206 W · 178 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under50c840.68$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.3464752.4%339 W · 308 L+28.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Over49c823.24$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.1939953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Over50c814.38$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.1939051.5%201 W · 189 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under55c731.89$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.193,04148%1,461 W · 1,580 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Over49c612.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020350.2%102 W · 101 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Over48c491.67$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23624059.2%142 W · 98 L+18.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Under65c456.41$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.4111060.9%67 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under61c456.29$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.891,02658.1%596 W · 430 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over48c436.56$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.046,99950.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Under51c330.19$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.7957053.3%304 W · 266 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1478,40347.9%4,022 W · 4,381 L+76.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22a4…63ebbacked Under62c255.58$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.751,24058.1%721 W · 519 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.55,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under57c232.57$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.759,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under53c207.56$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.553,84142.2%1,622 W · 2,219 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6974…11b4backed Under52c203.77$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.811266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Under51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0866748.7%325 W · 342 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Under52c195$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.61,44550%723 W · 722 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9437…235ebacked Over50c189.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.787243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over40c178.81$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.631,79750.4%906 W · 891 L-1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x536e…4fd5backed Over50c149.94$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9718742.8%80 W · 107 L-16.0wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under53c148.96$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.011,21953.9%657 W · 562 L+32.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29de…d9e6backed Under62c130.28$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.358358.5%341 W · 242 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over37c121.54$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.974,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f45…e6a7backed Over50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606454.7%35 W · 29 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over47c102.76$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.34,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed Under54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4684651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94eb…fcdfbacked Under51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.047545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0460…7137backed Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1513354.1%72 W · 61 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Over50c92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4622248.6%108 W · 114 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Under51c81.57$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9729250.7%148 W · 144 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…c544backed Over36c80.21$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9355448.2%267 W · 287 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Over40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3048851.6%252 W · 236 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa516…235cbacked Under46c70$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.85442.6%23 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under51c67.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.496553%511 W · 454 L+18.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over49c65.1$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.832,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb323…e253backed Under62c63.5$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.146155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa4f…b174backed Under54c60.35$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4940753.3%217 W · 190 L+9.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcebf…832ebacked Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.43956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.441236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x757c…d1bfbacked Under51c56.9$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.883852.6%20 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5630…7574backed Over50c50.7$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3516355.8%91 W · 72 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x844a…f6d7backed Under50c44.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.171650%8 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1f…1e14backed Under47c43.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.127565.3%49 W · 26 L+10.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+25.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under53c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192,41349.9%1,205 W · 1,208 L+22.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5c3…13e5backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d93…fdefbacked Over45c39.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9117145.6%78 W · 93 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Under51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2230848.1%148 W · 160 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Under53c38.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.262,99547.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L+12.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa89…ccd2backed Under54c31.48$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4819154.5%104 W · 87 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,75350.8%890 W · 863 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.789548.3%432 W · 463 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43f3…293cbacked Under47c27.21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4219550.8%99 W · 96 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x212b…0ba5backed Over40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1053655.8%299 W · 237 L+22.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Under65c25$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.751,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Under51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.882,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Under53c22.11$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.392,22355.4%1,231 W · 992 L+73.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa94…b3f4backed Over46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.123253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7734…017dbacked Over48c21.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.294940.8%20 W · 29 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x41c8…424fbacked Under62c21.39$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1120662.1%128 W · 78 L+7.2wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x624b…d3dbbacked Under60c20.45$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2510557.1%60 W · 45 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a3…fd93backed Under54c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.23658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+20.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca6…9da8backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102937.9%11 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under59c17.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.15,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9de…47ffbacked Under73c16.95$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.58966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+34.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.