Mls · resolved market
FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8bd3e6a6566dc8bb3dea132617b2de194be59b9a3ac71fe189079d2cf8f8f31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $258,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $266,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $258,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 51c | 149,999$75,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,227.45 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Under | 52c | 55,305$28,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,527.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 54,669$26,825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,825.07 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 49c | 18,025$8,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,832.14 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 31c | 8,700$2,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700.56 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Over | 49c | 8,463$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,316.1 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 40c | 8,093$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.58 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Over | 58c | 7,704$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,210.89 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 50c | 7,358$3,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,688.24 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 50c | 7,000$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,465 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 51c | 5,850$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,983.5 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 5,078$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,452.91 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed Over | 49c | 5,067$2,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,584.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 4,952$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.06 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 48c | 4,900$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,548 | 103 | 58.3%60 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 47c | 4,574$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.14 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 50c | 3,698$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849.12 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 48c | 3,333$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,733.16 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…ba92backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc522…7f28backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 49c | 1,902$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.98 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 49c | 1,578$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.58 | 184 | 56.5%104 W · 80 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 49c | 1,548$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.65 | 228 | 41.7%95 W · 133 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Over | 49c | 1,474$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 49c | 1,330$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.48 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 49c | 1,316$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.5 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Over | 49c | 1,252$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.29 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…f0a6backed Under | 49c | 1,197$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 48c | 1,186$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.72 | 215 | 47.9%103 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 48c | 1,081$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.82 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 61c | 1,079$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.57 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 38c | 1,002$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.53 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Under | 49c | 918.37$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 98 | 54.1%53 W · 45 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2906…555abacked Under | 52c | 800$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 56cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 50c | 706$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.14 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 49c | 656.02$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.45 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 50c | 601.64$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.16 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 49c | 598.31$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.17 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 49c | 551.16$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Under | 49c | 540$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.6 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Over | 48c | 531.93$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 49c | 444.02$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.57 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…8148backed Over | 49c | 444$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.44 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 50c | 430$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.22 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 49c | 358.53$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.64 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 49c | 357$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.93 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c6…4727backed Over | 49c | 346.94$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed Under | 49c | 343.06$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.1 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Over | 49c | 308.16$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 49c | 299.14$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.56 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 51c | 256$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.56 | 270 | 47%127 W · 143 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 50c | 245.9$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 214.92$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 149 | 57.7%86 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Over | 49c | 204.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.09 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3b…28bdbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 50c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 351 | 49.6%174 W · 177 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 56cpaid | +49%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0684…d1fabacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Over | 48c | 196$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.92 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb82…0675backed Over | 48c | 192.45$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Under | 49c | 189.17$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.37 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Under | 42c | 159$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 19c | 158.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Under | 49c | 154.63$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.77 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…b370backed Under | 53c | 143.13$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…a334backed Over | 49c | 142.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.86 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 49c | 142.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.73 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -10.9wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x90fe…b7b8backed Under | 51c | 137.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 51c | 129.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 11c | 124$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Under | 49c | 123.14$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.34 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 57c | 122.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 530 | 40.6%215 W · 315 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Over | 49c | 119.45$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.92 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Under | 50c | 118.52$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 51c | 96.57$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab5…95fabacked Over | 49c | 96.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 50c | 83.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…f1ccbacked Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…9502backed Under | 49c | 81.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Under | 18c | 80.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 15c | 78.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 71c | 75.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 55c | 72.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fc…d8f4backed Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Under | 51c | 67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9620…674cbacked Under | 46c | 60.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Under | 43c | 60$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Under | 49c | 55.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.48 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04c7…2d60backed Under | 49c | 54.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.23per pick | 46cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 48c | 53.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: FC Cincinnati O/U 0.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: FC Cincinnati O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 5.5Over won
- FC Cincinnati vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: Vancouver Whitecaps FC O/U 1.5Over won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-1.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: FC Cincinnati (-2.5)Vancouver Whitecaps FC won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)FC Cincinnati won
- Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-2.5)FC Cincinnati won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.