Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul 2: Lucio Ratti vs Max Basing
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf9e0777b0e12b4ef23607daeeb115ba28b2da945910b42454b0b2fc260ed8e38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Basingof Lucio Ratti, Max Basing
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,142
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0bfa…5106backed Lucio Ratti | 2c | 2,065$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lucio Ratti | 20c | 1,777$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lucio Ratti | 19c | 1,638$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.09 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a49…737abacked Lucio Ratti | 23c | 1,604$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 205 | 63.4%130 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Max Basing | 78c | 1,470$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.03 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Lucio Ratti | 21c | 1,151$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.56 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…c996backed Lucio Ratti | 23c | 995.82$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.04 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Max Basing | 74c | 949.07$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.08 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lucio Ratti | 21c | 946.84$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.84 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Max Basing | 77c | 898.6$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.48 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Max Basing | 78c | 725.45$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.28 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Lucio Ratti | 10c | 721.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Lucio Ratti | 21c | 661.73$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Max Basing | 77c | 650.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.19 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Lucio Ratti | 28c | 511.73$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Max Basing | 74c | 406.01$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.01 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Lucio Ratti | 13c | 397.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Max Basing | 71c | 365.01$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.85 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda07…62a0backed Max Basing | 75c | 319.93$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.9 | 248 | 58.5%145 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Max Basing | 77c | 272.36$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.8 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lucio Ratti | 22c | 268.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed Lucio Ratti | 21c | 256.17$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Lucio Ratti | 25c | 231.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.81 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Max Basing | 79c | 214.27$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Lucio Ratti | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Max Basing | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.5 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d24…f379backed Max Basing | 80c | 178$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Max Basing | 75c | 174.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lucio Ratti | 18c | 160.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.51 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0536…c50bbacked Lucio Ratti | 19c | 157.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 35.8%43 W · 77 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Lucio Ratti | 25c | 149.96$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789a…3dfabacked Max Basing | 75c | 139.49$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Max Basing | 77c | 129.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lucio Ratti | 22c | 120.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Lucio Ratti | 23c | 115.12$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lucio Ratti | 26c | 114$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…aa37backed Lucio Ratti | 29c | 108.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed Max Basing | 77c | 108.15$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 337 | 54%182 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…04ecbacked Lucio Ratti | 30c | 106.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.76 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Lucio Ratti | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 519 | 42.6%221 W · 298 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lucio Ratti | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Lucio Ratti | 28c | 99.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.85 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Max Basing | 76c | 98.75$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Lucio Ratti | 18c | 97.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Lucio Ratti | 24c | 93.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Lucio Ratti | 23c | 90$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 194 | 52.1%101 W · 93 L | -13.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Max Basing | 79c | 86.34$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 80 | 72.5%58 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Lucio Ratti | 20c | 77.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2262…21a1backed Max Basing | 78c | 74.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.16 | 763 | 55.6%424 W · 339 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Lucio Ratti | 36c | 70.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Max Basing | 73c | 60.45$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Max Basing | 73c | 59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.06 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Lucio Ratti | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Lucio Ratti | 30c | 56.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd25…a624backed Lucio Ratti | 30c | 56.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 115 | 53.9%62 W · 53 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lucio Ratti | 21c | 53.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Lucio Ratti | 25c | 45.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Max Basing | 72c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…4be3backed Max Basing | 79c | 44.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Lucio Ratti | 26c | 41.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Max Basing | 69c | 39.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Max Basing | 70c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Max Basing | 77c | 26.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Max Basing | 74c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Max Basing | 78c | 16.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Max Basing | 76c | 15.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f92…7379backed Max Basing | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 180 | 68.9%124 W · 56 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a20…d606backed Max Basing | 78c | 14.05$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.09 | 926 | 74.6%691 W · 235 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 74cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.