Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Janice Tjen vs Karolina Pliskova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfbf879fd03dfb9379853d5f4c6e224466e7b872d01a02bd9ef8c491fb005f677
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pliskovaof Tjen, Pliskova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Tjen | 64c | 5,013$3,201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.02 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Pliskova | 28c | 5,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Tjen | 72c | 4,227$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,043.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Pliskova | 28c | 2,222$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.81 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Tjen | 29c | 2,173$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.03 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pliskova | 75c | 2,073$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$526.95 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tjen | 32c | 1,893$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.75 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pliskova | 80c | 1,892$1,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.97 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Tjen | 72c | 957.28$689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Tjen | 26c | 811.2$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.19 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pliskova | 78c | 754.66$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.72 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Pliskova | 75c | 630.75$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.63 | 1,218 | 41.1%500 W · 718 L | -30.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tjen | 32c | 565.09$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.43 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfa…a8debacked Pliskova | 40c | 542.95$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.77 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tjen | 72c | 530.94$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.41 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Pliskova | 28c | 515.33$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.06 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Tjen | 43c | 487.85$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.45 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Pliskova | 71c | 483$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.08 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Tjen | 7c | 466.6$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Pliskova | 22c | 408.18$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.83 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Pliskova | 68c | 394.29$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Tjen | 23c | 350$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.9 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db1…78c5backed Pliskova | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +299.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Tjen | 22c | 312.86$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Pliskova | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.33 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Pliskova | 39c | 229.6$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.6 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Tjen | 71c | 206.9$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c79…8b69backed Pliskova | 29c | 206.9$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.9 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Tjen | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Pliskova | 71c | 194$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Pliskova | 49c | 185.22$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.23 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Pliskova | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…e2fcbacked Pliskova | 30c | 166.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.52 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tjen | 69c | 161.29$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.29 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Pliskova | 28c | 155.46$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.93 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Pliskova | 65c | 140.12$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.05 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Tjen | 70c | 134.48$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.48 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Pliskova | 62c | 128.29$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.29 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d0…27d9backed Tjen | 30c | 114.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.12 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Tjen | 46c | 95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Pliskova | 31c | 92.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.03 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pliskova | 73c | 82.19$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.23 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Tjen | 70c | 81.44$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc3…675bbacked Pliskova | 53c | 74.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.77 | 137 | 63.5%87 W · 50 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Pliskova | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…bb66backed Pliskova | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Tjen | 17c | 63.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 161 | 44.7%72 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Pliskova | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.84 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Tjen | 28c | 53.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Pliskova | 27c | 49.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.48 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Tjen | 33c | 46.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Tjen | 35c | 34.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…ade8backed Pliskova | 40c | 34.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Tjen | 72c | 33.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 678 | 36%244 W · 434 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Tjen | 73c | 32.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbab6…f845backed Tjen | 55c | 30.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5815…ed96backed Tjen | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf1…6adcbacked Tjen | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2141…a01bbacked Tjen | 72c | 21.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dee…e053backed Tjen | 72c | 21.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1038…6330backed Tjen | 73c | 15.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Australian Open Women's: Janice Tjen vs Karolina Pliskovathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Tjen vs PliskovaPliskova won
- Set Handicap: Tjen (-1.5) vs Pliskova (+1.5)Pliskova won
- Tjen vs. Pliskova: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Tjen vs. Pliskova: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Tjen vs. Pliskova: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Tjen vs. Pliskova: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.