TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Plovdiv 2: Emilien Demanet vs Alexander Vasilev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Emilien Demanetof Emilien Demanet, Alexander Vasilev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,176
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$53,817

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,176 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Alexander Vasilev45c13,756$6,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,125.518,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Emilien Demanet50c8,896$4,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,448.176,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Alexander Vasilev28c3,686$1,047 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,046.861,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Emilien Demanet76c2,972$2,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.088,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Emilien Demanet51c2,333$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.484,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Alexander Vasilev59c2,104$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,233.93,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Alexander Vasilev18c2,054$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.584,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Alexander Vasilev30c1,934$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.513,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Emilien Demanet43c1,667$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.0243743.7%191 W · 246 L+15.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Emilien Demanet61c1,500$915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.869,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Alexander Vasilev58c1,207$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.991,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Alexander Vasilev23c944.52$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.756,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Emilien Demanet67c862$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4610349.5%51 W · 52 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Emilien Demanet67c816$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.2811048.2%53 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Emilien Demanet76c756.93$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.334,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2903…9203backed Emilien Demanet74c754.47$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.161,07660.4%650 W · 426 L+24.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Alexander Vasilev57c700$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39928850.3%145 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Alexander Vasilev30c623.05$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.471,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Emilien Demanet71c611.83$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.451,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Emilien Demanet42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34848842%205 W · 283 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Emilien Demanet41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3544,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Emilien Demanet43c600$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3427,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alexander Vasilev10c557.17$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.555,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Emilien Demanet49c542.44$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2427139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Alexander Vasilev31c502.11$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.444,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8247…1a4fbacked Alexander Vasilev31c483.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504254.8%23 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x82a1…e38bbacked Emilien Demanet65c480$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1686759.7%40 W · 27 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+10.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Alexander Vasilev29c381.78$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.133550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Emilien Demanet55c365$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.451,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6dfe…d954backed Alexander Vasilev34c337.27$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.385141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53d3…cc48backed Emilien Demanet41c323.14$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.65850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Emilien Demanet54c310.79$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.5939648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Emilien Demanet72c295$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.735,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7738…5dbdbacked Emilien Demanet63c291.63$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.5147956.6%271 W · 208 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8859…89d6backed Alexander Vasilev37c260.64$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4922050.9%112 W · 108 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Emilien Demanet50c245.18$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.5975350.5%380 W · 373 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Emilien Demanet65c232.92$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8172147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Emilien Demanet42c203.15$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.8363537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Alexander Vasilev19c202.32$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.962,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alexander Vasilev32c200$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.361,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Alexander Vasilev29c195.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9876355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb77…fbeebacked Emilien Demanet50c185$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.524052.5%126 W · 114 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Emilien Demanet76c158.21$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.586,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Alexander Vasilev36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5497852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Emilien Demanet58c142.35$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.7862140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Emilien Demanet75c132$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Emilien Demanet77c124$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.064,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Emilien Demanet66c123.73$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0750268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alexander Vasilev43c121.81$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.978,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Alexander Vasilev21c115$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4230132.9%99 W · 202 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Alexander Vasilev61c110$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5534148.1%164 W · 177 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Emilien Demanet42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Emilien Demanet42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Emilien Demanet53c99.57$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.5720336.5%74 W · 129 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1efb…dd8abacked Emilien Demanet71c98.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.651566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Emilien Demanet48c96.15$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Emilien Demanet50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Emilien Demanet50c90$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Alexander Vasilev23c84.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2178957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf095…58c6backed Emilien Demanet43c78.3$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6316856%94 W · 74 L-0.8wins0.00per pick56cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Emilien Demanet43c73.86$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.747,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Alexander Vasilev57c72$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0422547.1%106 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3443…64e9backed Emilien Demanet77c71.18$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5117071.2%121 W · 49 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick74cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Emilien Demanet45c66.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6741440.3%167 W · 247 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x767e…98cabacked Emilien Demanet40c63.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1340861.3%250 W · 158 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa63d…d405backed Emilien Demanet67c62.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.677661.8%47 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81e4…f356backed Emilien Demanet66c62.26$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.177963.3%50 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Emilien Demanet50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5974…5c32backed Emilien Demanet67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.745566.4%302 W · 153 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Emilien Demanet70c58.63$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.591,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe0…cc67backed Emilien Demanet50c57$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.529851.7%154 W · 144 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Emilien Demanet75c55.63$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.861,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Emilien Demanet44c52$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1669545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Emilien Demanet42c51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.5882159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Alexander Vasilev46c50.64$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4524858.5%145 W · 103 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed Emilien Demanet73c48.07$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.888072.5%58 W · 22 L+10.2wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+16.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Alexander Vasilev57c47.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.072,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Emilien Demanet43c46.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7840350.6%204 W · 199 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed Alexander Vasilev22c46.48$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.082,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Emilien Demanet47c45.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.3770254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x276a…fc66backed Emilien Demanet74c45.5$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.833666.7%24 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8466…c2c9backed Alexander Vasilev56c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.561450%7 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3459…caa6backed Emilien Demanet57c42.45$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4526748.7%130 W · 137 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Emilien Demanet39c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.253,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfae…155ebacked Emilien Demanet41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.64645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d10…780bbacked Emilien Demanet41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.591,02554%554 W · 471 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bed…c30bbacked Alexander Vasilev55c34.75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0910643.4%46 W · 60 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f12…eeb9backed Alexander Vasilev56c33.29$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6629147.8%139 W · 152 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Emilien Demanet44c33.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6469047%324 W · 366 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cdf…58e1backed Emilien Demanet42c30$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.412035.8%43 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fd9…039bbacked Emilien Demanet50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151,00838.3%386 W · 622 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb663…f135backed Emilien Demanet50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1556337.3%210 W · 353 L-0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2996…fd9dbacked Emilien Demanet70c28.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.558962.9%56 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Alexander Vasilev59c25.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1513262.9%83 W · 49 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c5d…31e5backed Emilien Demanet50c24.06$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.03757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e50…c665backed Emilien Demanet43c23.49$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3935039.4%138 W · 212 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ce…d485backed Emilien Demanet71c23.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.738343.4%36 W · 47 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x10be…1c36backed Emilien Demanet50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Emilien Demanet67c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.61,72552.2%901 W · 824 L-8.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Emilien Demanet72c19$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.3225048.8%122 W · 128 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.