TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pacers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Pacers, Hornets
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$46,673
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$46,750

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,673 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pacers46c23,830$10,864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,965.7972450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Hornets55c14,383$7,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,850.889,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x719f…db30backed Pacers44c8,000$3,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,480580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+59.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23bf…429abacked Hornets56c8,000$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,480520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-59.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Hornets55c5,000$2,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,75045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets53c3,845$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.858,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets55c3,486$1,907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,906.696,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hornets55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9976249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb149…18c5backed Pacers45c1,376$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7571163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+31.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pacers45c914$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$499.951,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Hornets55c854.06$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.7336248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Hornets55c800$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44026755.8%149 W · 118 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Pacers45c761$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.0234451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Hornets55c599.99$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9989050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Hornets34c511$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.942,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hornets55c497$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.3566853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Hornets57c440$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.84757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pacers44c425.14$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.122,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Hornets56c357$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9226034.6%90 W · 170 L-20.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Pacers45c313$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1133147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Hornets54c304.24$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2914549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Pacers45c304$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3662349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Pacers45c304$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.368142%34 W · 47 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Pacers45c304$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.3671747.6%341 W · 376 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Hornets55c288$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.435851.7%185 W · 173 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Hornets56c261.83$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.6220754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Pacers45c253$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3131250.3%157 W · 155 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Pacers45c253$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3147948%230 W · 249 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pacers45c253$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3187647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Pacers45c216$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.0873445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e13…732fbacked Hornets57c193$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.016648.5%32 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c773backed Hornets57c178.75$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.8113148.9%64 W · 67 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Pacers45c178$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4134053.8%183 W · 157 L+16.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Pacers45c178$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.4131754.6%173 W · 144 L+16.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x068f…4594backed Hornets57c175.61$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008045%36 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Pacers45c168$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9134254.1%185 W · 157 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Pacers44c150$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8437750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Pacers45c144$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7223753.6%127 W · 110 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Pacers45c144$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7227350.9%139 W · 134 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Pacers45c144$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7222048.6%107 W · 113 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Pacers45c144$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7232649.7%162 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Pacers45c144$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7223850.8%121 W · 117 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Pacers45c144$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.811741.9%49 W · 68 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Pacers45c144$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7227251.1%139 W · 133 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Pacers45c144$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7225250.8%128 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Pacers45c144$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7231852.2%166 W · 152 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Pacers45c144$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.827353.8%147 W · 126 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Pacers45c144$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.827150.2%136 W · 135 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefb2…b043backed Hornets56c140$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.45267.3%35 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fde…66b2backed Pacers45c135.56$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.565756.1%32 W · 25 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Pacers45c128$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1613155%72 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd457…9d8abacked Hornets57c123.86$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.6250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d61…d43cbacked Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.628852.8%152 W · 136 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.624552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.614648.6%71 W · 75 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.645251.1%231 W · 221 L+20.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.64748.9%23 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.610751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6715352.3%80 W · 73 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.66552.3%34 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.636651.4%188 W · 178 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.626040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.615051.3%77 W · 73 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.631551.1%161 W · 154 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.6815953.5%85 W · 74 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.610646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Pacers45c120$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.625150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pacers45c114$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.82,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Pacers45c112$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.215854.4%86 W · 72 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Pacers45c112$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.226648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0cc5…9cf9backed Hornets57c109.37$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.346956.5%39 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ed6…bbabbacked Pacers46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.732853%174 W · 154 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Pacers45c104$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.968755.2%48 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Pacers45c104$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.884443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Pacers45c104$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.884647.8%22 W · 24 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cdc…60a4backed Pacers44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.53,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06eb…1a5fbacked Hornets57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5710167.3%68 W · 33 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Hornets56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569452.1%49 W · 45 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f91…7c76backed Hornets56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569852%51 W · 47 L+6.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Hornets55c99.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.9934645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Hornets57c87.72$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020444.6%91 W · 113 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x438b…fb23backed Hornets59c84.75$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010426%27 W · 77 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9b2…3886backed Hornets56c75$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424452.3%23 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f7…b17abacked Hornets57c65$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.05633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Pacers45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.5631947.6%152 W · 167 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x58c9…8174backed Hornets56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309851%50 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Hornets57c52.63$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032450%162 W · 162 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Hornets54c48.71$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.32,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4e…8163backed Hornets56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Pacers44c23$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.882,90238.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hornets54c21.74$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.741,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed Hornets56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.223651.7%122 W · 114 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.