NBA · resolved market
Pelicans vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe8bf43d6a712f8a9d007b37c88cb73ef275c585cf4438e231496f6ee875f795
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuggetsof Pelicans, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Pelicans | 19c | 13,000$2,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,469.96 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Nuggets | 79c | 6,000$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Pelicans | 1c | 5,118$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Pelicans | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Pelicans | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Pelicans | 21c | 4,303$891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$891.01 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Pelicans | 20c | 3,044$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.8 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 19c | 3,010$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.99 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 20c | 2,224$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Nuggets | 79c | 2,041$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.33 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb5…72d4backed Nuggets | 79c | 1,913$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Nuggets | 80c | 1,677$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.44 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2d…27e6backed Pelicans | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf35f…43a9backed Pelicans | 23c | 1,200$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae8…a385backed Pelicans | 2c | 1,184$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans | 19c | 1,069$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.24 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Pelicans | 19c | 1,055$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.45 | 308 | 26.6%82 W · 226 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans | 13c | 1,006$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.67 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce13…a213backed Nuggets | 80c | 1,002$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Pelicans | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63d…9dd6backed Pelicans | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Pelicans | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Nuggets | 77c | 963.34$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.98 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e1…e6a2backed Pelicans | 24c | 860$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Nuggets | 77c | 834.36$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.9 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…2163backed Pelicans | 24c | 833.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pelicans | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Pelicans | 26c | 767.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.6 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 15c | 735.16$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.27 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…6130backed Nuggets | 80c | 720$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Pelicans | 15c | 654.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…c3f5backed Pelicans | 3c | 599.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Pelicans | 17c | 575$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Pelicans | 19c | 518.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Pelicans | 19c | 505$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.29 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…0ee5backed Pelicans | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 51.4%147 W · 139 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Pelicans | 25c | 500$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x95b3…6631backed Pelicans | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Nuggets | 80c | 495$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Pelicans | 26c | 480.41$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed Pelicans | 27c | 460.26$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7685…482cbacked Nuggets | 78c | 456.98$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7679…8c3abacked Pelicans | 25c | 408$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | +8.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 78c | 392.78$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Pelicans | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Pelicans | 22c | 326.49$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Pelicans | 14c | 300$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 378 | 31.2%118 W · 260 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…5c6bbacked Nuggets | 77c | 296.78$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.78 | 137 | 56.9%78 W · 59 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans | 17c | 251.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Pelicans | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 336 | 38.1%128 W · 208 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Nuggets | 78c | 229.8$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Pelicans | 17c | 211.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Nuggets | 78c | 207.05$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.55 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Pelicans | 27c | 200$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Nuggets | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf645…b8c2backed Pelicans | 8c | 197.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Pelicans | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 217 | 23.5%51 W · 166 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f6…8007backed Pelicans | 16c | 189.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2032…3a22backed Pelicans | 11c | 163.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Pelicans | 16c | 146.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7f…8995backed Pelicans | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…1f3cbacked Pelicans | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 168 | 25.6%43 W · 125 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Pelicans | 15c | 125.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6163…8507backed Pelicans | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 51.3%177 W · 168 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pelicans | 20c | 114.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x897a…5263backed Pelicans | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Pelicans | 19c | 107.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Pelicans | 20c | 100.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4c…2f6bbacked Pelicans | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Pelicans | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…e02fbacked Nuggets | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffd…d225backed Pelicans | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 130 | 43.8%57 W · 73 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a9…dd6abacked Pelicans | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Pelicans | 19c | 99.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Pelicans | 16c | 98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Pelicans | 18c | 91.15$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25de…a006backed Pelicans | 20c | 85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Pelicans | 22c | 79.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…7c4cbacked Pelicans | 26c | 73.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked Pelicans | 18c | 65.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 363 | 56.5%205 W · 158 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Pelicans | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 718 | 23.3%167 W · 551 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9af…06bcbacked Nuggets | 80c | 55$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa9…39a1backed Pelicans | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 487 | 41.9%204 W · 283 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Pelicans | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…d18cbacked Pelicans | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 27cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f51…af3bbacked Pelicans | 27c | 40.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Nuggets | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 395 | 48.4%191 W · 204 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x470a…7e04backed Pelicans | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 82 | 35.4%29 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa646…7117backed Nuggets | 79c | 29.35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09aa…1d98backed Nuggets | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…f2d2backed Nuggets | 79c | 25.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x411f…b3bbbacked Nuggets | 77c | 24.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…b45dbacked Nuggets | 75c | 24.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…18f1backed Nuggets | 78c | 24.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Nuggets | 73c | 23.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 404 | 48.3%195 W · 209 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344a…ba39backed Nuggets | 75c | 20.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Nuggets | 78c | 18.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 88 | 56.8%50 W · 38 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed Nuggets | 75c | 16.32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820e…71d2backed Nuggets | 76c | 15.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.