TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Ilkley: Mimi Xu vs Elizabeth Mandlik

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Elizabeth Mandlikof Mimi Xu, Elizabeth Mandlik
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,257

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Mimi Xu58c4,447$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,558.688,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Elizabeth Mandlik45c4,172$1,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,313.138,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Mimi Xu3c3,248$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.431,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459e…7dd1backed Elizabeth Mandlik38c3,106$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,934.0510642.5%45 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cda…2de5backed Elizabeth Mandlik55c2,267$1,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,019.176157.4%35 W · 26 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6d2…4a24backed Mimi Xu4c2,129$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.7752910%53 W · 476 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Mimi Xu4c2,047$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.8938446.4%178 W · 206 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Mimi Xu48c2,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9609,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f5d…80a3backed Elizabeth Mandlik52c1,923$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.0824961.4%153 W · 96 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Mimi Xu45c1,339$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.871,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Mimi Xu59c1,201$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.784,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Mimi Xu7c1,113$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.81,14853%608 W · 540 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Mimi Xu61c1,083$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.083,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Mimi Xu56c1,019$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.054,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6945…729cbacked Mimi Xu4c955.8$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.1318932.3%61 W · 128 L+0.7wins0.00per pick32cpaid+496.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Elizabeth Mandlik42c874.73$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.195,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Mimi Xu1c832.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.236839.1%144 W · 224 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Elizabeth Mandlik46c815.8$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441.148,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Elizabeth Mandlik55c780.6$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.291,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64e9…9324backed Mimi Xu45c648.77$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.141127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-24.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x30a0…a458backed Mimi Xu2c600$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1217436.8%64 W · 110 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef29…2f1ebacked Mimi Xu17c588$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.961,11145.3%503 W · 608 L-35.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Elizabeth Mandlik39c555.86$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.092,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb767…d848backed Mimi Xu67c544$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.9922667.7%153 W · 73 L+1.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Mimi Xu48c501.85$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.224,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae4…273ebacked Mimi Xu9c501$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.0911538.3%44 W · 71 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Mimi Xu45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22585634.2%293 W · 563 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x710c…78eabacked Elizabeth Mandlik43c469.79$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.781,04058.2%605 W · 435 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ff6…7273backed Mimi Xu52c464.25$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.58742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+30.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0e2c…359fbacked Mimi Xu54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009360.2%56 W · 37 L+10.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+25.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe756…e006backed Mimi Xu9c352$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.441010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Elizabeth Mandlik57c350.88$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.71,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Elizabeth Mandlik38c348.95$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.357,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Mimi Xu45c308$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.762,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Elizabeth Mandlik46c300.89$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0767848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Mimi Xu55c293.24$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.433,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8bfa…a8debacked Elizabeth Mandlik35c288.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.1535951.3%184 W · 175 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Elizabeth Mandlik35c281.31$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8596035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Elizabeth Mandlik48c258.33$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3328348.1%136 W · 147 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Elizabeth Mandlik36c254.89$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1356744.6%253 W · 314 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Mimi Xu8c243$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4472638.8%282 W · 444 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82c0…02fdbacked Mimi Xu9c228.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014613.7%20 W · 126 L-10.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc6…9092backed Mimi Xu9c222.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036621.6%79 W · 287 L+1.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Mimi Xu54c213.64$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.372,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Mimi Xu6c200.88$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.832,24742.7%960 W · 1,287 L+33.4wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…af12backed Mimi Xu31c194.87$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.682,03246.9%952 W · 1,080 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d90…42bebacked Mimi Xu45c183$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.351030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid+66.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Mimi Xu45c181.07$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4833558.5%196 W · 139 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Mimi Xu58c170.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18b6…babfbacked Elizabeth Mandlik43c169.46$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.4614459%85 W · 59 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb69c…2a0dbacked Mimi Xu7c165.49$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5156.7%1 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-63.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a1…2dbebacked Mimi Xu26c156.23$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414027.5%11 W · 29 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Elizabeth Mandlik56c150$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.753,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d07…b9febacked Mimi Xu15c147.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.83208.8%28 W · 292 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-64.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb77…1c78backed Elizabeth Mandlik40c128.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.432,15137.3%802 W · 1,349 L-27.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8db0…5b69backed Elizabeth Mandlik41c114.81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.246844.1%30 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Mimi Xu44c113.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf5…31f9backed Mimi Xu10c112.32$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115850%29 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16f3…e1eebacked Elizabeth Mandlik49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111745.3%53 W · 64 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Elizabeth Mandlik34c90.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.463,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b5f…3397backed Mimi Xu45c89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0542743.8%187 W · 240 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…1df8backed Mimi Xu61c87.08$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.76944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Elizabeth Mandlik42c75.42$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.423,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Mimi Xu44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.81,09452.4%573 W · 521 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Elizabeth Mandlik53c69.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7696755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4db1…528cbacked Mimi Xu45c63$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Mimi Xu18c60.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.564,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ed2…0ddabacked Elizabeth Mandlik33c51.14$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.2633152.6%174 W · 157 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a7…206cbacked Mimi Xu46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.185637.7%323 W · 533 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27b1…3813backed Elizabeth Mandlik53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.51,16849.1%573 W · 595 L-2.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Elizabeth Mandlik43c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.721,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x0254…33eabacked Elizabeth Mandlik34c49.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a20…d606backed Mimi Xu71c46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6692674.6%691 W · 235 L+1.7wins0.00per pick74cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe4…f12fbacked Elizabeth Mandlik57c40.39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3758665.5%384 W · 202 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Mimi Xu66c38.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5885742.8%367 W · 490 L-23.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Mimi Xu47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.867636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5b…1578backed Elizabeth Mandlik54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0425550.6%129 W · 126 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c58…79f7backed Mimi Xu54c36.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207764.9%50 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Mimi Xu58c34.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018258.8%107 W · 75 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc07…5ccabacked Mimi Xu45c33.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158242.7%35 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Elizabeth Mandlik47c31.32$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.744465.3%290 W · 154 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x72a0…9bc4backed Mimi Xu72c30.9$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2547274.4%351 W · 121 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick73cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Mimi Xu45c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.510252%53 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Mimi Xu50c29.4$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.785348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5331…3672backed Elizabeth Mandlik56c26$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4431347.6%149 W · 164 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Elizabeth Mandlik79c22.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8483047%390 W · 440 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Mimi Xu47c21.71$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.23,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Elizabeth Mandlik54c21.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6870465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Elizabeth Mandlik54c18.52$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5274346.3%344 W · 399 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.