TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x389a…e26f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2850%14 W · 14 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.75
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Helioevaara/Patten vs Arevalo/Pavicbacked Helioevaara/Patten · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$43.6
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Fery vs Alexander Zverevbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$143.9
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
Bastad: Irene Burillo Escorihuela vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Irene Burillo Escorihuela · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.5
Contrexeville: Jeline Vandromme vs Oksana Selekhmetevabacked Jeline Vandromme · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.34
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$116.88
Wimbledon WTA: Linda Noskova vs Elise Mertensbacked Elise Mertens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Wimbledon WTA: Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchovabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon WTA: Madison Keys vs Linda Noskovabacked Linda Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$30.55
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+68.5%+$69.61
Wimbledon WTA: Emma Navarro vs Marta Kostyukbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$23.45
Wimbledon WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.22
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanovbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.76
Cervia: Manoj Dhamne Manas vs Mitchell Kruegerbacked Mitchell Krueger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.34
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Alexandra Eala vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Iga Swiatek vs Elina Svitolinabacked Iga Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.9
Paris: Anastasia Zakharova vs Katie Boulterbacked Anastasia Zakharova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+86.6%+$10.75
Zagreb: Thiago Monteiro vs Andres Andradebacked Andres Andrade · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+194.9%+$23.03
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Mirra Andreevabacked Coco Gauff · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$13.32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Luciano Darderi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+181.1%+$18.55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Jelena Ostapenkobacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.14
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick40cpaid-62.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.45
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.39
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.