TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6f17…cfd4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 60 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT2759.3%16 W · 11 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick43cpaid+53.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
National Bank Open: Maya Joint vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$7.32
National Bank Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Hubert Hurkaczbacked Hubert Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Istanbul 2: Lucas Poullain vs Kenta Miyoshibacked Kenta Miyoshi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Ilya Ivashkabacked Ilya Ivashka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.16
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Andrea Guerrieribacked Andrea Guerrieri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+147.8%+$19.65
National Bank Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Titouan Droguetbacked Titouan Droguet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaurbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+406.9%+$130.42
Plovdiv 2: Gabriele Piraino vs Ognjen Milicbacked Gabriele Piraino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+93.9%+$19.8
Plovdiv 2: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Franco Agamenonebacked Radu Mihai Papoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+88.6%+$15.9
Lexington: Soon-Woo Kwon vs Andre Ilaganbacked Andre Ilagan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+560.8%+$60.92
National Bank Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Maya Jointbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.96
National Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$10.29
National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensikbacked Jacob Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.37
National Bank Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$14.99
National Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+137%+$17.84
National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Corentin Moutetbacked Corentin Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.58
National Bank Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+61%+$12.81
National Bank Open: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Arthur Rinderknechbacked Arthur Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+90.2%+$16.16
National Bank Open: Daria Kasatkina vs Elena Rybakinabacked Daria Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.05
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.94
Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akuguebacked Weronika Falkowska · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+287.3%+$48.85
Plovdiv 2: Daniel Galan vs Carlos Sanchez Joverbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$10.73
Warsaw: Katarzyna Kawa vs Justina Mikulskytebacked Justina Mikulskyte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+201%+$24.12
National Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Yannick Hanfmannbacked Yannick Hanfmann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+93.1%+$14.48
National Bank Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Marin Cilicbacked Marin Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.32
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$3.91
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$6.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.61
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$14.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.