TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab69…8968

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
32
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick30cpaid+40.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajdabacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+1,328.6%+$258.67
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Guiomar Maristany vs Kaitlin Quevedobacked Kaitlin Quevedo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+154.8%+$17.03
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Yasmine Kabbajbacked Yasmine Kabbaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.97
Hamburg European Open: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Shevchenkobacked Camilo Ugo Carabelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Shymkent 2: Sergey Fomin vs Jelle Selsbacked Sergey Fomin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$5.22
Madrid Open: Linda Noskova vs Emiliana Arangobacked Emiliana Arango · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.59
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Liudmila Samsonova vs Coco Gauffbacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Xinyu Wang vs Sorana Cirsteabacked Xinyu Wang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.36
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
All 13 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Cricket — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Gujarat Titansbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.33
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+300%+$269.31
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.17
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.1
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.14
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.65
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+33.1%+$3.59
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+102.7%+$13.96
All 8 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+39.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$44.62
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+156.7%+$31.76
Will AC Milan win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$24.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.