TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc7f4…6739

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
25
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tweets, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 53 out of 100; worst Middle East at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1471.4%10 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
T20 Lanka Premier League: Dambulla Sixers vs Kandy Royalsbacked Kandy Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$28.13
T20I Series Zimbabwe vs Bangladesh: Zimbabwe vs Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$32.79
ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indiesbacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.93
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Royal Challengers Bengaluru · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs USA (Game 1)backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+44.3%+$12.64
T20 World Cup: Namibia vs Netherlands (Game 1)backed Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$6.34
T20 World Cup: India vs USA (Game 1)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+45.6%+$13.32
U19 World Cup: England Under-19s vs India Under-19sbacked India Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+49.3%+$9.99
U19 World Cup: Australia Under-19s vs England Under-19sbacked England Under-19s · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+28.3%+$17.31
International T20 Series: Pakistan vs Australia (Game 3)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+82.2%+$19.03
International T20 Series: Pakistan vs Australia (Game 2)backed Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+81.8%+$11.98
All 14 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+28.1%+$11.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+25%+$5.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$34.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.