TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Vancouver: Emerson Jones vs Carol Zhao

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Emerson Jonesof Emerson Jones, Carol Zhao
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$181,918

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Emerson Jones63c47,134$29,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,655.5111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Carol Zhao36c14,890$5,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,286.058,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Carol Zhao36c10,186$3,640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,639.743,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Carol Zhao36c9,601$3,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,413.9793740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d67…3667backed Carol Zhao3c7,135$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.6570537.6%265 W · 440 L-37.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Emerson Jones29c6,713$1,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,778.376,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Carol Zhao37c4,679$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.651,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Carol Zhao29c3,551$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.754,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Carol Zhao42c2,891$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.568,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Carol Zhao74c2,560$1,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,898.654,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c13…71a1backed Carol Zhao27c2,187$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Carol Zhao55c1,188$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.411048.2%53 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Carol Zhao46c1,066$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.331,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Emerson Jones58c820.33$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.791,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Carol Zhao19c814.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.833235.2%117 W · 215 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x95f1…6e6fbacked Carol Zhao23c766.67$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18011338.9%44 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+0.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Carol Zhao24c623.74$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.773,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Carol Zhao25c601.49$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8355941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Carol Zhao12c600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Carol Zhao51c589.75$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.424,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Carol Zhao10c563.31$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.444,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Emerson Jones46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.4898240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Carol Zhao26c512.71$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.621,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Carol Zhao20c501.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0624228.5%69 W · 173 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Carol Zhao43c394.99$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.856,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Emerson Jones62c386.71$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.22,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Carol Zhao13c380.02$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Emerson Jones53c366.24$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.476355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Carol Zhao52c355$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.52,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9455…7defbacked Carol Zhao15c269.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3896049.5%475 W · 485 L+16.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb77e…2ac6backed Carol Zhao54c264.74$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14413661.8%84 W · 52 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Carol Zhao12c245.67$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.482,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Carol Zhao53c233$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.841,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9527…f108backed Emerson Jones47c207.41$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.9152739.3%207 W · 320 L+37.6wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-7.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c8c…01c9backed Emerson Jones58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848446.4%39 W · 45 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4c0…22ebbacked Carol Zhao9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840527.2%110 W · 295 L-17.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e8b…13e6backed Emerson Jones66c184.54$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5411462.3%71 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5703…1048backed Carol Zhao15c177.15$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5710729.9%32 W · 75 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Emerson Jones46c174.39$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.972,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Carol Zhao14c165.78$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238234.1%28 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8cf…1377backed Carol Zhao32c156$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501020%2 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-39.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67a1…1c91backed Emerson Jones65c153.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8420360.1%122 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Emerson Jones59c141.81$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.832,41851.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L+10.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Carol Zhao52c132.14$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.862,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Carol Zhao41c129.27$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533,22040.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Carol Zhao40c127.5$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee4a…ad4cbacked Carol Zhao18c110.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010438.5%40 W · 64 L-4.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48d8…9ccebacked Carol Zhao14c110$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.16per pick55cpaid-42.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Carol Zhao40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03dd…49c8backed Carol Zhao35c89.47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2746851.5%241 W · 227 L+17.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Carol Zhao74c87.12$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4744349%217 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Emerson Jones59c86.59$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.536,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Carol Zhao37c79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5844138.8%171 W · 270 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Carol Zhao33c78.79$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2644751.7%231 W · 216 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda24…7e54backed Carol Zhao31c78.75$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.564153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Emerson Jones76c77.74$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.661936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x709d…f749backed Carol Zhao14c73.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.252661.5%16 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Carol Zhao55c71.85$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.521,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Emerson Jones44c67.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.9378957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d10…b3d0backed Emerson Jones69c67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.0982159.4%488 W · 333 L+3.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ac…c3d9backed Emerson Jones73c66.71$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0150268.3%343 W · 159 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Carol Zhao37c65.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2415552.3%81 W · 74 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0598…3d83backed Emerson Jones39c64.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.5713938.8%54 W · 85 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Carol Zhao19c56.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.611,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc547…c570backed Carol Zhao47c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.567838.3%260 W · 418 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a1e…f992backed Carol Zhao40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2065434.9%228 W · 426 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ff0…0a65backed Carol Zhao31c43.89$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.827943%34 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5061…4b02backed Carol Zhao47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206663.6%42 W · 24 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+46.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Carol Zhao44c39$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1656153.7%301 W · 260 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Carol Zhao44c38.59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.981,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Carol Zhao65c37.91$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.765,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Emerson Jones62c36.75$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.022,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Carol Zhao33c36.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.1273648.1%354 W · 382 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5998…b5a8backed Carol Zhao55c36.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.865642.9%24 W · 32 L-5.0wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39f6…c6efbacked Carol Zhao39c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7326640.6%108 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe327…9bbbbacked Emerson Jones57c33.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.331338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd27d…fa96backed Emerson Jones66c33.03$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2913557.8%78 W · 57 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef30…e949backed Emerson Jones61c32.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.494156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f40…16c7backed Emerson Jones67c31$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2311163.1%70 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12e3…7982backed Carol Zhao33c31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.239722.7%22 W · 75 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefdf…2d41backed Emerson Jones68c29.35$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Emerson Jones72c27.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6735851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf75…099fbacked Carol Zhao55c25.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.256747.8%32 W · 35 L-7.5wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-19.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x801e…b401backed Emerson Jones66c22.73$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.737159.2%42 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Emerson Jones66c22.06$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.528264.2%181 W · 101 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb37…189abacked Emerson Jones50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021451.9%111 W · 103 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x061a…5a89backed Emerson Jones57c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.652157%297 W · 224 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4732…f40dbacked Emerson Jones59c18.61$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7123530.2%71 W · 164 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xff7b…b79fbacked Emerson Jones72c17.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.989867.3%66 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…db95backed Emerson Jones77c16$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7332952.3%172 W · 157 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb52b…9646backed Emerson Jones80c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.62060%12 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.