Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x034816d6712f1277546fa30529e19d8afc0651a9b1e3b493c41064cef11cd41d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked No | 25c | 1,122$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.43 | 819 | 42.6%349 W · 470 L | +27.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 67c | 755.69$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.7 | 699 | 46.1%322 W · 377 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 41c | 558.8$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.4 | 8,309 | 49.2%4,089 W · 4,220 L | +271.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 20c | 407.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.33 | 789 | 27.9%220 W · 569 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 37c | 387.69$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…2475backed Yes | 75c | 363$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…541dbacked Yes | 64c | 307.4$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.81 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3a…8792backed Yes | 73c | 299.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 180 | 45.6%82 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc329…6a58backed Yes | 69c | 299.99$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 41c | 245.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.43 | 4,622 | 47.5%2,195 W · 2,427 L | -182.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Yes | 59c | 212.08$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.32 | 250 | 43.6%109 W · 141 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 75c | 211.07$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 1,324 | 51.1%676 W · 648 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…c19ebacked Yes | 52c | 197.47$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 633 | 49.9%316 W · 317 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 34c | 183.09$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.54 | 3,050 | 40.5%1,235 W · 1,815 L | -121.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Yes | 68c | 179.99$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 202 | 44.1%89 W · 113 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 41c | 176.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 161.37$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 12,477 | 46.8%5,840 W · 6,637 L | -43.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 69c | 152.05$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 6,854 | 39.4%2,698 W · 4,156 L | +266.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked No | 48c | 135.39$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.56 | 4,905 | 53.4%2,621 W · 2,284 L | +33.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 56c | 128.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 2,265 | 39.6%896 W · 1,369 L | -56.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 57c | 123.46$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.96 | 4,302 | 53.5%2,303 W · 1,999 L | +157.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd23f…94a1backed No | 46c | 119.46$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.45 | 2,617 | 59.5%1,556 W · 1,061 L | -41.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b46…8f13backed Yes | 58c | 117$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.14 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 30c | 100.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 10,848 | 37.5%4,070 W · 6,778 L | +432.8wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3,980 | 47.3%1,884 W · 2,096 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 174 | 33.9%59 W · 115 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d0…cc5abacked Yes | 61c | 95.93$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 40c | 93.71$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 2,155 | 59.6%1,285 W · 870 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe695…538ebacked Yes | 68c | 90$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 888 | 55.7%495 W · 393 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 70c | 88.33$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.07 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 38c | 82.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.64 | 3,821 | 61.1%2,336 W · 1,485 L | -35.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20fc…7ac9backed Yes | 75c | 80.35$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 55c | 79.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.58 | 3,411 | 31.1%1,062 W · 2,349 L | -37.3wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 21c | 77.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 575 | 54.3%312 W · 263 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 60c | 74.85$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.94 | 6,111 | 49.3%3,012 W · 3,099 L | -116.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 39c | 69.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 3,686 | 33.8%1,246 W · 2,440 L | -190.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed No | 31c | 66.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 2,237 | 49.3%1,102 W · 1,135 L | -10.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 44c | 61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 5,201 | 49.9%2,595 W · 2,606 L | -161.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 31c | 56.96$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 12,879 | 20.4%2,624 W · 10,255 L | -2,688.9wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…18e7backed Yes | 52c | 55.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e34…224ebacked Yes | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.95 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked No | 46c | 53$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 2,548 | 45.4%1,157 W · 1,391 L | +23.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 6,857 | 53.1%3,642 W · 3,215 L | +417.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 39c | 47.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 3,782 | 65.8%2,489 W · 1,293 L | +32.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 39c | 44.12$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 4,435 | 65.2%2,891 W · 1,544 L | +18.7wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 42c | 43.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.26 | 2,304 | 27%622 W · 1,682 L | -41.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 32c | 42.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…d282backed No | 32c | 41.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 1,803 | 63.2%1,140 W · 663 L | -8.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb84c…e169backed Yes | 60c | 40.56$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 437 | 51%223 W · 214 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…8d41backed No | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 423 | 66.4%281 W · 142 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de8…3eddbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 490 | 49%240 W · 250 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…a394backed No | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -17.8wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5927…ba9abacked No | 45c | 37.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.06 | 311 | 58.5%182 W · 129 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…726fbacked No | 39c | 37.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234c…90dbbacked Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 658 | 38.8%255 W · 403 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…a889backed Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 174 | 57.5%100 W · 74 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked No | 33c | 31.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 760 | 59.2%450 W · 310 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a9…78ebbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed No | 37c | 31.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 62c | 31.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471d…32cebacked Yes | 68c | 30.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 191 | 56%107 W · 84 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b0…f988backed Yes | 68c | 30.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 155 | 56.1%87 W · 68 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd56…45c3backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d8…5430backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked Yes | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 5,161 | 68.3%3,525 W · 1,636 L | +71.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375b…0ebbbacked Yes | 75c | 26.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b04…6477backed Yes | 57c | 26.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a60…ea7dbacked Yes | 65c | 26.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.08 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb198…6291backed Yes | 57c | 24.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 133 | 40.6%54 W · 79 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa016…67c2backed No | 49c | 24.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 511 | 56.6%289 W · 222 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…8448backed Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae7a…25eabacked Yes | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 927 | 61.7%572 W · 355 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec52…59e8backed Yes | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd98…1211backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21d3…8c5fbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…42efbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 155 | 45.2%70 W · 85 L | -13.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x326c…ef55backed Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 153 | 45.1%69 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2abe…6e2dbacked Yes | 70c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aba…9a6dbacked Yes | 69c | 15.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.62 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90f5…c4c9backed Yes | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on July 29?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on July 29?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.