MLB · resolved market
KBO: NC Dinos vs. LG Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07bd46b7e2785336d5b241d4d8bd7cda481771b4f78a2c7b706fd6f1d2a7fe43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof NC Dinos, LG Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked LG Twins | 63c | 3,780$2,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.19 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed NC Dinos | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.99 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…91a2backed NC Dinos | 2c | 2,500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 3.6%2 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…9490backed NC Dinos | 3c | 1,354$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.07 | 43 | 0%0 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed NC Dinos | 39c | 1,077$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…c757backed NC Dinos | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed LG Twins | 21c | 415.45$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.37 | 309 | 34.3%106 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked NC Dinos | 60c | 385.1$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.39 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked LG Twins | 63c | 359.03$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.03 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x253f…4253backed NC Dinos | 65c | 347.37$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.69 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +54%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed LG Twins | 62c | 320.96$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.96 | 173 | 46.2%80 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed LG Twins | 35c | 287.34$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ef…ff5ebacked LG Twins | 63c | 285.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.71 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed LG Twins | 24c | 263.55$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.54 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked LG Twins | 66c | 242.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed NC Dinos | 54c | 226.77$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.1 | 852 | 35.8%305 W · 547 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd428…6368backed LG Twins | 61c | 200.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.77 | 390 | 56.9%222 W · 168 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa261…af5bbacked NC Dinos | 35c | 186.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed NC Dinos | 38c | 185.11$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…87e4backed NC Dinos | 32c | 148.82$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed NC Dinos | 78c | 127$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.06 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed NC Dinos | 51c | 115.01$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.66 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 38c | 105.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 65c | 95.7$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.06 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NC Dinos | 38c | 94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…1012backed LG Twins | 63c | 89.25$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed NC Dinos | 37c | 87.32$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.31 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked LG Twins | 32c | 83.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.58 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed NC Dinos | 36c | 82.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked NC Dinos | 80c | 80.9$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.72 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked NC Dinos | 58c | 75.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed LG Twins | 68c | 74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.75 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…8699backed NC Dinos | 41c | 65.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 36cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11e8…fe6bbacked NC Dinos | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba4…f918backed NC Dinos | 41c | 65.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed NC Dinos | 32c | 53.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 44c | 52.85$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed NC Dinos | 46c | 51.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 293 | 50.9%149 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked LG Twins | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed LG Twins | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked NC Dinos | 22c | 47.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…a3a9backed LG Twins | 51c | 47.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked NC Dinos | 31c | 46.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed LG Twins | 70c | 45.63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked LG Twins | 58c | 45.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed NC Dinos | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed LG Twins | 56c | 38.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked LG Twins | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed NC Dinos | 42c | 33.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 487 | 51.5%251 W · 236 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed LG Twins | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…202abacked LG Twins | 58c | 29.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed NC Dinos | 38c | 29.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 196 | 39.8%78 W · 118 L | -10.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed NC Dinos | 43c | 28.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed LG Twins | 58c | 28.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.71 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed NC Dinos | 57c | 25.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 274 | 51.8%142 W · 132 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…d390backed LG Twins | 68c | 21.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked NC Dinos | 66c | 19.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66eb…a375backed NC Dinos | 63c | 17.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08f3…f168backed LG Twins | 65c | 16.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed NC Dinos | 74c | 16.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 363 | 67.8%246 W · 117 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed LG Twins | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed LG Twins | 72c | 14.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.