MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x080fa5838750b5f4c3d9a2bf98ac4dbc2967470bba5200c1917fee684cc08b67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,227
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,227 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 67c | 2,084$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.94 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 50c | 1,996$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 50c | 1,977$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.58 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 33c | 1,707$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.44 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 17c | 1,544$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.96 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 50c | 1,481$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 1,232$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.38 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 5c | 1,038$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 51c | 1,022$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.54 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Under | 53c | 936.16$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.16 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 50c | 823.52$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.79 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 19c | 817.09$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.61 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 50c | 755.2$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.6 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 50c | 720$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd2…14c2backed Under | 51c | 699.99$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.99 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 31c | 683.99$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 127 | 59.1%75 W · 52 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Under | 50c | 468$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 47c | 438.57$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.55 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Under | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.67 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 50c | 372.8$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.4 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92a…80a7backed Under | 74c | 335.03$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.21 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 332.25$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.94 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 50c | 313$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 612 | 50.5%309 W · 303 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Under | 50c | 313$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 41c | 294.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.61 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 51c | 281.91$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.96 | 190 | 51.1%97 W · 93 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 33c | 271.53$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.58 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 52c | 265$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 50c | 261$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.5 | 283 | 47.3%134 W · 149 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 212.57$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 68c | 212$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.84 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Over | 50c | 172.04$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 33c | 166$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.84 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 50c | 160.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Under | 49c | 149.88$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.44 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 49c | 136.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.12 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Under | 50c | 118.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 278 | 52.2%145 W · 133 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 51c | 117.65$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.65 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Under | 58c | 117.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 51c | 107.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 50c | 106$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Under | 50c | 99.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.73 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 50c | 94$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 72c | 78.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 50c | 71.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 68.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 25c | 67.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…8927backed Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 187 | 51.9%97 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 49c | 64$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.64 | 483 | 39.8%192 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a96…b382backed Under | 51c | 58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 396 | 52.8%209 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 49c | 55.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…9fecbacked Under | 50c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd233…14f3backed Under | 51c | 55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 49c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Under | 50c | 45.5$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee18…724abacked Under | 49c | 41.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…6855backed Under | 61c | 32.39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 49c | 32.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…13d6backed Under | 54c | 30.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x3003…30f5backed Over | 50c | 25.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +8.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 24.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a0…f673backed Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Over | 49c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…02f0backed Under | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Over | 51c | 20.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5this page
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosHouston Astros won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5Under won
- Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston Astros: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Angels vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.