TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Kraken vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Kraken, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$28,023
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,023 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks6c5,430$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.791,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Sharks5c4,623$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.1792848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Sharks7c3,461$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.341340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe32e…890bbacked Sharks38c2,086$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.6836242%152 W · 210 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45d7…1935backed Sharks39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006450%32 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Kraken61c1,051$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41097651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4583…0bb9backed Kraken61c584.99$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.15450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Kraken60c500.02$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.0120649.5%102 W · 104 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1734…ddd4backed Kraken63c435$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.959064.4%58 W · 32 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Kraken61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.6937254.3%202 W · 170 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kraken61c333$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.8750857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6480…8dc5backed Kraken60c294.62$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.851127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-55%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9cd7…d7a0backed Sharks39c244.56$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3830%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x637d…2392backed Sharks41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Sharks23c240.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.211,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Kraken59c209.38$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.2349351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd55c…34febacked Kraken60c181.55$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.6229748.8%145 W · 152 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51dd…2f92backed Sharks40c167.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672669.2%18 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+17.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0735…da59backed Sharks40c165.48$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.192227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.1wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-55.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Kraken63c158.73$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.731,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf442…ccf8backed Kraken76c147.86$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.818451.2%43 W · 41 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4b98…41b0backed Sharks40c138.9$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.562661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x65bb…250fbacked Sharks40c135.15$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.06650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d78…290fbacked Sharks40c134.85$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.94875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+58.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x771b…b30bbacked Sharks40c132.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.16450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf6…a8edbacked Sharks40c128.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.35666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+35.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6554…702fbacked Sharks40c127.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.08837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0aa3…daafbacked Sharks39c116.27$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d6c…a5bfbacked Kraken61c106.98$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.722458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85cd…febebacked Kraken61c104.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.942347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef93…79f2backed Kraken61c104.95$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.661957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Kraken60c104$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.623462%145 W · 89 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken60c102.8$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1254349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33f…c25ebacked Kraken62c100$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384163.4%26 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e24…15e6backed Kraken61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Sharks38c99.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3835154.1%190 W · 161 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Kraken58c99.06$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.8966951%341 W · 328 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c02…7fd0backed Kraken62c97.65$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.112100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x421b…d51fbacked Sharks40c89.7$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.88650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2873…e190backed Kraken61c89.54$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.921050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfb1…b150backed Kraken61c89.18$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.786100%6 W · 0 L+2.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+109.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd12a…4e44backed Kraken62c89.03$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.83475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+81.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x792b…0775backed Kraken62c89$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8220861.5%128 W · 80 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9d…fc4ebacked Kraken62c88.19$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa900…73cbbacked Kraken62c87.97$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x981a…112bbacked Kraken61c87.18$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5b…4deebacked Kraken61c86.64$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.79250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c34…aca8backed Kraken61c85.77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.45425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-59%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa47d…c6acbacked Sharks40c83.18$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.272050%10 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2b…4007backed Sharks40c82.2$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd92f…c50dbacked Kraken61c80.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.42944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb344…31cabacked Kraken62c80.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+73.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Sharks39c80$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3172444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Kraken63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.371,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x191a…b96bbacked Kraken61c78.87$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.76633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-44.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4002…7251backed Kraken62c75.3$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72f6…c312backed Kraken61c75.27$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.279555.8%53 W · 42 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23b7…9631backed Kraken61c74.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b74…1387backed Kraken61c72.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.462259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe84c…279dbacked Kraken72c65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.156071.7%43 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Kraken62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5228853.1%153 W · 135 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a0…88eebacked Sharks38c64.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5213845.7%63 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd121…54c7backed Kraken62c64.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.5217363%109 W · 64 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc9…56d0backed Sharks39c61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.794242.9%18 W · 24 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85dc…a6b7backed Sharks40c60$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242839.3%11 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0c…04cbbacked Kraken61c59.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.43534.3%12 W · 23 L-7.3wins-0.21per pick55cpaid-43%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x5907…c60ebacked Kraken62c56.97$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.65333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43e…d04ebacked Kraken61c53.54$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2b7…d8d2backed Sharks40c53.38$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.35333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd132…2cb5backed Kraken77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.957346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54f5…d9c7backed Kraken60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207048.6%34 W · 36 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Sharks39c43$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7737738.7%146 W · 231 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe469…0363backed Kraken61c43$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.77666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+24.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5b…9164backed Kraken77c42.86$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.86944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Sharks38c42.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc797…49cdbacked Sharks25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102433.3%8 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-31%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Kraken63c39.68$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6841954.4%228 W · 191 L-1.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f14…e134backed Kraken77c37.36$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.592100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a2…e03fbacked Sharks40c34.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8370%0 W · 7 L-3.1wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa1ee…b078backed Kraken61c32.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7914156.7%80 W · 61 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8153…7eb3backed Sharks40c32.78$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.11714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.34per pick49cpaid-75.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1cd8backed Kraken62c32.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.382250%11 W · 11 L-3.1wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e63…7e29backed Sharks35c32.23$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2865345%294 W · 359 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8c…668fbacked Sharks40c31.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Kraken62c27.26$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.361,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa61d…22f6backed Kraken60c26$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.430549.2%150 W · 155 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd40d…3f66backed Sharks40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Kraken61c24.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.599149.5%45 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bff…31b1backed Kraken62c24.19$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.19966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kraken71c22.35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.483,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1413…4bddbacked Kraken63c22.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2213860.9%84 W · 54 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda14…5218backed Kraken64c20.03$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Kraken61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.850049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45db…a9bebacked Kraken60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81650%8 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd4…e888backed Kraken62c19.49$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.493256.3%18 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdd7f…3694backed Kraken62c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.842100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Kraken61c17.3$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.755752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.