Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Missouri Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b4d7732795e9af010220116f7114e37b482592bf12ad25d917104db7e2ada11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arkansas Razorbacksof Missouri Tigers, Arkansas Razorbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 72c | 5,733$4,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.44 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b4…7730backed Missouri Tigers | 22c | 4,135$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Missouri Tigers | 3c | 4,106$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.46 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Missouri Tigers | 12c | 2,935$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.53 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Missouri Tigers | 27c | 2,343$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.01 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Missouri Tigers | 26c | 1,965$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.65 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Missouri Tigers | 18c | 1,858$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.88 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Missouri Tigers | 28c | 1,468$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413.22 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 80c | 1,317$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.45 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 1,303$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.06 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 1,109$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.23 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Missouri Tigers | 7c | 917.57$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.87 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Missouri Tigers | 20c | 833$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.43 | 1,436 | 47.5%682 W · 754 L | -18.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…0debbacked Missouri Tigers | 14c | 712.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Missouri Tigers | 18c | 666.63$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Missouri Tigers | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5c…a5debacked Missouri Tigers | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 22.6%24 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed Missouri Tigers | 38c | 463$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.94 | 140 | 27.1%38 W · 102 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Missouri Tigers | 25c | 457.96$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Missouri Tigers | 10c | 415$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Missouri Tigers | 18c | 399.99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…56a0backed Missouri Tigers | 20c | 380.74$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Missouri Tigers | 16c | 306.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Missouri Tigers | 17c | 302.49$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Missouri Tigers | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 298.53$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.51 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Missouri Tigers | 13c | 287.11$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.19 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 73c | 247.78$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.9 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Missouri Tigers | 19c | 242.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.06 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…fadabacked Missouri Tigers | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 74c | 234.39$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.78 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Missouri Tigers | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Missouri Tigers | 21c | 192.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 308 | 53.2%164 W · 144 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 78c | 170$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 58c | 155.82$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 558 | 40.3%225 W · 333 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.46 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Missouri Tigers | 23c | 110$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…1853backed Missouri Tigers | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 78c | 105.88$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Missouri Tigers | 23c | 101.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9f74…4fccbacked Missouri Tigers | 19c | 100.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +132.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Missouri Tigers | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 536 | 35.6%191 W · 345 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…8f3bbacked Missouri Tigers | 24c | 83.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Missouri Tigers | 14c | 79.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 74c | 75.68$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 76c | 75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ae…106cbacked Missouri Tigers | 33c | 73.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…60d0backed Missouri Tigers | 19c | 67.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Missouri Tigers | 16c | 67.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 79c | 65.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 576 | 55%317 W · 259 L | +17.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Missouri Tigers | 23c | 65.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Missouri Tigers | 26c | 64.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…cb3abacked Missouri Tigers | 22c | 52.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 77c | 50.95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…ad0cbacked Missouri Tigers | 25c | 47.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +6.5wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x54b4…f93bbacked Missouri Tigers | 28c | 37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 104 | 64.4%67 W · 37 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 75c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.58 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3778…8604backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 79c | 24.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf55c…a6abbacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 71c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 141 | 71.6%101 W · 40 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Arkansas Razorbacks | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 102 | 59.8%61 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…da16backed Arkansas Razorbacks | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 150 | 66%99 W · 51 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Missouri Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacksthis page
- Missouri Tigers vs. Arkansas Razorbacks: O/U 160.5Over won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-10.5)Missouri Tigers won
- Spread: Arkansas Razorbacks (-9.5)Missouri Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.