Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dd4bc0d9b015870f1f333f472a0fdcfdb620cac96c5fe179350a1d14b0d7ecd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2eb9…c1d9backed No | 75c | 411.08$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 53c | 379.31$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.44 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 48c | 272$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.59 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 49c | 264.07$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.61 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 43c | 203$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.67 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 20c | 187.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.02 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 10c | 184.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 25c | 158.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.51 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…3980backed No | 27c | 149.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 15c | 147$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 28c | 141.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.48 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 45c | 138.52$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.01 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…03fbbacked Yes | 45c | 126.24$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 517 | 33.3%172 W · 345 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 71c | 122.82$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 12c | 112$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 49c | 109.34$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2091…9cd9backed Yes | 49c | 101.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x818b…1646backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…16b9backed No | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 183 | 33.3%61 W · 122 L | -17.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 14c | 98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48b…fdc2backed No | 15c | 96.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 619 | 29.1%180 W · 439 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 12c | 95.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0f…99d0backed Yes | 49c | 95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.45 | 864 | 20.1%174 W · 690 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 16c | 84.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1,928 | 53.5%1,032 W · 896 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 60c | 82.98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.98 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 76c | 82.1$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 44c | 75.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 62c | 72.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.02 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 39c | 68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 886 | 50.2%445 W · 441 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5e…40fbbacked Yes | 75c | 65.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 335 | 61.5%206 W · 129 L | -22.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 43c | 61.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 37c | 60.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 27c | 60.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…6a1dbacked Yes | 44c | 57.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 38c | 57.11$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 32c | 55.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39a…95bebacked Yes | 43c | 53.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 47c | 53.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c3…e155backed Yes | 41c | 52.65$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 254 | 47.6%121 W · 133 L | -18.8wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…c7f7backed Yes | 43c | 51.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -12.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 49c | 50.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f6…f7e6backed No | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -37%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…af71backed No | 31c | 48.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.82 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3972…a677backed No | 50c | 47.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 817 | 56.4%461 W · 356 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 43c | 46.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…4737backed No | 38c | 45.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 809 | 57.6%466 W · 343 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed Yes | 34c | 44.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0f…085cbacked Yes | 38c | 43.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.86 | 616 | 76.3%470 W · 146 L | +92.4wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked Yes | 33c | 42.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked No | 50c | 42.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b9…9a9cbacked No | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.39 | 649 | 60.2%391 W · 258 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b72…42b9backed Yes | 32c | 38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.84 | 807 | 35.4%286 W · 521 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 32c | 37.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4308backed Yes | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 236 | 73.3%173 W · 63 L | +28.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad7…347abacked Yes | 54c | 36.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.86 | 729 | 52.4%382 W · 347 L | +34.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9c…0162backed Yes | 71c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 40c | 33.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…eb02backed Yes | 36c | 33.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.11 | 348 | 46.6%162 W · 186 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…ecd4backed Yes | 67c | 32.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 50c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,586 | 61.9%982 W · 604 L | +20.2wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d20…c41abacked No | 53c | 31.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 36c | 30.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0x8091…3178backed Yes | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…e85cbacked Yes | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 44c | 29.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 51c | 29.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…62e0backed No | 53c | 27.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 70c | 27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 443 | 66.1%293 W · 150 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe05b…6d6ebacked Yes | 57c | 26.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.24 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 49c | 23.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b18…2639backed Yes | 51c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 438 | 42%184 W · 254 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf057…081abacked Yes | 68c | 22.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb5…9400backed No | 59c | 21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 527 | 58.8%310 W · 217 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked No | 69c | 21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 1,036 | 68.6%711 W · 325 L | -33.9wins | -0.03per pick | 72cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41fa…7cc4backed No | 60c | 20.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 792 | 55.2%437 W · 355 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…a694backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,160 | 57.3%665 W · 495 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf9…1ffabacked No | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 21.8%22 W · 79 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e4…5583backed Yes | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 5?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 5?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C or higher on June 5?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.