MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13a807bc5ad571314fdb48636bfa1973674679f888160a57767d7c581e8a7471
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,859
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,859 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x684b…8409backed Under | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.98 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 42c | 8,115$3,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,408.3 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Over | 42c | 6,052$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.63 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Under | 58c | 3,500$2,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 42c | 1,758$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.82 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 60c | 1,043$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.11 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa71d…9854backed Over | 43c | 666.66$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.66 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 40c | 635.88$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.24 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 595$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.9 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 38c | 386.64$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.76 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Over | 42c | 302.56$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Over | 43c | 295.54$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 19c | 266.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.83 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 42c | 261.92$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 17c | 241.94$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.74 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf3…50a8backed Over | 43c | 222.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -29%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf04b…049abacked Over | 43c | 222.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -6.4wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…f527backed Over | 43c | 222.22$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 44c | 200.11$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,173 | 29%340 W · 833 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 71c | 200$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 57c | 167$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 42c | 161.5$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.83 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 29c | 151$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.21 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 59c | 143$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.63 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed Over | 42c | 142.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x08ae…3a89backed Over | 42c | 139.64$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 57c | 120$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…a1febacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 151 | 47.7%72 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Over | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…c012backed Over | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 146 | 45.9%67 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…ea41backed Over | 43c | 111.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 109.76$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.67 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 41c | 99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Over | 36c | 98.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Under | 58c | 92.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Under | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 52c | 77.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Over | 43c | 77.77$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.44 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Under | 59c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 99 | 60.6%60 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…cfdebacked Over | 43c | 55.55$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Over | 43c | 52.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9412…730ebacked Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…9f72backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x232f…8002backed Over | 43c | 45.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…dff0backed Over | 43c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc915…2b84backed Over | 43c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…9994backed Over | 43c | 44.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -5.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Under | 59c | 42.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Over | 47c | 36.09$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…8fb4backed Over | 43c | 32.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 60c | 31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Under | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5this page
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Spread: San Francisco Giants (-2.5)San Francisco Giants won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco GiantsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.