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Tennis · resolved market

Plovdiv 2: Petr Nesterov vs Sebastian Sorger

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Petr Nesterovof Petr Nesterov, Sebastian Sorger
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,050
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$104,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,050 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Sebastian Sorger28c4,806$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.14,27745%1,925 W · 2,352 L+21.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Petr Nesterov56c4,796$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,133.489,16136.1%3,309 W · 5,852 L-202.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…cea7backed Sebastian Sorger43c2,740$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.2532935.6%117 W · 212 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x772b…1840backed Petr Nesterov73c2,740$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$739.739136.3%33 W · 58 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xca97…49f6backed Sebastian Sorger53c2,660$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.3210448.1%50 W · 54 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Petr Nesterov49c2,644$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.745,04141.4%2,087 W · 2,954 L-83.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Sebastian Sorger30c2,474$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.172129.7%214 W · 507 L-41.3wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Petr Nesterov78c1,732$1,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.433,19557.3%1,830 W · 1,365 L+178.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Petr Nesterov64c1,563$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.563856.4%360 W · 278 L-1.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5818…5269backed Petr Nesterov48c1,543$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$802.158933.7%30 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-27.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sebastian Sorger29c1,281$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.4311,77943.3%5,102 W · 6,677 L+20.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Sebastian Sorger46c978.26$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45033336.9%123 W · 210 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c10…b6a4backed Sebastian Sorger56c927.77$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.8618947.6%90 W · 99 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x379f…7d70backed Petr Nesterov71c895.94$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.521855.5%121 W · 97 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Petr Nesterov74c878.12$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.682,15354.1%1,165 W · 988 L-2.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14a2…704cbacked Sebastian Sorger23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014518.6%27 W · 118 L+0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Petr Nesterov79c647.36$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.511,07954.9%592 W · 487 L+14.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc22e…eab8backed Sebastian Sorger42c632.73$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5627139.1%106 W · 165 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Sebastian Sorger45c600$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2707,12939.7%2,832 W · 4,297 L-14.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa50f…8e6fbacked Sebastian Sorger22c525.79$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.485437%20 W · 34 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4bf…60f8backed Sebastian Sorger40c499.92$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.2974047.8%354 W · 386 L-3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Sebastian Sorger45c491.56$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.23,35948.5%1,630 W · 1,729 L-49.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Petr Nesterov55c400.82$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3786850.2%436 W · 432 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Sebastian Sorger6c371.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.871,92755.4%1,068 W · 859 L-43.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sebastian Sorger15c345$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.991,56424%376 W · 1,188 L-43.9wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x277f…5919backed Petr Nesterov69c316.19$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x163d…7c69backed Sebastian Sorger24c297.63$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.1314715.6%23 W · 124 L-32.8wins-0.22per pick38cpaid-52.9%equal weight29-0.19 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Sebastian Sorger32c245.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.741,78946.3%828 W · 961 L-6.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Sebastian Sorger26c208.67$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7672147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd325…2482backed Sebastian Sorger24c198.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.739433%31 W · 63 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5dc8…e209backed Sebastian Sorger46c196.76$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.3739648%190 W · 206 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8102…c618backed Petr Nesterov72c175.91$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9114260.6%86 W · 56 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Sebastian Sorger44c169.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.82,22336.9%821 W · 1,402 L+40.2wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sebastian Sorger24c168.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.796,86748.9%3,357 W · 3,510 L+61.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3d…4d49backed Sebastian Sorger54c166$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.6425546.7%119 W · 136 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Sebastian Sorger24c152.18$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.152,10444.5%937 W · 1,167 L-51.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Petr Nesterov68c146.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.526,67850.7%3,387 W · 3,291 L+265.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8987…44d6backed Petr Nesterov74c143.77$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.385664.3%36 W · 20 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed Petr Nesterov80c133.98$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3776355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Sebastian Sorger45c130.76$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.8432645.1%147 W · 179 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Sebastian Sorger25c126.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.31,49643.6%652 W · 844 L-29.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x04c7…c7a7backed Sebastian Sorger44c126.22$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5419151.3%98 W · 93 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Sebastian Sorger22c126.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.361,09436.7%402 W · 692 L-21.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f3…b21cbacked Petr Nesterov74c124.86$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.465468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x323e…1ddabacked Sebastian Sorger42c123.07$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.4263537.6%239 W · 396 L+20.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x267c…5bfdbacked Sebastian Sorger13c109.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.744355.8%24 W · 19 L+5.6wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Petr Nesterov55c104.28$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.921,69450.5%856 W · 838 L+13.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Petr Nesterov77c102.32$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.885,45556.4%3,074 W · 2,381 L+234.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d2…9f16backed Sebastian Sorger25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252626.9%7 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe70…7533backed Petr Nesterov57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438149.4%40 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Petr Nesterov56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442,05347.8%982 W · 1,071 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Petr Nesterov69c99.83$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.048,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Sebastian Sorger40c98.85$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.431,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Sebastian Sorger44c97.82$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3843647.2%206 W · 230 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x402a…624fbacked Sebastian Sorger44c91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0425048.8%122 W · 128 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeeaa…15cebacked Sebastian Sorger33c90.91$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046139.5%182 W · 279 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c5b…ec01backed Sebastian Sorger43c86.25$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.3528341.7%118 W · 165 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Sebastian Sorger54c83.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,27940.3%1,322 W · 1,957 L+24.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Sebastian Sorger54c83.33$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453,45738.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L-15.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf9d1…73edbacked Petr Nesterov64c78.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1310164.4%65 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Petr Nesterov47c72.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4395050.1%476 W · 474 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Petr Nesterov44c72.24$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.452,34752.1%1,223 W · 1,124 L+86.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Petr Nesterov66c63.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.712,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7629…ef05backed Sebastian Sorger54c63.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9537262.9%234 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7596…f13abacked Sebastian Sorger25c57.52$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.389340.9%38 W · 55 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56fa…30cebacked Sebastian Sorger53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020336.5%74 W · 129 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18cd…b710backed Petr Nesterov60c56.34$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.465862.1%36 W · 22 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Sebastian Sorger43c55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.652,54838.5%982 W · 1,566 L+96.5wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed Petr Nesterov65c54.8$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9633550.7%170 W · 165 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sebastian Sorger27c46.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.458,83442.5%3,758 W · 5,076 L-169.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Sebastian Sorger43c45$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3519634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0b…1435backed Sebastian Sorger50c44.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3439035.9%140 W · 250 L-61.1wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-43.1%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Petr Nesterov58c40$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.611,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9d0…2a3abacked Petr Nesterov74c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.416437.8%62 W · 102 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-15%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Sebastian Sorger45c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187,20149.7%3,577 W · 3,624 L+114.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sebastian Sorger28c37.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.572,85947.1%1,348 W · 1,511 L+37.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba1a…85febacked Sebastian Sorger53c35.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8672651.8%376 W · 350 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Sebastian Sorger41c35.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.534,37652.3%2,290 W · 2,086 L+67.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x449f…2d2ebacked Sebastian Sorger40c34.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0225447.6%121 W · 133 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Sebastian Sorger53c34.02$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91,13356.8%643 W · 490 L+54.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Petr Nesterov70c31.51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.416,64946.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L-38.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Petr Nesterov67c31.4$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.314,78449.6%2,372 W · 2,412 L+177.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba00…527bbacked Sebastian Sorger37c31.18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5421563.3%136 W · 79 L+18.0wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+12.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Sebastian Sorger45c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.42,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Petr Nesterov76c29$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9697852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2996…fd9dbacked Petr Nesterov59c28.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.88962.9%56 W · 33 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb9b…1e2abacked Petr Nesterov71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.171163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee3…2e6abacked Sebastian Sorger40c27.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129945.8%137 W · 162 L+20.6wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+21.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Petr Nesterov57c25.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.0735851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Sebastian Sorger49c25.31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520048%96 W · 104 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Sebastian Sorger43c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.751,80047.2%849 W · 951 L-45.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x186b…9bbabacked Petr Nesterov56c23.5$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Petr Nesterov68c22.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4491341.4%378 W · 535 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x789c…0d10backed Sebastian Sorger46c22.65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4229149.5%144 W · 147 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Petr Nesterov62c20.97$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.9761162.7%383 W · 228 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a8…e802backed Petr Nesterov65c19.81$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.9336342.1%153 W · 210 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Petr Nesterov56c18.75$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.254,04145.7%1,848 W · 2,193 L-28.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6713…3878backed Petr Nesterov76c17$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.085966.1%39 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x477c…fe04backed Petr Nesterov64c15.64$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.635961%36 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Petr Nesterov71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.351,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.