Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x184c8ccd4584ec19c81d2f5a332db0722d47a6b69091b2b1fd463176a895ce5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,082
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,082 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c78…80a0backed Yes | 13c | 544$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.8 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 25c | 430.65$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 59c | 357.56$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.61 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed No | 62c | 354.94$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.44 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2acf…f9bbbacked Yes | 26c | 287.86$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.79 | 1,227 | 33.9%416 W · 811 L | +45.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…372dbacked Yes | 57c | 237.42$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.37 | 1,531 | 24.2%371 W · 1,160 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed01…89b7backed Yes | 41c | 228.4$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 25c | 221.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed Yes | 43c | 203.46$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.45 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 55c | 199.5$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.92 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…d803backed Yes | 64c | 193.55$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.8 | 401 | 32.9%132 W · 269 L | +24.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 59c | 174$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80e1…47a8backed No | 63c | 158.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 242 | 62.4%151 W · 91 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 65c | 152.2$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 55c | 150.26$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.47 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 29c | 149.65$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.38 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6f…b9bebacked No | 69c | 144.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.98 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +31.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 74c | 127.32$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 20c | 115.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 74c | 94.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 74c | 92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.92 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 75c | 86.37$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2be…ff33backed Yes | 26c | 86.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 1,203 | 48.9%588 W · 615 L | -24.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 42c | 79.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 479 | 35.3%169 W · 310 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc848…537bbacked Yes | 60c | 79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f9…8d24backed Yes | 25c | 79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 477 | 38.8%185 W · 292 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4134backed Yes | 38c | 78.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 148 | 23%34 W · 114 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed Yes | 33c | 75.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 64c | 74.51$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.93 | 1,525 | 52.6%802 W · 723 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…ebffbacked No | 63c | 72.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 134 | 61.2%82 W · 52 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0a36backed No | 59c | 72.72$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 2,086 | 51.8%1,080 W · 1,006 L | -45.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 44c | 72.24$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xbd71…1281backed No | 70c | 69.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 539 | 51.9%280 W · 259 L | +54.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b31…4eb6backed Yes | 73c | 65.68$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7328…dbffbacked Yes | 23c | 64.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 1,122 | 24.4%274 W · 848 L | +24.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 77c | 63.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed No | 43c | 60.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 349 | 35.2%123 W · 226 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed Yes | 62c | 59.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 1,011 | 61.2%619 W · 392 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bba…a2eabacked No | 71c | 58.59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 182 | 55.5%101 W · 81 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 51c | 54.24$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 30c | 53.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0d…3e25backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50b1…0793backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 436 | 63.5%277 W · 159 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c4…db5bbacked No | 41c | 49.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 1,275 | 36.5%465 W · 810 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed No | 75c | 48.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 438 | 48.6%213 W · 225 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…d7b8backed No | 80c | 48.02$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 31c | 46.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 44c | 45.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.49 | 2,050 | 57.4%1,177 W · 873 L | +72.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x612a…bde5backed No | 54c | 43.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 37c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997a…4cbebacked No | 75c | 37.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 195 | 65.6%128 W · 67 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a3…fa45backed No | 58c | 34.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.46 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 33c | 34.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef2…faa5backed No | 68c | 33.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 428 | 49.5%212 W · 216 L | +45.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes | 31c | 32.94$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,550 | 56.7%879 W · 671 L | -83.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x607c…8e7ebacked No | 37c | 31.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 960 | 15%144 W · 816 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9016…3cecbacked Yes | 66c | 31.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 34 | 82.4%28 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 71cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 48c | 30.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 35c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 78c | 29.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2,093 | 57.1%1,196 W · 897 L | +71.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed No | 75c | 27.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 421 | 60.6%255 W · 166 L | -25.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 42c | 27.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 62c | 26.32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4,104 | 56.6%2,322 W · 1,782 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 51c | 25.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 62c | 23.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf5…41abbacked Yes | 67c | 21.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 472 | 39.8%188 W · 284 L | +31.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8144…8472backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 239 | 58.2%139 W · 100 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 74c | 20.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 583 | 58%338 W · 245 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 74c | 20.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ad…39c6backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c1…a400backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 66c | 18.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.49 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb4…c6d7backed Yes | 65c | 18.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 371 | 50.4%187 W · 184 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 74c | 16.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.39 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…4053backed No | 67c | 16.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…04bebacked No | 68c | 15.35$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.91 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on June 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.