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Tennis · resolved market

Bogota: Lorenzo Claverie vs Samuel Heredia

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lorenzo Claverieof Lorenzo Claverie, Samuel Heredia
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,824
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,665

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,824 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Claverie49c3,937$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.799,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Samuel Heredia56c2,900$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.4125852.7%136 W · 122 L+1.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Lorenzo Claverie60c1,676$1,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.23,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Lorenzo Claverie66c1,595$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.435,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Samuel Heredia54c1,216$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657.854,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ec3…e330backed Samuel Heredia48c1,192$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.0543947.2%207 W · 232 L-1.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Samuel Heredia34c1,124$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.768,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Samuel Heredia54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5409,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Claverie53c954.41$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.826,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Lorenzo Claverie55c778.92$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.878,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Samuel Heredia29c724.36$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.3392145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Lorenzo Claverie44c681.82$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.825,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Lorenzo Claverie44c600$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.777,10739.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L-17.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26bd…1af5backed Lorenzo Claverie55c574.56$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9822647.8%108 W · 118 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Samuel Heredia50c530.08$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.0445549.7%226 W · 229 L+1.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Samuel Heredia39c489.94$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.311,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Samuel Heredia31c444.22$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.924,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Samuel Heredia54c415.31$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.834,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Samuel Heredia59c400$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.284,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Lorenzo Claverie68c347.04$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.634,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Samuel Heredia28c336.51$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.031,38116.4%227 W · 1,154 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Samuel Heredia51c319.02$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.162,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Samuel Heredia52c308$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.621,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Lorenzo Claverie76c300$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731758.8%10 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick67cpaid-22%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Lorenzo Claverie45c288$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.777,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Lorenzo Claverie45c285$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.752,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Lorenzo Claverie45c280$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Lorenzo Claverie47c259.41$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.491,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Lorenzo Claverie44c239.99$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.41,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eee…9b2bbacked Samuel Heredia55c230$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.53053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Samuel Heredia47c223.02$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.721,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Samuel Heredia30c212.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.776,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Lorenzo Claverie70c207.73$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4496945.9%445 W · 524 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72db…1029backed Samuel Heredia55c201.3$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.9911058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Samuel Heredia50c198.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10079646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x010a…7084backed Samuel Heredia52c190.52$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009142.9%39 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Samuel Heredia52c190.38$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9965942.2%278 W · 381 L-25.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0612…559abacked Lorenzo Claverie46c188.99$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0639052.1%203 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Samuel Heredia55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Lorenzo Claverie55c181.17$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.011,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc951…e212backed Samuel Heredia14c177.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245827.6%16 W · 42 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Samuel Heredia46c176.52$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.2532726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Samuel Heredia8c173.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.8753343%229 W · 304 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Samuel Heredia43c159.63$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.983,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Samuel Heredia13c142.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.523,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Lorenzo Claverie45c130$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.942,20436.9%813 W · 1,391 L+39.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Samuel Heredia55c129.98$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.997146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa99f…164bbacked Samuel Heredia27c118.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7527528.4%78 W · 197 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Samuel Heredia41c116$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0621447.2%101 W · 113 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Lorenzo Claverie48c114$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.163,98745.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Samuel Heredia23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231,73052.2%903 W · 827 L-8.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Samuel Heredia15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517810.7%19 W · 159 L+0.8wins0.00per pick10cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2b…3489backed Samuel Heredia48c99.99$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4824740.1%99 W · 148 L-8.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Lorenzo Claverie44c85$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.63,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf768…7831backed Lorenzo Claverie61c80.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1778957.8%456 W · 333 L+56.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+8.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9bbe…f8d9backed Lorenzo Claverie45c75$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.2510233.3%34 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Samuel Heredia24c70.74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.736,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Lorenzo Claverie55c66.4$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.652,08754.1%1,130 W · 957 L+64.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf504…0111backed Samuel Heredia26c64.07$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.821,12056.5%633 W · 487 L+52.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc5b…2a5abacked Samuel Heredia48c63.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3716955.6%94 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Lorenzo Claverie45c61.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Samuel Heredia27c61$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.471,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a51…bf4cbacked Lorenzo Claverie46c53.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7421153.6%113 W · 98 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26c2…0cdfbacked Samuel Heredia19c52.64$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1074646.1%344 W · 402 L-30.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Samuel Heredia29c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.081,27661%778 W · 498 L+27.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2688…9197backed Samuel Heredia55c49.04$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9733658.3%196 W · 140 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Samuel Heredia45c48.16$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.441,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Samuel Heredia39c43.09$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1714435.4%51 W · 93 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Samuel Heredia27c43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.614,47451.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L+133.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Samuel Heredia27c43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6192046.6%429 W · 491 L-14.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Lorenzo Claverie59c40$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.488273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Samuel Heredia56c39$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.841,87759.4%1,115 W · 762 L+8.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Samuel Heredia52c39$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.282,52836.2%914 W · 1,614 L-26.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Samuel Heredia51c37.74$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2524846%114 W · 134 L-14.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc19…31c4backed Lorenzo Claverie44c36.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3232546.2%150 W · 175 L+13.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Lorenzo Claverie70c36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.839451.3%202 W · 192 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Samuel Heredia56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c3f…e6a2backed Lorenzo Claverie45c35$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.133656.8%191 W · 145 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Lorenzo Claverie58c30.52$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7249251.6%254 W · 238 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Samuel Heredia42c30.34$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.86,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9572…04abbacked Samuel Heredia55c30.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.571040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Samuel Heredia55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51,84241%755 W · 1,087 L-31.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Samuel Heredia55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.51,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4f9…84f7backed Samuel Heredia55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.535349.9%176 W · 177 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b46…ed0dbacked Samuel Heredia49c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.732452.5%170 W · 154 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Lorenzo Claverie48c29.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.591,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cce…4b52backed Samuel Heredia56c29.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6417688.6%156 W · 20 L+40.5wins+0.23per pick66cpaid+33.2%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x985d…33c9backed Lorenzo Claverie45c27.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.281,30036.9%480 W · 820 L-34.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4462…bfdfbacked Samuel Heredia49c26$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6618147%85 W · 96 L-24.1wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-24.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x65ec…a2f9backed Samuel Heredia54c22.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1245053.3%240 W · 210 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7faf…e2b5backed Lorenzo Claverie74c22.07$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.720552.7%108 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17ef…9a2cbacked Samuel Heredia56c22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3282657.1%472 W · 354 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Lorenzo Claverie68c20.55$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5843950.8%223 W · 216 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.