TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Buffalo Bulls vs. Ball State Cardinals

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Buffalo Bullsof Buffalo Bulls, Ball State Cardinals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,416
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$43,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,416 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6f4…0566backed Buffalo Bulls60c4,505$2,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,824.1624444.7%109 W · 135 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c4c…a1d4backed Buffalo Bulls53c4,269$2,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,011.182100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Buffalo Bulls50c2,646$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,323.062,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Ball State Cardinals44c1,882$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$829.671,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Buffalo Bulls54c1,852$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.31,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Ball State Cardinals48c1,784$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.0812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fc9…d553backed Ball State Cardinals47c1,750$823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$822.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-48.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fa…595fbacked Ball State Cardinals47c1,520$714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Ball State Cardinals42c1,509$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.3444146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Ball State Cardinals45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.9812646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Ball State Cardinals32c1,492$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.071,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Ball State Cardinals28c1,320$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.23,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Ball State Cardinals28c1,170$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.991,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Ball State Cardinals35c983.59$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.8223149.8%115 W · 116 L+14.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+38.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x071e…0adcbacked Ball State Cardinals47c970$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.9450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Ball State Cardinals41c886.42$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.545,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Buffalo Bulls54c877.57$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.6816350.9%83 W · 80 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Buffalo Bulls62c845.24$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.623,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Ball State Cardinals52c809$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6860548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Buffalo Bulls49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40837142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Ball State Cardinals49c794$389 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.061,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Ball State Cardinals48c711$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.281,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Buffalo Bulls56c600$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.52,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Ball State Cardinals47c499.62$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.9581453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Buffalo Bulls55c452$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.272,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Buffalo Bulls54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1847252.8%38 W · 34 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Buffalo Bulls53c363$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.611,07447%505 W · 569 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Ball State Cardinals35c339.46$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.094,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Ball State Cardinals45c333.99$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Ball State Cardinals46c329.21$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.096940.6%28 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Buffalo Bulls63c255$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.2949747.5%236 W · 261 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Buffalo Bulls75c237.24$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.184,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Ball State Cardinals47c229.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.131537.8%119 W · 196 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Buffalo Bulls79c229.15$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.154973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a9b…7303backed Ball State Cardinals52c212.76$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5213052.3%68 W · 62 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ff…38f5backed Ball State Cardinals48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Ball State Cardinals47c199.99$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.992,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Buffalo Bulls53c188.11$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.114877.1%37 W · 11 L+6.7wins+0.14per pick63cpaid+22.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Buffalo Bulls58c182.12$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3687047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Buffalo Bulls60c176$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.61,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Buffalo Bulls52c163.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.7291848.9%449 W · 469 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdfbb…614bbacked Buffalo Bulls55c160$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Buffalo Bulls67c137$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.291,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Ball State Cardinals45c123.14$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.9899848.4%483 W · 515 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa95d…6a82backed Ball State Cardinals44c109.45$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.161855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x399d…bf83backed Buffalo Bulls54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463342.4%14 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Buffalo Bulls55c100$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4521449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Ball State Cardinals51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Ball State Cardinals46c99.54$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7899045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Ball State Cardinals18c94.44$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Buffalo Bulls54c93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.796657.6%38 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd56c…ebd1backed Ball State Cardinals46c91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Buffalo Bulls47c88.52$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.9127048.1%130 W · 140 L+12.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Buffalo Bulls68c82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.851,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ed…0a9fbacked Ball State Cardinals46c78.79$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.246251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Ball State Cardinals39c74.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2593247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Ball State Cardinals35c73.16$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.391,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x0aa0…2aebbacked Ball State Cardinals47c69$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Buffalo Bulls56c68.27$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.371,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fc9…63b2backed Buffalo Bulls68c66.19$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.19580%4 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Ball State Cardinals38c64.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.5237441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cfc…7824backed Ball State Cardinals48c62.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Ball State Cardinals45c62.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1237835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Ball State Cardinals53c62.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3324649.6%122 W · 124 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e3a…752fbacked Buffalo Bulls53c58.86$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.541764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick67cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Buffalo Bulls56c57.69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Ball State Cardinals48c55.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.845,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x11d1…e488backed Buffalo Bulls54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.562755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Buffalo Bulls62c54.52$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7293447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ca3…ac80backed Ball State Cardinals47c53.19$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Ball State Cardinals50c51.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.714045%18 W · 22 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-18.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbd9d…1ba2backed Buffalo Bulls54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-50.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5ef0…7adebacked Buffalo Bulls54c46.3$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.37361.6%45 W · 28 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Buffalo Bulls60c45.77$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4968254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Buffalo Bulls80c45$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaafa…3471backed Ball State Cardinals46c43.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0125230.6%77 W · 175 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Buffalo Bulls52c39.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.240849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Ball State Cardinals42c38.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.43,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4324…1390backed Buffalo Bulls49c38$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.386154.1%33 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Ball State Cardinals48c37.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.21,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee26…3798backed Buffalo Bulls54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x512a…0b6ebacked Buffalo Bulls55c36.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.613470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e09…d3a0backed Buffalo Bulls55c36.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.45250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked Buffalo Bulls50c34.47$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2422730.4%69 W · 158 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Ball State Cardinals47c31.94$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.112,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Ball State Cardinals53c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.964658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…06c5backed Buffalo Bulls55c29.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.142751.8%221 W · 206 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x318f…fa0cbacked Ball State Cardinals47c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bab…2022backed Buffalo Bulls53c28.45$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.453974.4%29 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5afa…3dd1backed Buffalo Bulls54c27.88$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.91283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b15…fa73backed Buffalo Bulls54c25.36$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6738351.7%198 W · 185 L+0.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x372d…a119backed Buffalo Bulls67c23.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.784654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x38a7…d69dbacked Ball State Cardinals48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.084626.1%12 W · 34 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Buffalo Bulls80c18.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.7529954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.