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South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-23?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$202,482
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$214,331

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,482 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 151 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes35c16,931$5,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,971.0331749.5%157 W · 160 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe23c…5ae7backed Yes44c15,303$6,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,699.16144.3%27 W · 34 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes55c15,030$8,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,323.072,60839.3%1,024 W · 1,584 L-29.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c55…4a8cbacked No70c10,670$7,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,232.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+32%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No60c9,459$5,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,801.312,37634.7%824 W · 1,552 L-27.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc5b…3ddcbacked Yes21c6,632$1,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,390.528030%24 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No53c5,896$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,769.085,83145.4%2,647 W · 3,184 L+99.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d1c…3347backed Yes51c4,851$2,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.2122337.7%84 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No73c4,075$2,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.3812457.3%71 W · 53 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes31c4,048$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.895756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes18c3,541$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634.981,55945.1%703 W · 856 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes44c2,685$1,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,179.331,05549.3%520 W · 535 L+14.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed No74c2,654$1,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.0521164.5%136 W · 75 L+23.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No72c2,401$1,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.1159539.7%236 W · 359 L+2.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb89a…5f21backed No24c2,399$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.46366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick23cpaid+186.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes22c2,012$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.634334.9%15 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed No64c1,888$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.052272.7%16 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+28.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4155…fa41backed Yes76c1,812$1,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,373.2213773%100 W · 37 L+21.4wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+29.8%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No58c1,735$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.3426235.9%94 W · 168 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed No56c1,704$952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.7336041.4%149 W · 211 L-26.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No10c1,620$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,458.986613.6%9 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick21cpaid-55.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No74c1,434$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.3425366.4%168 W · 85 L+27.8wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+28.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x5141…ea1cbacked No22c1,364$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+327.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes47c1,305$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.9552443.3%227 W · 297 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Yes30c1,268$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.425040%20 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes35c1,211$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.7146646.4%216 W · 250 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes45c1,209$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.2236745.8%168 W · 199 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes30c1,111$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.091,26153.6%676 W · 585 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes78c1,101$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.1522365%145 W · 78 L+22.8wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes44c1,090$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.3728634.6%99 W · 187 L-16.2wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No68c1,056$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.941,70352%886 W · 817 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No49c1,006$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.2538939.6%154 W · 235 L-17.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,30853.7%702 W · 606 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d8…5782backed Yes26c961.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25060%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb18…9897backed Yes26c961.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec8d…b168backed Yes26c961.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb78…f224backed Yes26c961.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25050%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf99c…6d74backed Yes26c961.53$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+177.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No58c940.94$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.528,17548.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L+27.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes46c854.88$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.6654245.4%246 W · 296 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes30c833$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.932640.2%131 W · 195 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No58c792.02$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.5727339.2%107 W · 166 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fa9…deabbacked Yes26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No67c752.9$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.12147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6534…7cc7backed Yes32c745$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.48544.7%38 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Yes45c711.07$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.229444.7%42 W · 52 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+104.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No60c659.52$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.4234341.1%141 W · 202 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes31c523$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.1339532.4%128 W · 267 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes30c518.73$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.623,81738.4%1,467 W · 2,350 L-30.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No70c461.52$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.923,44951.4%1,773 W · 1,676 L+22.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed No43c454.55$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.098427.4%23 W · 61 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick24cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No7c453.59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.8413638.2%52 W · 84 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid+9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes31c380$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.851935.5%184 W · 335 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No35c369.88$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.111,51146.1%697 W · 814 L-15.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a0…217abacked Yes28c358.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick25cpaid+178.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x76bc…fccabacked No14c357.14$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.8913039.2%51 W · 79 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+98.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No51c332.45$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.5214040%56 W · 84 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-34.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd3a…91fdbacked No56c327.93$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.296659.1%39 W · 27 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No49c291.43$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.638749.4%43 W · 44 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Yes52c267.31$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1393151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes30c266.63$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9972336.9%267 W · 456 L+2.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes50c254$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12778351%399 W · 384 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No20c245.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.7229848%143 W · 155 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes15c231.62$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.74339.1%3 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick14cpaid-88.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Yes46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.23177.4%24 W · 7 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick66cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes31c220$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.250546.7%236 W · 269 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No36c219.18$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.2724045%108 W · 132 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes34c211.83$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0693046.3%431 W · 499 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No70c209.87$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5420736.7%76 W · 131 L-8.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc2c8…142bbacked Yes29c206.9$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011420.2%23 W · 91 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5be1…3371backed No63c200.02$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.057460.8%45 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x541f…61f4backed Yes8c200$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdecf…2957backed No49c194.17$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.03728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-45.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes52c190.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.915042%21 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes59c185.41$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.181,27256.1%713 W · 559 L+72.3wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9212…4040backed No13c183.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.976459.4%38 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xca75…05a6backed Yes35c180.22$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.973941%16 W · 23 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Yes42c175.82$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.98742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes29c172$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8856537.5%212 W · 353 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No34c171.04$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6545046.2%208 W · 242 L-1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No45c170$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.813351.1%68 W · 65 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No61c163$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0293445.1%421 W · 513 L-28.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Yes15c155$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2510710.3%11 W · 96 L-5.3wins-0.05per pick15cpaid-72%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9661…36f6backed Yes33c154$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.822536%9 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c5c…91fcbacked Yes58c152.47$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0052…30bcbacked Yes55c142.71$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.49850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No23c135.49$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9850335.4%178 W · 325 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Yes53c130.75$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8122349.3%110 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e9…494fbacked Yes19c126.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.338625.6%22 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No39c120$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.431647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes56c120$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6874258.5%434 W · 308 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No67c118.39$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.621,32550%663 W · 662 L-14.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes51c108.67$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.0111143.2%48 W · 63 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes34c105$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.71,39352.6%733 W · 660 L+53.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39f9…fcc3backed Yes55c103.56$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.454934.7%17 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2064…0ab1backed Yes50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502944.8%13 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5577…53d2backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153842.1%16 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68f8…12c8backed No70c94.29$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.294560%27 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes45c87.15$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.854850%24 W · 24 L+5.5wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xceb5…f397backed No72c83.47$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.471668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.